Wednesday , 11 November 2026

São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
São Paulo FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 27 Jul 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 40' Martinelli
Y 45' Lima
Ferreira 54' Y
Y 56' Facundo Bernal
Enzo Diaz 63' Y
Alan Franco 86' Y
Y 87' Juan Freytes

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

6
6
8
São Paulo FC 20 games · Avg 2.8 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-27 São Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC 2024-09-01 Fluminense FC 2–0 São Paulo FC 2024-05-13 São Paulo FC 2–1 Fluminense FC 2023-11-23 Fluminense FC 1–0 São Paulo FC 2023-07-01 São Paulo FC 1–0 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul Fluminense FC H 3–1 W
24 Jul EC Juventude A 1–0 W
20 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
17 Jul RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
12 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
13 Jun CR Vasco da Gama H 1–3 L
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul São Paulo FC A 1–3 L
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
17 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
08 Jul Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
04 Jul Al Hilal H 2–1 W

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Fluminense FC
#10 Position #4
44 Points 57
34 Played 34
12 / 8 / 14 W / D / L 16 / 9 / 9
39 Scored 55
39 Conceded 42
+0 GD +13
1.29 PPG 1.68
35% Win % 47%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 6 A
Jefferson Savarino 7 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 6 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 6 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sao Paulo FC host Fluminense FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 24' GOAL! Robert Arboleda fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 29' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker John Kennedy scoring 1 goals.
  • 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' That looks like a foul for a card for Martinelli.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Lima.
  • 46' The crowd applauds John Kennedy as he leaves the pitch. Yeferson Soteldo steps in for Fluminense FC.
  • 51' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ferreira on 54 minutes.
  • 56' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Facundo Bernal on 56 minutes.
  • 59' Ferreira doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Enzo Diaz.
  • 68' Wendell gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Enzo Diaz and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 69' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Ferreira exits the field as Andre Silva enters on 69.
  • 71' Ganso gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Lima and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 75 minute. Luciano leaves to be changed by Gonzalo Tapia.
  • 77' GOAL! Samuel Xavier scores on 77.
  • 82' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alan Franco is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 86' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 86' Jose Sabino gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Alan Franco and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' It’s gonna be a card for Juan Freytes.
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
German Cano 4
Brenner 3
Agustin Canobbio 3
Reinaldo 3
Luciano Neves 2
Luciano 2
Robert Arboleda 2
John Kennedy 2

Head to Head

2025-07-27 São Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC 2024-09-01 Fluminense FC 2–0 São Paulo FC 2024-05-13 São Paulo FC 2–1 Fluminense FC 2023-11-23 Fluminense FC 1–0 São Paulo FC 2023-07-01 São Paulo FC 1–0 Fluminense FC

São Paulo FC Form

2025-07-27 São Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC W 2025-07-24 EC Juventude 0–1 São Paulo FC W 2025-07-20 São Paulo FC 2–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2025-07-17 RB Bragantino 2–2 São Paulo FC D 2025-07-12 CR Flamengo 2–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-06-13 São Paulo FC 1–3 CR Vasco da Gama L

Fluminense FC Form

2025-07-27 São Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC L 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-07-20 CR Flamengo 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2025-07-17 Fluminense FC 0–2 Cruzeiro EC L 2025-07-08 Fluminense FC 0–2 Chelsea FC L 2025-07-04 Fluminense FC 2–1 Al Hilal W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC50% Draw26% Fluminense FC24%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Fluminense FC
50%
São Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC33% Draw47% Fluminense FC20%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.