Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | São Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 6–3 | W |
| 18 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | Fluminense FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Club Nacional de Football | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | Club Nacional de Football | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Aug | AC Goianiense | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #11 |
| 48 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 13 / 9 / 6 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 44 | Scored | 32 |
| 36 | Conceded | 30 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 46% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC is underway.
- 5' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 31' Magnificent from Elias Kaua! That is 6 goals in 393 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 35' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rafinha.
- 38' It’s gonna be a card for Jonathan Calleri.
- 42' That looks like a foul for a card for Damian Bobadilla.
- 46' The whistle greets Rafinha as he departs to be replaced by Nahuel Ferraresi.
- 50' Controversy at the stadium! Thiago Santos argues furiously but the card stands.
- 55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Robert Arboleda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
- 58' Facundo Bernal was booked on 58.
- 63' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 64' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Marcelo has done his job and it is now time for Guga to step up.
- 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 74' Fluminense FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 79' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Kevin Serna is replaced by Keno on 79 minute.
- 80' Guga is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
- 85' The whistle greets Facundo Bernal as he departs to be replaced by Felipe Melo.
- 86' The referee calls foul for Thiago Silva. He receives a card.
- 90' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Fluminense FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 29
- 3
-
10
Ganso ↓ John Kennedy 85'
- 12
- 16
- 21
-
19
Elias Kaua ↓ Lima 64'
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Keno 79'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↓ Felipe Melo 85'
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 25
-
30
Felipe Melo ↑ 85'
-
23
Guga ↑ 64'
-
11
Keno ↑ 79'
- 20
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 85'
- 77
-
45
Lima ↑ 64'
- 53
- 15
Coach
Mano Menezes
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Erick 79'
- 16
-
13
Rafinha ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 46'
-
9
Jonathan Calleri ↓ Andre Silva 85'
- 35
- 6
-
27
Wellington Rato ↓ Luciano 46'
- 39
- 23
- 21
Bench
-
33
Erick ↑ 79'
-
10
Luciano ↑ 46'
- 93
- 26
-
20
Marcos Antonio ↑ 46'
- 28
-
17
Andre Silva ↑ 85'
-
32
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 46'
- 11
- 22
- 18
- 37
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| John Kennedy | 2 |
| Patrick | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
80%
Draw or São Paulo FC
45%
Fluminense FC or São Paulo FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
11.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.3%
3 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

