Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fluminense FC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Fri 17 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 28' Jadson
Y 47' Luiz Mandaca
Juan Freytes 58' Y
Thiago Silva 71' Y
Y 81' Marcos Paulo
Y 85' Jandrei
Y 90' Giovanny

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs EC JuventudeSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct EC Juventude H 1–0 W
09 Oct Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
04 Oct CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Oct SC Recife A 2–2 D
28 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
11 Oct SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
05 Oct Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L
01 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–0 D
27 Sep SC Internacional H 1–1 D
21 Sep Mirassol FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: EC Juventude gets underway.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Juventude needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Zubeldía will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 28' The referee has no hesitation. Jadson is booked for EC Juventude — card on 28.
  • 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 38' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 43' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 43 minutes.
  • 47' EC Juventude player sees a card in front of him.
  • 52' Enio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luiz Mandaca on 52 minute.
  • 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Agustin Canobbio, as he is very good at scoring at Maracana with 4 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 58' Juan Freytes picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 60' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Lima has done his job and it is now time for John Kennedy to step up.
  • 65' Enio is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
  • 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 71' A moment of madness from Gabriel Taliari on 71 minutes earns him a card. EC Juventude will be frustrated.
  • 72' Edison Negueba is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafael Bilu at the 72 minute mark.
  • 76' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Kevin Serna departs to be replaced by Riquelme Felipe.
  • 80' Another change for EC Juventude made on 80 minute. Gabriel Taliari leaves to be changed by Giovanny.
  • 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Marcos Paulo.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. German Cano is replaced by Everaldo on 82 minute.
  • 85' A moment of madness from Jandrei on 85 minutes earns him a card. EC Juventude will be frustrated.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Giovanny on 90 minutes earns him a card. EC Juventude will be frustrated.
  • EC Juventude will have plenty to reflect on. Fluminense FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC58% Draw26% EC Juventude16%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
83%
Draw or EC Juventude
42%
Fluminense FC or EC Juventude
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC38% Draw49% EC Juventude13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
11.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 26% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
48%
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.