Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | São Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Nov | CA Boca Juniors | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #10 |
| 57 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 16 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 14 |
| 55 | Scored | 39 |
| 42 | Conceded | 39 |
| +13 | GD | +0 |
| 1.68 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 47% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Fluminense FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Diogo Barbosa, as he is very good at scoring at Maracana with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 9' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Lucas Beraldo.
- 13' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Guga.
- 17' Fluminense FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 17.
- 20' Fluminense FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 20.
- 25' Fluminense FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 28' Controversy at the stadium! Rafinha argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 29' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Gabriel Neves gets a Red card.
- 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 39' Juan Santos is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
- 44' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 46' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. David Braz is replaced by Lele on 46 minute.
- 47' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Martinelli.
- 52' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker John Kennedy scoring 1 goals.
- 54' GOAL! German Cano scores on 54.
- 59' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 60' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for David.
- 61' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. David has done his job and it is now time for William da Silva to step up.
- 64' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Samuel Xavier has done his job and it is now time for Guga to step up.
- 69' The 39-year-old David Braz has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 74' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Yony Gonzalez is replaced by Leonardo Fernandez on 74 minute.
- 75' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Erison is hanging Luciano on the field on 75 minute.
- 80' Sao Paulo FC have won 422 goals from 387 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 81' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Andre comes on to replace Marcelo.
- 82' Thiago Santos makes way for Diogo Barbosa at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 87' Fluminense FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's shape.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Nathan is booked for Sao Paulo FC — Yellow card on 90.
- It finishes all square. Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
44
David Braz ↓ Lele 46'
- 1
-
2
Samuel Xavier ↓ Guga 64'
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Diogo Barbosa 82'
- 10
- 12
- 38
- 14
- 45
- 8
- 5
Bench
-
40
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 82'
-
23
Guga ↑ 64'
-
19
Leonardo Fernandez ↑ 74'
-
7
Andre ↑ 81'
- 22
- 20
- –
- 37
-
99
Lele ↑ 46'
- 32
- 13
- 28
Coach
Fernando Diniz
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
David ↓ William da Silva 61'
-
25
Alisson ↓ Talles Costa 75'
- 10
- 13
- 6
- 29
- 4
- 35
- 20
- 23
-
31
Juan Santos ↓ Nathan 61'
Bench
- 93
- 8
- 28
- 21
- 43
- 36
-
37
Talles Costa ↑ 75'
-
39
William da Silva ↑ 61'
-
49
Erison ↑ 75'
-
45
Nathan ↑ 61'
- –
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Patrick | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Robert Arboleda | 2 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.5
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
82%
Draw or São Paulo FC
45%
Fluminense FC or São Paulo FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
11.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

