São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 May | CD Cobresal | A | 3–1 | W |
| 05 May | EC Vitoria | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Barcelona SC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | AC Goianiense | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May | São Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | CSD Colo-Colo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | CA Mineiro | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Apr | Club Cerro Porteno | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #4 |
| 44 | Points | 57 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 8 / 14 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 9 |
| 39 | Scored | 55 |
| 39 | Conceded | 42 |
| +0 | GD | +13 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 35% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Morumbi as Sao Paulo FC face off against Fluminense FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Igor Vinicius has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 387 appearances.
- 9' That looks like a foul for a card for Rodrigo Nestor.
- 14' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 19' Fabio is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
- 23' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 24' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Manoel on 24 minutes.
- 29' What a moment for Igor Vinicius! That strike on 29 puts his side firmly in control.
- 32' The deadlock is broken! Damian Bobadilla gets on the scoresheet on 32 minutes.
- 34' It’s gonna be a card for Alisson.
- 39' The 25-year-old Martinelli has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' A moment of madness from Luciano on 45 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- 46' John Kennedy gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Martinelli and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker John Kennedy scoring 1 goals.
- 56' Alexsander Gomes picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 59' Igor Vinicius has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
- 61' The crowd applauds Juan Santos as he leaves the pitch. Erick steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- 62' Damian Bobadilla makes way for Giuliano Galoppo at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- 67' Alisson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
- 72' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 77' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
- 79' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Elias Kaua has done his job and it is now time for David Terans to step up.
- 84' Magnificent from Robert Arboleda! That is 8 goals in 387 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 86' Fluminense FC make a change. Diogo Barbosa trudges off to be replaced by Marcelo on 86 minutes.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Erick. He receives a card.
- 90' Welington has so much to prove this time. He replaces Patryck on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sao Paulo FC players.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 5
- 2
- 28
- 17
- 11
- 36
- 23
- 31
- 21
Bench
- 33
- 93
- 16
- 35
- 8
- 32
- 47
- –
- –
- 4
- 30
- 18
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Diogo Barbosa ↓ Marcelo 86'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Martinelli ↓ John Kennedy 46'
- –
-
–
Elias Kaua ↓ David Terans 79'
Bench
-
–
David Terans ↑ 79'
- –
- –
-
–
Guga ↑ 79'
-
–
Marcelo ↑ 86'
- –
- –
-
–
John Kennedy ↑ 46'
- –
-
–
Felipe ↑ 46'
- –
- –
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Robert Arboleda | 2 |
| John Kennedy | 2 |
| Patrick | 2 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
São Paulo FC or Fluminense FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Fluminense FC
56%
São Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.3%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

