Cruzeiro EC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 34 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | SC Recife | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Oct | CR Flamengo | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | Santos FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 3–4 | L |
| 02 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #16 |
| 60 | Points | 38 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 16 |
| 55 | Scored | 35 |
| 48 | Conceded | 51 |
| +7 | GD | -16 |
| 1.76 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Cruzeiro EC are 3rd (60 pts). EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
10/7
46-60
7/2
61-75
8/2
76+
13/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 14 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 7 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Cruzeiro EC get us underway at Mineirao.
- 2' Dudu is having his name booked by the referee on 2.
- 7' Cruzeiro EC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Vitoria's shape.
- 8' A stunning finish from Kaio Jorge — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 12' Jonathan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 12.
- 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Erick suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Camutanga on 20 minutes.
- 23' Kaio Jorge adds to his 14 season tally! Cruzeiro EC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 28' Over 28 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 33' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jair Ventura will be considering his options from the bench.
- 34' Cruzeiro EC player sees a card in front of him.
- 37' Willian Oliveira does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Vitoria surge ahead!
- 42' It’s high time Jair Ventura made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Brilliant from the ! Keny Arroyo makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 45.
- 45' Christian is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' The crowd applauds Dudu as he leaves the pitch. Joao Pedro Pepe steps in for EC Vitoria.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' The referee has no hesitation. Ze Marcos is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 56.
- 59' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Matheuzinho is replaced by Kike Saverio on 59 minute.
- 64' Jonathan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 66' Carlos Eduardo gets the nod from Cruzeiro EC. He replaces Christian and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' EC Vitoria are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 72' Time for substitution for Cruzeiro EC. Kaio Jorge is replaced by Luis Sinisterra.
- 73' It is a substitution in Cruzeiro EC team. Keny Arroyo is replaced by Gabriel Barbosa on 73 minute.
- 76' The crowd applauds Ze Marcos as he leaves the pitch. Osvaldo steps in for EC Vitoria.
- 81' Gabriel Barbosa was booked on 81.
- 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
- 88' Walace gets the nod from Cruzeiro EC. He replaces Lucas Silva and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Another change for Cruzeiro EC made on 89 minute. Matheus Pereira leaves to be changed by Joao Wellington.
- 90' EC Vitoria player sees a card in front of him.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Walace 88'
- 1
- 12
- 10
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Luis Sinisterra 72'
-
88
Christian ↓ Carlos Eduardo 66'
- 43
- 6
- 34
-
99
Keny Arroyo ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 73'
Bench
-
17
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 72'
-
5
Walace ↑ 88'
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 73'
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 66'
-
77
Joao Wellington ↑ 89'
- 14
- 41
- 36
- 2
- 35
- 57
- 20
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 77
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↓ Renzo Lopez 46'
- 13
- 3
- 29
- 12
-
21
Dudu ↓ Joao Pedro Pepe 46'
-
4
Camutanga ↓ Carlos Eduardo 46'
-
10
Matheuzinho ↓ Kike Saverio 59'
Bench
- 28
-
6
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 46'
-
43
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 46'
-
11
Osvaldo ↑ 76'
- 71
-
31
Renzo Lopez ↑ 46'
- 22
-
19
Kike Saverio ↑ 59'
- 18
- 26
- 66
- 50
Coach
Jair Ventura
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaio Jorge | 3 |
| Fred | 2 |
| Keny Arroyo | 2 |
| Matheus Pereira | 2 |
| Juan Dinenno | 2 |
| Osvaldo | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| Manoel | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.15
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Cruzeiro EC to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
83%
Draw or EC Vitoria
39%
Cruzeiro EC or EC Vitoria
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%
4 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 22% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

