Saturday , 14 November 2026

Fluminense FC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Fri 17 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 28' Jadson
Y 47' Luiz Mandaca
Juan Freytes 58' Y
Thiago Silva 71' Y
Y 81' Marcos Paulo
Y 85' Jandrei
Y 90' Giovanny

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs EC Juventude — Serie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct EC Juventude H 1–0 W
09 Oct Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
04 Oct CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Oct SC Recife A 2–2 D
28 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
11 Oct SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
05 Oct Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L
01 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–0 D
27 Sep SC Internacional H 1–1 D
21 Sep Mirassol FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 6 A
Jefferson Savarino 7 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 6 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 6 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Fluminense FC vs EC Juventude — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Juan Freytes suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Rafael Bilu has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 384 appearances.
  • 20' The travelling EC Juventude supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Juventude needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 28' Jadson is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' With 0 assists to his name this season, Edison Negueba is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fluminense FC.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 47' Luiz Mandaca is having his name booked by the referee on 47.
  • 52' The EC Juventude manager makes a substitution. Luiz Mandaca departs to be replaced by Enio.
  • 57' Abner needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 58' The referee has no hesitation. Juan Freytes is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 58.
  • 60' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 60 minute. Lima leaves to be changed by John Kennedy.
  • 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 70' EC Juventude are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 71' It’s gonna be a card for Gabriel Taliari.
  • 72' Edison Negueba gets the nod from EC Juventude. He replaces Rafael Bilu and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Kevin Serna is replaced by Riquelme Felipe on 76 minute.
  • 80' Another substitution for EC Juventude to replace Gabriel Taliari by Giovanny on 80 minute.
  • 81' EC Juventude receives a card for a hard tackle on 81.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Everaldo on, German Cano off on 82 minutes.
  • 85' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jandrei on 85 minutes.
  • 90' Giovanny is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Fluminense FC and EC Juventude share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC58% Draw26% EC Juventude16%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
83%
Draw or EC Juventude
42%
Fluminense FC or EC Juventude
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC38% Draw49% EC Juventude13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
11.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 26% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.