FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Arena Baltika.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | FK Orenburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | FK Rostov | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | PFK Sochi | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Baltika Kaliningrad | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 46 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 11 / 13 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 38 | Scored | 29 |
| 21 | Conceded | 44 |
| +17 | GD | -15 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 37% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FK Baltika Kaliningrad get us underway at Arena Baltika.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 342 games and scored 207 goals.
- 10' It’s high time Sergey Ignashevich made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' FK Baltika Kaliningrad currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maksim Kuzmin made 60 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 23' The Bosnia and Herzegovina Gedeon Guzina breaks the deadlock on 23 minutes. 1-0!
- 27' Dmitry Vorobyev was booked on 27.
- 32' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's shape.
- 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 46' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Arsen Adamov departs to be replaced by Leo Goglichidze.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Baltika Kaliningrad must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Roberto Fernandez suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad bench stirs into life. Guillermo Soto is withdrawn and Kirill Malyarov gets his opportunity.
- 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 66' A change in the FK Baltika Kaliningrad ranks — Maksim Kuzmin exits the field as Artur Galoyan enters on 66.
- 71' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 75' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Dmitry Vorobyev exits the field as Vladimir Obukhov enters on 75.
- 76' Poor challenge from Matias Perez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 81' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Baltika Kaliningrad side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 83' A moment of madness from Kristijan Bistrovic on 83 minutes earns him a card. FK Baltika Kaliningrad will be frustrated.
- 84' Aslan Dudiev has so much to prove this time. He replaces Roberto Fernandez on 84 minute.
- 87' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Maksim Sidorov has done his job and it is now time for Justin Cuero to step up.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for FK Baltika Kaliningrad and FK Orenburg (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 7
-
9
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Tamerlan Musaev 60'
- 21
- –
-
18
Angelo Henriquez ↓ Yan Kazaev 84'
- 1
-
6
Maksim Kuzmin ↓ Artur Galoyan 66'
- 26
- 5
- –
Bench
- 23
- –
-
10
Yan Kazaev ↑ 84'
-
3
Kirill Malyarov ↑ 60'
- 59
-
22
Tamerlan Musaev ↑ 60'
-
20
Artur Galoyan ↑ 66'
- 67
- 66
-
8
Aslan Dudiev ↑ 84'
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 55
- 15
- 99
- 10
- 22
-
6
Arsen Adamov ↓ Leo Goglichidze 46'
- 8
- 23
- 9
-
17
Yuriy Kovalev ↓ Jimmy Marin 46'
-
81
Maksim Sidorov ↓ Justin Cuero 87'
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 46'
- 2
- 90
-
21
Cesar Florentin ↑ 46'
-
5
Leo Goglichidze ↑ 46'
-
13
Vladimir Obukhov ↑ 75'
- 11
- 4
- –
- 3
- 7
-
–
Justin Cuero ↑ 87'
Coach
David Deogracia
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
| Jimmy Marin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2023-10-07
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
FK Orenburg
W
2023-09-30
PFC CSKA Moskva
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-09-23
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-09-16
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Rostov
D
2023-09-03
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-27
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
FK Orenburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 70% + Under 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.94
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 2.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
85%
Draw or FK Orenburg
42%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Orenburg
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
16.6%
2 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
4 – 0
2.6%
1 – 2
2.3%
2 – 2
1.8%
0 – 2
1.5%
Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Handicap | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 8% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
62%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.