Thursday , 2 July 2026

FV Illertissen vs 1. FC Nurnberg, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
9 8
6 – 5 pen
Full Time
Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FV Illertissen vs 1. FC NurnbergDFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Alt
12 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
FV Illertissen 1 games · Avg 17.0 goals 1. FC Nurnberg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug 1. FC Nurnberg H 9–8 W
13 Aug TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 1–3 L
30 Jul 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug FV Illertissen A 8–9 L
08 Aug SV Darmstadt 98 H 0–1 L
02 Aug SV 07 Elversberg A 0–1 L
18 May Eintracht Braunschweig A 4–1 W
09 May 1. FC Koln H 1–2 L
04 May SV 07 Elversberg H 1–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FV Illertissen Lineups

1. FC Nurnberg Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.75 FV Illertissen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.58 1. FC Nurnberg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 97% + Both teams to score 94%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FV Illertissen48% Draw18% 1. FC Nurnberg34%
Actual: FV Illertissen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes94% 0% No6%
Avg goals/match: 7.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 100%
0%
± 1.5 99%
1%
± 2.5 97%
3%
± 3.5 92%
8%
± 4.5 83%
17%

Double Chance

FV Illertissen or Draw
66%
Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg
52%
FV Illertissen or 1. FC Nurnberg
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FV Illertissen38% Draw27% 1. FC Nurnberg35%
Actual: FV Illertissen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 9–8 not predicted
9 – 8
Actual
3 – 3
4.5%
4 – 3
4.2%
3 – 4
4%
3 – 2
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 4
3.7%
4 – 2
3.6%
2 – 4
3.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
5 – 3
3.1%
3 – 5
2.9%
5 – 4
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FV Illertissen

Handicap FV Illertissen covers Push 1. FC Nurnberg covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 12% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 15% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 14% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 11% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

FV Illertissen keeps clean sheet
3%
1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.