Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Juventude vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 21:30 UTC Alfredo Jaconi HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Juventude vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Alfredo Jaconi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L
01 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–0 D
27 Sep SC Internacional H 1–1 D
21 Sep Mirassol FC A 0–2 L
14 Sep CR Flamengo H 0–2 L
30 Aug Ceará SC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct EC Juventude A 2–1 W
02 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Alfredo Jaconi as EC Juventude face off against Fortaleza EC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 6' Brilliant from the ! Rafael Bilu makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 6.
  • 11' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 16' Igor Formiga has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 26' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Juventude and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 31' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 41' EC Juventude are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' The whistle greets Rafael Bilu as he departs to be replaced by Enmerson Batalla.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 54' Another substitution for EC Juventude to replace Gilberto by Gabriel Taliari on 54 minute.
  • 57' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' EC Juventude player sees a card in front of him.
  • 65' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Sasha on 65 minutes.
  • 70' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 72' Goal! Eros Mancuso scores his 5 goal in 204 matches.
  • 77' Fresh legs for EC Juventude! Nene comes on to replace Lucas Fernandes.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Lucas Sasha as he leaves the pitch. Rodrigo steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • 80' The crowd applauds Abner as he leaves the pitch. Peixoto steps in for EC Juventude.
  • 83' Benjamin Kuscevic is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 85' Adam Bareiro doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 85' Yago Pikachu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Breno Lopes at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' That is a card for EC Juventude. Luiz Mandaca will be fuming at that decision.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 EC Juventude xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: EC Juventude or Fortaleza EC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Juventude29% Draw28% Fortaleza EC43%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

EC Juventude or Draw
57%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
71%
EC Juventude or Fortaleza EC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Juventude22% Draw46% Fortaleza EC32%
Actual: EC Juventude win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 0
8.1%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
4.6%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — EC Juventude

Handicap EC Juventude covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 21% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.