SE Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 34 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | CR Flamengo | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 5–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | EC Juventude | H | 4–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | São Paulo FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 01 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | SC Recife | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Oct | CR Flamengo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #3 |
| 73 | Points | 60 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 21 / 10 / 3 | W / D / L | 18 / 6 / 10 |
| 62 | Scored | 55 |
| 23 | Conceded | 48 |
| +39 | GD | +7 |
| 2.15 | PPG | 1.76 |
| 62% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 3rd (60 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
10/7
46-60
7/2
61-75
8/2
76+
13/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 14 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 7 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Allianz Parque as SE Palmeiras face off against Cruzeiro EC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' SE Palmeiras started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SE Palmeiras side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' A moment of madness from Gustavo Gomez on 15 minutes earns him a card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
- 16' It is a substitution in Cruzeiro EC team. Wanderson is replaced by Keny Arroyo on 16 minute.
- 17' Fabricio Bruno picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 22' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cruzeiro EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 27' Cruzeiro EC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Keny Arroyo scoring 1 goals.
- 32' Cruzeiro EC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 33' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Khellven gets a card.
- 34' Poor challenge from Lucas Romero. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 37' Lucas Villalba catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 37.
- 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 46' SE Palmeiras manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ramon Sosa is hanging Felipe Anderson on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' SE Palmeiras currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 56' The travelling Cruzeiro EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and Cruzeiro EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 63' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Bruno Rodrigues on, Jose Manuel Lopez off on 63 minutes.
- 67' The whistle greets Khellven as he departs to be replaced by Agustin Giay.
- 71' Controversy at the stadium! Fabricio Bruno argues furiously but the card stands.
- 73' Another substitution for Cruzeiro EC to replace Keny Arroyo by Jonathan on 73 minute.
- 78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 79' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Bruno Fuchs departs to be replaced by Raphael Veiga.
- 84' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 402 games and scored 605 goals.
- 85' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kaiki Bruno on 85 minutes.
- 90' Lucas Silva has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' Matheus Pereira makes way for Carlos Eduardo at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cruzeiro EC.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 8
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Ramon Sosa 46'
-
3
Bruno Fuchs ↓ Raphael Veiga 79'
-
12
Khellven ↓ Agustin Giay 67'
- 1
- 18
- 42
- 26
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Allan 63'
- 6
Bench
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↑ 79'
- 14
- 17
-
11
Bruno Rodrigues ↑ 63'
- 32
- 13
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 46'
-
4
Agustin Giay ↑ 67'
- 43
-
40
Allan ↑ 63'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
- 16
- 1
- 15
- 12
- 10
- 19
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Keny Arroyo 16'
- 25
- 88
- 6
Bench
- 17
- 5
- 9
- 43
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 90'
- 77
- 34
- 41
- 36
-
99
Keny Arroyo ↑ 16'
- 20
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 2 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 1 |
| Gabriel Menino | 1 |
| Federico Mancuello | 1 |
| Matheus Pereira | 1 |
| Hyoran | 1 |
| Mauricio | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
39%
SE Palmeiras or Cruzeiro EC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14%
2 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
10.5%
0 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
3.9%
1 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 20% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

