EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Sep | SC Internacional | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | EC Juventude | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | AC Goianiense | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | CR Flamengo | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | AC Goianiense | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Sep | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #4 |
| 38 | Points | 57 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 8 / 16 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 9 |
| 35 | Scored | 55 |
| 51 | Conceded | 42 |
| -16 | GD | +13 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 29% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against EC Vitoria and Fluminense FC has kicked off!
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Willian Oliveira, as he is very good at scoring at Barradao with 4 goals in the last 3 games.
- 10' Fluminense FC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 15' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' EC Vitoria are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
- 25' Brazil international Marcelo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 26' Thiago Santos has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 26.
- 31' A quiet spell here at Barradao. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 36' The referee has no hesitation. Gustavo Mosquito is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 36.
- 41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Vitoria and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 46' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Keno is hanging Victor Hugo on the field on 46 minute.
- 49' Neris puts EC Vitoria on the lead.
- 54' With 1 assists to his name this season, Lucas Arcanjo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
- 59' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 61' What a moment for Lucas Arcanjo! That strike on 61 puts his side firmly in control.
- 62' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Ricardo Ryller by Machado on 62 minute.
- 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
- 72' EC Vitoria are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 74' Controversy at the stadium! Raul Caceres argues furiously but the card stands.
- 74' Fluminense FC make a change. Ganso trudges off to be replaced by Marcelo on 74 minutes.
- 76' The whistle greets Gustavo Mosquito as he departs to be replaced by Jose Hugo.
- 81' Ignacio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thiago Santos on 81 minute.
- 86' Leo Naldi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 86.
- 90' Alerrandro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- The final score is 2-1.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 37
- 77
- 28
- 27
- 43
- 16
- 7
- 29
- 1
- 30
Bench
- 10
- 36
- 12
- 25
- 96
- 22
- 17
- 39
- 48
- 62
- 5
- 97
Coach
Thiago Carpini
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 26
- 2
- 6
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Ignacio 81'
- 10
- 45
- 21
- 8
-
19
Elias Kaua ↓ German Cano 74'
-
20
Victor Hugo ↓ Keno 46'
Bench
- 98
- 80
- 25
- 23
-
12
Marcelo ↑ 74'
-
11
Keno ↑ 46'
-
4
Ignacio ↑ 81'
-
14
German Cano ↑ 74'
- 77
- 32
- 31
- 55
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Hercules | 1 |
| Neris | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Carlos Rene | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| John Kennedy | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.18
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
67%
Draw or Fluminense FC
61%
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 20% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

