EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Sep | SC Internacional | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | EC Juventude | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | AC Goianiense | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | CR Flamengo | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | AC Goianiense | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Sep | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 26 | Points | 38 |
| 22 | Played | 23 |
| 7 / 5 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 34 |
| 33 | Conceded | 28 |
| -11 | GD | +6 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 32% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: EC Vitoria gets underway.
- 5' EC Vitoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' It looks surprising EC Vitoria does not make any changes. Ganso has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' EC Vitoria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' It’s high time Thiago Carpini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Brazil international Martinelli has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 26' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 26.
- 31' A quiet spell here at Barradao. EC Vitoria seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 36' Poor challenge from Gustavo Mosquito. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mano Menezes might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Keno. He replaces Victor Hugo on 46 minute.
- 49' Neris has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 54' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 59' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 61' Against the run of play, Lucas Arcanjo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 62' Machado has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ricardo Ryller on 62 minute.
- 67' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 72' EC Vitoria currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 74' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Raul Caceres will be fuming at that decision.
- 74' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Marcelo on, Ganso off on 74 minutes.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Jose Hugo. He replaces Gustavo Mosquito on 76 minute.
- 81' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Ignacio comes on to replace Thiago Santos.
- 86' That looks like a foul for a card for Leo Naldi.
- 90' Alerrandro was booked on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 37
- 77
- 28
- 27
- 43
- 16
- 7
- 29
- 1
- 30
Bench
- 10
- 36
- 12
- 25
- 96
- 22
- 17
- 39
- 48
- 62
- 5
- 97
Coach
Thiago Carpini
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 26
- 2
- 6
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Ignacio 81'
- 10
- 45
- 21
- 8
-
19
Elias Kaua ↓ German Cano 74'
-
20
Victor Hugo ↓ Keno 46'
Bench
- 98
- 80
- 25
- 23
-
12
Marcelo ↑ 74'
-
11
Keno ↑ 46'
-
4
Ignacio ↑ 81'
-
14
German Cano ↑ 74'
- 77
- 32
- 31
- 55
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Carlos Rene | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| John Kennedy | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Kevin Serna | 1 |
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
| Lucas Braga | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.17
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
68%
Draw or Fluminense FC
60%
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 19% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

