Cruzeiro EC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 28 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | SC Recife | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Oct | CR Flamengo | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | Santos FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 3–4 | L |
| 02 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #13 |
| 45 | Points | 33 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 13 |
| 42 | Scored | 28 |
| 40 | Conceded | 42 |
| +2 | GD | -14 |
| 1.61 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 46% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 7 G | 1 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Mineirao. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Cruzeiro EC and EC Vitoria.
- 2' That looks like a foul for a card for Dudu.
- 7' Erick, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 8' What a moment for Kaio Jorge! That strike on 8 puts his side firmly in control.
- 12' The referee calls foul for Jonathan. He receives a card.
- 17' The 23-year-old Kaiki Bruno has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' That looks like a foul for a card for Camutanga.
- 23' Brilliant from the ! Kaio Jorge makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 23.
- 28' EC Vitoria is showing some good football. However, EC Vitoria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 33' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cruzeiro EC and EC Vitoria are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 34' William picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 37' Willian Oliveira does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Vitoria surge ahead!
- 42' Ze Marcos is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cruzeiro EC tonight.
- 45' What composure from Keny Arroyo! The Ecuador international strokes it home. 3-1.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Christian argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Joao Pedro Pepe on, Dudu off on 46 minutes.
- 51' It looks surprising Cruzeiro EC does not make any changes. Neris has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 56' That looks like a foul for a card for Ze Marcos.
- 59' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kike Saverio is hanging Matheuzinho on the field on 59 minute.
- 64' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Carlos Eduardo. He replaces Christian on 66 minute.
- 71' Renzo Lopez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 72' A tactical swap from Cruzeiro EC — Luis Sinisterra on, Kaio Jorge off on 72 minutes.
- 73' Gabriel Barbosa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keny Arroyo on 73 minute.
- 76' EC Vitoria make a change. Ze Marcos trudges off to be replaced by Osvaldo on 76 minutes.
- 81' The referee has no hesitation. Gabriel Barbosa is booked for Cruzeiro EC — card on 81.
- 86' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Vitoria is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 88' Walace has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Silva on 88 minute.
- 89' Joao Wellington is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matheus Pereira at the 89 minute mark.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Carlos Eduardo.
- Full Time. Cruzeiro EC beats EC Vitoria
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Walace 88'
- 1
- 12
- 10
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Luis Sinisterra 72'
-
88
Christian ↓ Carlos Eduardo 66'
- 43
- 6
- 34
-
99
Keny Arroyo ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 73'
Bench
-
17
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 72'
-
5
Walace ↑ 88'
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 73'
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 66'
-
77
Joao Wellington ↑ 89'
- 14
- 41
- 36
- 2
- 35
- 57
- 20
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 77
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↓ Renzo Lopez 46'
- 13
- 3
- 29
- 12
-
21
Dudu ↓ Joao Pedro Pepe 46'
-
4
Camutanga ↓ Carlos Eduardo 46'
-
10
Matheuzinho ↓ Kike Saverio 59'
Bench
- 28
-
6
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 46'
-
43
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 46'
-
11
Osvaldo ↑ 76'
- 71
-
31
Renzo Lopez ↑ 46'
- 22
-
19
Kike Saverio ↑ 59'
- 18
- 26
- 66
- 50
Coach
Jair Ventura
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaio Jorge | 3 |
| Keny Arroyo | 2 |
| Matheus Pereira | 2 |
| Juan Dinenno | 2 |
| Fred | 2 |
| Lucas Villalba | 1 |
| Aderllan Santos | 1 |
| Carlos Rene | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.07
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Cruzeiro EC to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
83%
Draw or EC Vitoria
40%
Cruzeiro EC or EC Vitoria
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.5%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 18% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 23% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

