Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
São Paulo FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 27 Jul 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 40' Martinelli
Y 45' Lima
Ferreira 54' Y
Y 56' Facundo Bernal
Enzo Diaz 63' Y
Alan Franco 86' Y
Y 87' Juan Freytes

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 São Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

6
6
8
São Paulo FC 20 games · Avg 2.8 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-27 São Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC 2024-09-01 Fluminense FC 2–0 São Paulo FC 2024-05-13 São Paulo FC 2–1 Fluminense FC 2023-11-23 Fluminense FC 1–0 São Paulo FC 2023-07-01 São Paulo FC 1–0 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul Fluminense FC H 3–1 W
24 Jul EC Juventude A 1–0 W
20 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
17 Jul RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
12 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
13 Jun CR Vasco da Gama H 1–3 L
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul São Paulo FC A 1–3 L
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
17 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
08 Jul Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
04 Jul Al Hilal H 2–1 W

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Fluminense FC
#11 Position #4
36 Points 48
27 Played 28
10 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 13 / 9 / 6
32 Scored 44
30 Conceded 36
+2 GD +8
1.33 PPG 1.71
37% Win % 46%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Fluminense FC gets underway.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Brazil international John Kennedy has been a key figure this campaign — 6 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Juan Freytes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 24' Robert Arboleda puts Sao Paulo FC on the lead.
  • 29' Lima has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 34' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 39' Facundo Bernal has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 4 appearances.
  • 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Martinelli.
  • 45' Lima catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. John Kennedy is replaced by Yeferson Soteldo.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ferreira.
  • 56' The referee calls foul for Facundo Bernal. He receives a card.
  • 59' What a moment for Ferreira! That strike on 59 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 63' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 68' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Enzo Diaz is withdrawn and Wendell gets his opportunity.
  • 69' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Ferreira trudges off to be replaced by Andre Silva on 69 minutes.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Lima is replaced by Ganso.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Luciano as he leaves the pitch. Gonzalo Tapia steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 77' Samuel Xavier adds to his 0 season tally! Fluminense FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 82' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 86' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 86.
  • 86' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Alan Franco is withdrawn and Jose Sabino gets his opportunity.
  • 87' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sao Paulo FC 3-1 Fluminense FC.

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
German Cano 4
Agustin Canobbio 3
Reinaldo 3
Brenner 3
John Kennedy 2
Patrick 2
Luciano Neves 2
Luciano 2

Head to Head

2025-07-27 São Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC 2024-09-01 Fluminense FC 2–0 São Paulo FC 2024-05-13 São Paulo FC 2–1 Fluminense FC 2023-11-23 Fluminense FC 1–0 São Paulo FC 2023-07-01 São Paulo FC 1–0 Fluminense FC

São Paulo FC Form

2025-07-27 São Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC W 2025-07-24 EC Juventude 0–1 São Paulo FC W 2025-07-20 São Paulo FC 2–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2025-07-17 RB Bragantino 2–2 São Paulo FC D 2025-07-12 CR Flamengo 2–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-06-13 São Paulo FC 1–3 CR Vasco da Gama L

Fluminense FC Form

2025-07-27 São Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC L 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-07-20 CR Flamengo 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2025-07-17 Fluminense FC 0–2 Cruzeiro EC L 2025-07-08 Fluminense FC 0–2 Chelsea FC L 2025-07-04 Fluminense FC 2–1 Al Hilal W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC52% Draw26% Fluminense FC22%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
São Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC34% Draw46% Fluminense FC20%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.