FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Arena Baltika.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | FK Orenburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | FK Rostov | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | PFK Sochi | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Baltika Kaliningrad | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #10 |
| 17 | Points | 17 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 4 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 3 |
| 17 | Scored | 14 |
| 15 | Conceded | 14 |
| +2 | GD | +0 |
| 1.21 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 29% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 9th (17 pts). FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Brayan Gil | 5 G | 1 A |
| Nnamdi Chinonso Offor | 2 G | |
| Maksim Petrov | 1 G | 1 A |
| Aymane Mourid | 1 G |
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Arena Baltika. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Ecuador international Justin Cuero has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Baltika Kaliningrad in their trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact .
- 23' A goal from the Bosnia and Herzegovina international Gedeon Guzina! He fires home on 23 to make it 1-0!
- 27' That is a card for FK Orenburg. Dmitry Vorobyev will be fuming at that decision.
- 32' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Baltika Kaliningrad must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 42' Guillermo Soto has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 46' Arsen Adamov makes way for Leo Goglichidze at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
- 51' A quiet spell here at Arena Baltika. FK Baltika Kaliningrad seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 60' FK Baltika Kaliningrad make a change. Guillermo Soto trudges off to be replaced by Kirill Malyarov on 60 minutes.
- 65' FK Baltika Kaliningrad seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 66' A change in the FK Baltika Kaliningrad ranks — Maksim Kuzmin exits the field as Artur Galoyan enters on 66.
- 71' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 75' Dmitry Vorobyev makes way for Vladimir Obukhov at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
- 76' It’s a booking for FK Orenburg player. Matias Perez gets a card.
- 81' FK Orenburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kristijan Bistrovic on 83.
- 84' FK Baltika Kaliningrad make a change. Roberto Fernandez trudges off to be replaced by Aslan Dudiev on 84 minutes.
- 87' The crowd applauds Maksim Sidorov as he leaves the pitch. Justin Cuero steps in for FK Orenburg.
- The points are shared — FK Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 FK Orenburg. Honours even.
Lineups
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 7
-
9
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Tamerlan Musaev 60'
- 21
- –
-
18
Angelo Henriquez ↓ Yan Kazaev 84'
- 1
-
6
Maksim Kuzmin ↓ Artur Galoyan 66'
- 26
- 5
- –
Bench
- 23
- –
-
10
Yan Kazaev ↑ 84'
-
3
Kirill Malyarov ↑ 60'
- 59
-
22
Tamerlan Musaev ↑ 60'
-
20
Artur Galoyan ↑ 66'
- 67
- 66
-
8
Aslan Dudiev ↑ 84'
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 55
- 15
- 99
- 10
- 22
-
6
Arsen Adamov ↓ Leo Goglichidze 46'
- 8
- 23
- 9
-
17
Yuriy Kovalev ↓ Jimmy Marin 46'
-
81
Maksim Sidorov ↓ Justin Cuero 87'
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 46'
- 2
- 90
-
21
Cesar Florentin ↑ 46'
-
5
Leo Goglichidze ↑ 46'
-
13
Vladimir Obukhov ↑ 75'
- 11
- 4
- –
- 3
- 7
-
–
Justin Cuero ↑ 87'
Coach
David Deogracia
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
| Jimmy Marin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2023-10-07
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
FK Orenburg
W
2023-09-30
PFC CSKA Moskva
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-09-23
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-09-16
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Rostov
D
2023-09-03
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-27
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
FK Orenburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.74
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
80%
Draw or FK Orenburg
52%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Orenburg
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
2 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
2 – 2
2.2%
4 – 0
1.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Handicap | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 26% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 13% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
55%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.