Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 23 Nov 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs EC JuventudeSerie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov EC Juventude H 2–1 W
20 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–3 L
09 Nov RB Bragantino H 0–1 L
06 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–2 D
02 Nov CR Vasco da Gama A 2–0 W
26 Oct EC Bahia H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
20 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 3–3 D
08 Nov CR Vasco da Gama A 3–1 W
05 Nov SC Recife A 2–0 W
02 Nov SE Palmeiras H 0–2 L
26 Oct Gremio FBPA A 1–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sao Paulo FC and EC Juventude is underway.
  • 5' The 32-year-old Jadson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 7' GOAL! Damian Bobadilla fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 9' The referee calls foul for Jose Sabino. He receives a card.
  • 14' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and EC Juventude are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 19' EC Juventude is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 21' Luiz Mandaca was booked on 21.
  • 26' EC Juventude are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 27' Pablo Maia is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
  • 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nahuel Ferraresi, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 37' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lucas Fernandes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Juventude.
  • 42' Alan Franco has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 33 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' Fresh legs for EC Juventude! Lucas Fernandes comes on to replace Giovanny.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ruan Carneiro made 152 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 61 minute. Pablo Maia leaves to be changed by Marcos Antonio.
  • 66' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Juventude backline.
  • 69' Marcos Paulo makes way for Matheus Babi at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Juventude.
  • 74' It’s high time Thiago Carpini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 79' Controversy at the stadium! Lucca Marques argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 80' A change in the EC Juventude ranks — Caique exits the field as Edison Negueba enters on 80.
  • 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 86' EC Juventude player sees a card in front of him.
  • 87' Emiliano Rigoni is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gonzalo Tapia at the 87 minute mark.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Daniel Giraldo. He replaces Lucas Fernandes on 88 minute.
  • 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Rafael Monteiro.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Damian Bobadilla on 90 minutes.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sao Paulo FC 2-1 EC Juventude.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC46% Draw27% EC Juventude27%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Juventude
54%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Juventude
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC29% Draw49% EC Juventude22%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33%
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.