Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 23 Nov 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs EC Juventude — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov EC Juventude H 2–1 W
20 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–3 L
09 Nov RB Bragantino H 0–1 L
06 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–2 D
02 Nov CR Vasco da Gama A 2–0 W
26 Oct EC Bahia H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov São Paulo FC A 1–2 L
20 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 3–3 D
08 Nov CR Vasco da Gama A 3–1 W
05 Nov SC Recife A 2–0 W
02 Nov SE Palmeiras H 0–2 L
26 Oct Gremio FBPA A 1–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sao Paulo FC to score. At the same time, EC Juventude does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' EC Juventude fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 7' Goal! Damian Bobadilla scores his 6 goal in 12 matches.
  • 9' It’s gonna be a card for Jose Sabino.
  • 14' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 19' EC Juventude are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 21' Luiz Mandaca has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
  • 26' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 27' The referee has no hesitation. Pablo Maia is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 27.
  • 32' EC Juventude have won 161 goals from 152 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and EC Juventude are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 42' Igor Formiga is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
  • 46' Lucas Fernandes gets the nod from EC Juventude. He replaces Giovanny and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' EC Juventude is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rafael Monteiro is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Juventude.
  • 61' Marcos Antonio gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Pablo Maia and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' EC Juventude come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 69' The EC Juventude manager makes a substitution. Marcos Paulo departs to be replaced by Matheus Babi.
  • 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lucca Marques.
  • 80' Edison Negueba gets the nod from EC Juventude. He replaces Caique and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 86' That looks like a foul for a card for Igor Formiga.
  • 87' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Gonzalo Tapia exits the field as Emiliano Rigoni enters on 87.
  • 88' EC Juventude ring the changes. Lucas Fernandes has done his job and it is now time for Daniel Giraldo to step up.
  • 89' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Rafael Monteiro gets a card.
  • 90' Damian Bobadilla is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sao Paulo FC 2-1 EC Juventude.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC46% Draw27% EC Juventude27%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Juventude
54%
São Paulo FC or EC Juventude
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC29% Draw49% EC Juventude22%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.