FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Arena Baltika.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2025/26)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | FK Orenburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | FK Rostov | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | PFK Sochi | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Baltika Kaliningrad | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 46 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 11 / 13 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 38 | Scored | 29 |
| 21 | Conceded | 44 |
| +17 | GD | -15 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 37% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Arena Baltika as FK Baltika Kaliningrad face off against FK Orenburg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Baltika Kaliningrad is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's shape.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Baltika Kaliningrad must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' Jimmy Marin, a Costa Rica , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 23' Gedeon Guzina has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 23 minutes.
- 27' Dmitry Vorobyev was booked on 27.
- 32' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 37' Justin Cuero has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 342 appearances.
- 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 46' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Arsen Adamov is withdrawn and Leo Goglichidze gets his opportunity.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' FK Baltika Kaliningrad started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 60' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad bench stirs into life. Guillermo Soto is withdrawn and Kirill Malyarov gets his opportunity.
- 65' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Baltika Kaliningrad in their trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact .
- 66' FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Artur Galoyan is hanging Maksim Kuzmin on the field on 66 minute.
- 71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 75' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Dmitry Vorobyev departs to be replaced by Vladimir Obukhov.
- 76' Matias Perez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 76.
- 81' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 83' Poor challenge from Kristijan Bistrovic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 84' Time for substitution for FK Baltika Kaliningrad. Roberto Fernandez is replaced by Aslan Dudiev.
- 87' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Justin Cuero on, Maksim Sidorov off on 87 minutes.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 7
-
9
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Tamerlan Musaev 60'
- 21
- –
-
18
Angelo Henriquez ↓ Yan Kazaev 84'
- 1
-
6
Maksim Kuzmin ↓ Artur Galoyan 66'
- 26
- 5
- –
Bench
- 23
- –
-
10
Yan Kazaev ↑ 84'
-
3
Kirill Malyarov ↑ 60'
- 59
-
22
Tamerlan Musaev ↑ 60'
-
20
Artur Galoyan ↑ 66'
- 67
- 66
-
8
Aslan Dudiev ↑ 84'
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 55
- 15
- 99
- 10
- 22
-
6
Arsen Adamov ↓ Leo Goglichidze 46'
- 8
- 23
- 9
-
17
Yuriy Kovalev ↓ Jimmy Marin 46'
-
81
Maksim Sidorov ↓ Justin Cuero 87'
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 46'
- 2
- 90
-
21
Cesar Florentin ↑ 46'
-
5
Leo Goglichidze ↑ 46'
-
13
Vladimir Obukhov ↑ 75'
- 11
- 4
- –
- 3
- 7
-
–
Justin Cuero ↑ 87'
Coach
David Deogracia
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
| Jimmy Marin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2023-10-07
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
FK Orenburg
W
2023-09-30
PFC CSKA Moskva
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-09-23
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-09-16
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Rostov
D
2023-09-03
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-27
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
FK Orenburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 70% + Under 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.94
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 2.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
85%
Draw or FK Orenburg
42%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Orenburg
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
16.6%
2 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
4 – 0
2.6%
1 – 2
2.3%
2 – 2
1.8%
0 – 2
1.5%
Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Handicap | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 8% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
62%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.