Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Sao Paulo FC
2 – 1
Full Time
EC Juventude
Sun 23 Nov 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Jose Sabino 9' Y
Y 21' Luiz Mandaca
Pablo Maia 27' Y
Lucca Marques 79' Y
R 86' Igor Formiga
Rafael Monteiro 89' Y
Damian Bobadilla 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Juventude — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

4
3
1
Sao Paulo FC 8 games · Avg 2.0 goals EC Juventude
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-23 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Juventude 2025-07-24 EC Juventude 0–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-12-04 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 EC Juventude 2024-07-21 EC Juventude 0–0 Sao Paulo FC 2022-10-23 EC Juventude 1–2 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov EC Juventude H 2–1 W
20 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–3 L
09 Nov RB Bragantino H 0–1 L
06 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–2 D
02 Nov CR Vasco da Gama A 2–0 W
26 Oct EC Bahia H 2–0 W
EC Juventude
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
20 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 3–3 D
08 Nov CR Vasco da Gama A 3–1 W
05 Nov SC Recife A 2–0 W
02 Nov SE Palmeiras H 0–2 L
26 Oct Grêmio FBPA A 1–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Morumbi. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maik, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 7' Damian Bobadilla puts Sao Paulo FC on the lead.
  • 9' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 9.
  • 14' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 19' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 21' That looks like a foul for a card for Luiz Mandaca.
  • 26' Ruan Carneiro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 27' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nahuel Ferraresi made 8 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' EC Juventude started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
  • 46' Lucas Fernandes is replacing Giovanny for the EC Juventude side.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 61 minute. Pablo Maia leaves to be changed by Marcos Antonio.
  • 66' The travelling EC Juventude supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 69' Time for substitution for EC Juventude. Marcos Paulo is replaced by Matheus Babi.
  • 74' Marcelo Hermes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 79' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 79.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Edison Negueba. He replaces Caique on 80 minute.
  • 85' EC Juventude is showing some good football. However, EC Juventude are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Igor Formiga on 86.
  • 87' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Gonzalo Tapia by Emiliano Rigoni on 87 minute.
  • 88' It is a substitution in EC Juventude team. Lucas Fernandes is replaced by Daniel Giraldo on 88 minute.
  • 89' It’s gonna be a card for Rafael Monteiro.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Damian Bobadilla. He receives a card.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sao Paulo FC players.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

EC Juventude Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Thiago Carpini

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Reinaldo 3
Luciano Neves 2
Luciano 2
Emiliano Rigoni 1
Nahuel Ferraresi 1
Ricardo Bueno 1
Damian Bobadilla 1
Jonathan Calleri 1

Head to Head

2025-11-23 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Juventude 2025-07-24 EC Juventude 0–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-12-04 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 EC Juventude 2024-07-21 EC Juventude 0–0 Sao Paulo FC 2022-10-23 EC Juventude 1–2 Sao Paulo FC

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-11-23 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Juventude W 2025-11-20 SC Corinthians Paulista 3–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-11-09 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 RB Bragantino L 2025-11-06 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 CR Flamengo D 2025-11-02 CR Vasco da Gama 0–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-10-26 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Bahia W

EC Juventude Form

2025-11-23 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Juventude L 2025-11-20 EC Juventude 3–3 Cruzeiro EC D 2025-11-08 CR Vasco da Gama 1–3 EC Juventude W 2025-11-05 SC Recife 0–2 EC Juventude W 2025-11-02 EC Juventude 0–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-10-26 Grêmio FBPA 3–1 EC Juventude L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC46% Draw27% EC Juventude27%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Juventude
54%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Juventude
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC29% Draw49% EC Juventude22%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.