Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | Mirassol FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Chapecoense AF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 May | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 48 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 9 / 6 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 44 | Scored | 43 |
| 36 | Conceded | 35 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 46% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Fluminense FC and EC Bahia has kicked off!
- 5' EC Bahia come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Marcos Victor is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 11' Ignacio is having his name booked by the referee on 11.
- 12' Ignacio was booked on 12.
- 17' Fluminense FC currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 22' Fluminense FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's 3-1-4-2 shape.
- 27' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fluminense FC and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 41' The supporters are chanting for Thiago Silva. He replaces Juan Freytes on 41 minute.
- 46' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with EC Bahia winning 0% of all matches.
- 49' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Erick on 49 minutes.
- 50' Erick is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
- 55' With 1 assists to his name this season, Yeferson Soteldo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 62' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jefferson Savarino is hanging Luciano Acosta on the field on 62 minute.
- 64' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Ademir Santos is withdrawn and Everton Ribeiro gets his opportunity.
- 65' Michel Araujo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luciano Juba at the 65 minute mark.
- 70' Hulk has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
- 74' David Martins is replacing Jean Lucas for the EC Bahia side.
- 75' Erick makes way for Kaue Junior at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 80' The 17-year-old Kaue Junior has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 85' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 88' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Alejo Veliz is withdrawn and Willian Jose gets his opportunity.
- The final score is 0-0.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 16
- 32
- 4
-
22
Juan Freytes ↓ Thiago Silva 41'
- 30
-
7
Hulk ↓ German Cano 75'
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Hercules 62'
- 17
Bench
- 25
- 21
- 23
-
3
Thiago Silva ↑ 41'
- 10
- 94
-
11
Jefferson Savarino ↑ 62'
- 27
-
14
German Cano ↑ 75'
-
35
Hercules ↑ 62'
- 90
- 28
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
EC Bahia Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 1
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ David Martins 74'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Everton Ribeiro 64'
- 11
- 21
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Michel Araujo 65'
- 5
-
9
Alejo Veliz ↓ Willian Jose 88'
- 44
-
16
Erick ↓ Kaue Junior 75'
- 31
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 64'
- 4
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 88'
- 17
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 65'
- 23
- 55
- 43
- 67
-
63
David Martins ↑ 74'
-
57
Kaue Junior ↑ 75'
- 77
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Nonato | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
72%
Draw or EC Bahia
57%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

