Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Ceará SC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Ceará SC
2 – 0
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 2 Nov 2025 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Vinicius Zanocelo 45' Y
R 59' Ignacio
Pedro Raul 73' Y
Marllon 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Lucas Paulo Torezin

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

4
4
4
Ceará SC 12 games · Avg 1.8 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-02 Ceará SC 2–0 Fluminense FC 2025-10-29 Fluminense FC 1–0 Ceará SC 2022-10-31 Ceará SC 0–1 Fluminense FC 2022-07-09 Fluminense FC 2–1 Ceará SC 2021-10-31 Ceará SC 1–0 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
29 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
25 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
19 Oct Botafogo FR H 0–2 L
15 Oct SC Recife A 1–1 D
05 Oct Santos FC H 3–0 W
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Ceará SC A 0–2 L
29 Oct Ceará SC H 1–0 W
25 Oct SC Internacional H 1–0 W
20 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
17 Oct EC Juventude H 1–0 W
09 Oct Mirassol FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Ceara SC and Fluminense FC get this one started.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Ceara SC have won 233 goals from 238 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcos Victor, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' Brazil international Martinelli has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 35' Ceara SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 38' Antonio Galeano is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 43' Ceara SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Vinicius Zanocelo is booked for Ceara SC — card on 45.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Hercules is replaced by Nonato.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Guga made 482 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' The Ceara SC manager makes a substitution. Pedro Henrique departs to be replaced by Fernandinho.
  • 59' Ignacio was booked on 59.
  • 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leo Condé will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 69' It looks surprising Ceara SC does not make any changes. Lima has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' Brilliant from the ! Pedro Raul makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 72.
  • 73' A moment of madness from Pedro Raul on 73 minutes earns him a card. Ceara SC will be frustrated.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Everaldo comes on to replace John Kennedy.
  • 78' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Lima exits the field as Thiago Santos enters on 78.
  • 80' Vinicius Zanocelo makes way for Lourenco at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Ceara SC.
  • 84' Marllon gets the nod from Ceara SC. He replaces Marcos Victor and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' It’s gonna be a card for Marllon.
  • With this win, Ceara SC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
German Cano 3
Vinicius 3
Mateus Goncalves 2
Luiz Henrique 1
Matheus Martinelli 1
Leandro Carvalho 1
John Kennedy 1
Leandro Carvalho 1

Head to Head

2025-11-02 Ceará SC 2–0 Fluminense FC 2025-10-29 Fluminense FC 1–0 Ceará SC 2022-10-31 Ceará SC 0–1 Fluminense FC 2022-07-09 Fluminense FC 2–1 Ceará SC 2021-10-31 Ceará SC 1–0 Fluminense FC

Ceará SC Form

2025-11-02 Ceará SC 2–0 Fluminense FC W 2025-10-29 Fluminense FC 1–0 Ceará SC L 2025-10-25 CA Mineiro 1–0 Ceará SC L 2025-10-19 Ceará SC 0–2 Botafogo FR L 2025-10-15 SC Recife 1–1 Ceará SC D 2025-10-05 Ceará SC 3–0 Santos FC W

Fluminense FC Form

2025-11-02 Ceará SC 2–0 Fluminense FC L 2025-10-29 Fluminense FC 1–0 Ceará SC W 2025-10-25 Fluminense FC 1–0 SC Internacional W 2025-10-20 CR Vasco da Gama 2–0 Fluminense FC L 2025-10-17 Fluminense FC 1–0 EC Juventude W 2025-10-09 Mirassol FC 2–1 Fluminense FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC48% Draw29% Fluminense FC23%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
77%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
Ceará SC or Fluminense FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC33% Draw51% Fluminense FC16%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
13.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.