Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | São Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Nov | CA Boca Juniors | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #11 |
| 48 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 13 / 9 / 6 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 44 | Scored | 32 |
| 36 | Conceded | 30 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 46% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Maracana as Fluminense FC face off against Sao Paulo FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 9' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Beraldo on 9.
- 13' The referee has no hesitation. Guga is booked for Fluminense FC — Yellow card on 13.
- 17' Fluminense FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 17.
- 20' Controversy at the stadium! Ganso argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 28' Sao Paulo FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 28.
- 29' Poor challenge from Gabriel Neves. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Red card.
- 34' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. David Braz is replaced by Lele.
- 47' The referee has no hesitation. Martinelli is booked for Fluminense FC — Yellow card on 47.
- 52' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 54' What a moment for German Cano! That strike on 54 puts his side firmly in control.
- 59' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcelo, as he is very good at scoring at Maracana with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for David on 60.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for William da Silva. He replaces David on 61 minute.
- 64' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Guga comes on to replace Samuel Xavier.
- 69' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 74' The crowd applauds Yony Gonzalez as he leaves the pitch. Leonardo Fernandez steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 75' The whistle greets Luciano as he departs to be replaced by Erison.
- 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 81' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Marcelo by Andre on 81 minute.
- 82' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Thiago Santos is replaced by Diogo Barbosa on 82 minute.
- 87' Fluminense FC have won 426 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 90' Nathan was booked on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Fluminense FC take all three points.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
44
David Braz ↓ Lele 46'
- 1
-
2
Samuel Xavier ↓ Guga 64'
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Diogo Barbosa 82'
- 10
- 12
- 38
- 14
- 45
- 8
- 5
Bench
-
40
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 82'
-
23
Guga ↑ 64'
-
19
Leonardo Fernandez ↑ 74'
-
7
Andre ↑ 81'
- 22
- 20
- –
- 37
-
99
Lele ↑ 46'
- 32
- 13
- 28
Coach
Fernando Diniz
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
David ↓ William da Silva 61'
-
25
Alisson ↓ Talles Costa 75'
- 10
- 13
- 6
- 29
- 4
- 35
- 20
- 23
-
31
Juan Santos ↓ Nathan 61'
Bench
- 93
- 8
- 28
- 21
- 43
- 36
-
37
Talles Costa ↑ 75'
-
39
William da Silva ↑ 61'
-
49
Erison ↑ 75'
-
45
Nathan ↑ 61'
- –
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| John Kennedy | 2 |
| Patrick | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.45
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
81%
Draw or São Paulo FC
47%
Fluminense FC or São Paulo FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
13%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

