Saturday , 26 September 2026

Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 1 Sep 2024 · 21:30 UTC Maracana 45,759 HT 45' · FT 45'
Elias Kaua 31' 1–0
Keno 90+2' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep São Paulo FC H 2–0 W
25 Aug CA Mineiro A 2–0 W
20 Aug Gremio FBPA H 6–3 W
18 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
13 Aug Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
11 Aug CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
25 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–1 W
22 Aug Club Nacional de Football H 2–0 W
18 Aug SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
15 Aug Club Nacional de Football A 0–0 D
11 Aug AC Goianiense H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Fluminense FC São Paulo FC
#4 Position #11
48 Points 36
28 Played 27
13 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
44 Scored 32
36 Conceded 30
+8 GD +2
1.71 PPG 1.33
46% Win % 37%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC is underway.
  • 5' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' Magnificent from Elias Kaua! That is 6 goals in 393 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 35' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rafinha.
  • 38' It’s gonna be a card for Jonathan Calleri.
  • 42' That looks like a foul for a card for Damian Bobadilla.
  • 46' The whistle greets Rafinha as he departs to be replaced by Nahuel Ferraresi.
  • 50' Controversy at the stadium! Thiago Santos argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Robert Arboleda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 58' Facundo Bernal was booked on 58.
  • 63' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 64' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Marcelo has done his job and it is now time for Guga to step up.
  • 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 74' Fluminense FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Kevin Serna is replaced by Keno on 79 minute.
  • 80' Guga is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
  • 85' The whistle greets Facundo Bernal as he departs to be replaced by Felipe Melo.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Thiago Silva. He receives a card.
  • 90' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Fluminense FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC55% Draw26% São Paulo FC19%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
80%
Draw or São Paulo FC
45%
Fluminense FC or São Paulo FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC38% Draw46% São Paulo FC16%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
11.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.3%
3 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.