FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Arena Baltika.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 9 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Krasnodar | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Rubin Kazan | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Orenburg | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | FK Rostov | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Rodina Moskva | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | FK Orenburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | FK Rostov | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | PFK Sochi | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Baltika Kaliningrad | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #11 |
| 11 | Points | 9 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 1 / 6 / 2 |
| 14 | Scored | 7 |
| 12 | Conceded | 10 |
| +2 | GD | -3 |
| 1.22 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 11% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
25%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 8th (11 pts). FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Brayan Gil | 4 G | 1 A |
| Nnamdi Chinonso Offor | 2 G | |
| Maksim Petrov | 1 G | 1 A |
| Aymane Mourid | 1 G |
FK Orenburg
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FK Baltika Kaliningrad gets underway.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' FK Baltika Kaliningrad is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 343 games and scored 208 goals.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 23' Gedeon Guzina has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 23 minutes.
- 27' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 32' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Baltika Kaliningrad in their trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact .
- 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 42' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 46' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Leo Goglichidze on, Arsen Adamov off on 46 minutes.
- 51' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maksim Sidorov, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Baltika with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 60' Fresh legs for FK Baltika Kaliningrad! Kirill Malyarov comes on to replace Guillermo Soto.
- 65' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Baltika Kaliningrad and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 66' FK Baltika Kaliningrad make a change. Maksim Kuzmin trudges off to be replaced by Artur Galoyan on 66 minutes.
- 71' Maksim Kuzmin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 7 cards already picked up this season.
- 75' FK Orenburg make a change. Dmitry Vorobyev trudges off to be replaced by Vladimir Obukhov on 75 minutes.
- 76' Matias Perez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 76.
- 81' Angelo Henriquez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 83' The referee has no hesitation. Kristijan Bistrovic is booked for FK Baltika Kaliningrad — card on 83.
- 84' The whistle greets Roberto Fernandez as he departs to be replaced by Aslan Dudiev.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Justin Cuero. He replaces Maksim Sidorov on 87 minute.
- Another three points for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
Lineups
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 7
-
9
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Tamerlan Musaev 60'
- 21
- –
-
18
Angelo Henriquez ↓ Yan Kazaev 84'
- 1
-
6
Maksim Kuzmin ↓ Artur Galoyan 66'
- 26
- 5
- –
Bench
- 23
- –
-
10
Yan Kazaev ↑ 84'
-
3
Kirill Malyarov ↑ 60'
- 59
-
22
Tamerlan Musaev ↑ 60'
-
20
Artur Galoyan ↑ 66'
- 67
- 66
-
8
Aslan Dudiev ↑ 84'
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 55
- 15
- 99
- 10
- 22
-
6
Arsen Adamov ↓ Leo Goglichidze 46'
- 8
- 23
- 9
-
17
Yuriy Kovalev ↓ Jimmy Marin 46'
-
81
Maksim Sidorov ↓ Justin Cuero 87'
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 46'
- 2
- 90
-
21
Cesar Florentin ↑ 46'
-
5
Leo Goglichidze ↑ 46'
-
13
Vladimir Obukhov ↑ 75'
- 11
- 4
- –
- 3
- 7
-
–
Justin Cuero ↑ 87'
Coach
David Deogracia
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
| Jimmy Marin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2023-10-07
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
FK Orenburg
W
2023-09-30
PFC CSKA Moskva
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-09-23
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-09-16
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Rostov
D
2023-09-03
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-27
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
FK Orenburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
82%
Draw or FK Orenburg
47%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Orenburg
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
16.9%
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
1.9%
Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Handicap | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
56%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.