EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Sep | SC Internacional | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | EC Juventude | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | AC Goianiense | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | CR Flamengo | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | AC Goianiense | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Sep | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #3 |
| 22 | Points | 31 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 9 / 4 / 5 |
| 21 | Scored | 28 |
| 25 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | +5 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 35% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Barradao will turn into a battlefield for EC Vitoria and Fluminense FC.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitoria must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Fluminense FC have won 415 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Vitoria and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 26' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 26.
- 31' EC Vitoria are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 36' A moment of madness from Gustavo Mosquito on 36 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
- 41' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 46' The crowd applauds Victor Hugo as he leaves the pitch. Keno steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 49' Neris is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Elias Kaua made 386 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 61' GOAL! Lucas Arcanjo fires home to make it 2-0!
- 62' EC Vitoria make a change. Ricardo Ryller trudges off to be replaced by Machado on 62 minutes.
- 67' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 72' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Raul Caceres on 74.
- 74' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Ganso exits the field as Marcelo enters on 74.
- 76' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jose Hugo is hanging Gustavo Mosquito on the field on 76 minute.
- 81' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 81 minute. Thiago Santos leaves to be changed by Ignacio.
- 86' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Leo Naldi gets a card.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Alerrandro.
- Fluminense FC will have plenty to reflect on. EC Vitoria were simply the better side today.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 37
- 77
- 28
- 27
- 43
- 16
- 7
- 29
- 1
- 30
Bench
- 10
- 36
- 12
- 25
- 96
- 22
- 17
- 39
- 48
- 62
- 5
- 97
Coach
Thiago Carpini
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 26
- 2
- 6
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Ignacio 81'
- 10
- 45
- 21
- 8
-
19
Elias Kaua ↓ German Cano 74'
-
20
Victor Hugo ↓ Keno 46'
Bench
- 98
- 80
- 25
- 23
-
12
Marcelo ↑ 74'
-
11
Keno ↑ 46'
-
4
Ignacio ↑ 81'
-
14
German Cano ↑ 74'
- 77
- 32
- 31
- 55
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Neris | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Carlos Rene | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| John Kennedy | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Kevin Serna | 1 |
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
70%
Draw or Fluminense FC
57%
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

