Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Nov | CA Boca Juniors | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 31 | Points | 25 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 9 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 28 | Scored | 23 |
| 23 | Conceded | 20 |
| +5 | GD | +3 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 50% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Fluminense FC launch into their encounter with Sao Paulo FC.
- 5' Brazil international Fabio has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 9' Sao Paulo FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 13' Guga picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 17' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marcelo on 17.
- 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ganso on 20.
- 25' Diego Costa, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 28' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Rafinha.
- 29' Gabriel Neves has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 29.
- 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 39' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 46' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. David Braz departs to be replaced by Lele.
- 47' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Martinelli.
- 52' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fluminense FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 54' German Cano doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 59' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. William da Silva has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 60' David has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 60.
- 61' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. William da Silva is hanging David on the field on 61 minute.
- 64' Guga gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Samuel Xavier and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 371 games and scored 405 goals.
- 74' The whistle greets Yony Gonzalez as he departs to be replaced by Leonardo Fernandez.
- 75' Erison gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Luciano and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 81' Andre is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcelo at the 81 minute mark.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Diogo Barbosa. He replaces Thiago Santos on 82 minute.
- 87' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
- 90' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Nathan gets a Yellow card.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Fluminense FC take all three points.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
44
David Braz ↓ Lele 46'
- 1
-
2
Samuel Xavier ↓ Guga 64'
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Diogo Barbosa 82'
- 10
- 12
- 38
- 14
- 45
- 8
- 5
Bench
-
40
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 82'
-
23
Guga ↑ 64'
-
19
Leonardo Fernandez ↑ 74'
-
7
Andre ↑ 81'
- 22
- 20
- –
- 37
-
99
Lele ↑ 46'
- 32
- 13
- 28
Coach
Fernando Diniz
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
David ↓ William da Silva 61'
-
25
Alisson ↓ Talles Costa 75'
- 10
- 13
- 6
- 29
- 4
- 35
- 20
- 23
-
31
Juan Santos ↓ Nathan 61'
Bench
- 93
- 8
- 28
- 21
- 43
- 36
-
37
Talles Costa ↑ 75'
-
39
William da Silva ↑ 61'
-
49
Erison ↑ 75'
-
45
Nathan ↑ 61'
- –
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Patrick | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Robert Arboleda | 2 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.45
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
48%
Fluminense FC or Sao Paulo FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
12.6%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 25% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

