São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 May | CD Cobresal | A | 3–1 | W |
| 05 May | EC Vitoria | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Barcelona SC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | AC Goianiense | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May | São Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | CSD Colo-Colo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | CA Mineiro | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Apr | Club Cerro Porteno | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #4 |
| 36 | Points | 48 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 10 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 13 / 9 / 6 |
| 32 | Scored | 44 |
| 30 | Conceded | 36 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 37% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Sao Paulo FC have kicked off against Fluminense FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 9' Rodrigo Nestor catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 9.
- 14' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 23' The referee calls foul for Lima. He receives a card.
- 24' That looks like a foul for a card for Manoel.
- 29' The deadlock is broken! Igor Vinicius gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
- 32' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Damian Bobadilla makes it 2-0.
- 34' Controversy at the stadium! Alisson argues furiously but the card stands.
- 39' Rodrigo Nestor is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sao Paulo FC so far.
- 44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 45.
- 46' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Martinelli by John Kennedy on 46 minute.
- 51' Marquinhos, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 56' A moment of madness from Alexsander Gomes on 56 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 59' Controversy at the stadium! Igor Vinicius argues furiously but the card stands.
- 61' Erick is replacing Juan Santos for the Sao Paulo FC side.
- 62' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Giuliano Galoppo is hanging Damian Bobadilla on the field on 62 minute.
- 67' Fluminense FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 72' With 4 assists to his name this season, Jhon Arias is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
- 77' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 79' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — David Terans on, Elias Kaua off on 79 minutes.
- 84' What a moment for Robert Arboleda! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
- 86' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Diogo Barbosa is replaced by Marcelo on 86 minute.
- 90' Erick picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Patryck makes way for Welington at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sao Paulo FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 5
- 2
- 28
- 17
- 11
- 36
- 23
- 31
- 21
Bench
- 33
- 93
- 16
- 35
- 8
- 32
- 47
- –
- –
- 4
- 30
- 18
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Diogo Barbosa ↓ Marcelo 86'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Martinelli ↓ John Kennedy 46'
- –
-
–
Elias Kaua ↓ David Terans 79'
Bench
-
–
David Terans ↑ 79'
- –
- –
-
–
Guga ↑ 79'
-
–
Marcelo ↑ 86'
- –
- –
-
–
John Kennedy ↑ 46'
- –
-
–
Felipe ↑ 46'
- –
- –
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| John Kennedy | 2 |
| Patrick | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Fluminense FC
55%
São Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

