EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Sep | SC Internacional | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | EC Juventude | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | AC Goianiense | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | CR Flamengo | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | AC Goianiense | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Sep | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 33 | Points | 48 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 13 / 9 / 6 |
| 28 | Scored | 44 |
| 42 | Conceded | 36 |
| -14 | GD | +8 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 32% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Barradao!
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' Keno has been relatively quiet despite scoring 27 goals in his last 380 appearances.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 26' Thiago Santos catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 26.
- 31' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 36' Gustavo Mosquito is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
- 41' EC Vitoria is showing some good football. However, EC Vitoria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Victor Hugo departs to be replaced by Keno.
- 49' EC Vitoria is taking the lead after the goal scored by Neris on 45.
- 54' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker John Kennedy scoring 1 goals.
- 59' Fluminense FC have won 426 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 61' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lucas Arcanjo makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 62' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Ricardo Ryller has done his job and it is now time for Machado to step up.
- 67' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Samuel Xavier made 238 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 72' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mano Menezes might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 74' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Raul Caceres will be fuming at that decision.
- 74' Ganso makes way for Marcelo at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 76' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Jose Hugo comes on to replace Gustavo Mosquito.
- 81' Fluminense FC make a change. Thiago Santos trudges off to be replaced by Ignacio on 81 minutes.
- 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Leo Naldi on 86 minutes.
- 90' Alerrandro is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- The final score is 2-1.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 37
- 77
- 28
- 27
- 43
- 16
- 7
- 29
- 1
- 30
Bench
- 10
- 36
- 12
- 25
- 96
- 22
- 17
- 39
- 48
- 62
- 5
- 97
Coach
Thiago Carpini
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 26
- 2
- 6
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Ignacio 81'
- 10
- 45
- 21
- 8
-
19
Elias Kaua ↓ German Cano 74'
-
20
Victor Hugo ↓ Keno 46'
Bench
- 98
- 80
- 25
- 23
-
12
Marcelo ↑ 74'
-
11
Keno ↑ 46'
-
4
Ignacio ↑ 81'
-
14
German Cano ↑ 74'
- 77
- 32
- 31
- 55
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hercules | 1 |
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
| Janderson Costa | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Neris | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Carlos Rene | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.18
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
68%
Draw or Fluminense FC
60%
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 19% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

