Germany vs Italy, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Germany Lineups
Italy Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Leonardo Bonucci 1 Mesut Ozil 1 Leonardo Bonucci 1 Mesut Ozil 1 Germany Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy1 / 41.62 Germany xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.08 Italy xGI would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Germany winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.7Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 91% 9% ± 1.5 75% 25% ± 2.5 50% 50% ± 3.5 29% 71% ± 4.5 14% 86% Double Chance
Germany or Draw 76%Draw or Italy 51%Germany or Italy 74%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Germany win at HTCorrect Score
✗ 4–0 not predicted4 – 0Actual1 – 1 12.7%1 – 0 10%2 – 1 9.2%0 – 0 8.7%2 – 0 8.6%0 – 1 6.3%1 – 2 6.1%2 – 2 5%3 – 1 5%3 – 0 4.6%0 – 2 3.8%3 – 2 2.8%Asian Handicap — Germany
Handicap Germany covers Push Italy covers -2.5 11% — 89% -2 11% 15% 74% -1.5 26% — 74% -1 26% 22% 52% -0.5 48% — 52% +0.5 76% — 24% +1 76% 15% 9% +1.5 91% — 9% +2 91% 7% 3% +2.5 97% — 3% Clean Sheet
Germany keeps clean sheet 35% ✗Italy keeps clean sheet 21% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.