Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FK Orenburg vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
3 – 0
Full Time
Sun 3 Sep 2023 · 10:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep PFK Sochi H 3–0 W
25 Aug PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–1 D
20 Aug RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–4 L
12 Aug FK Krasnodar H 0–2 L
05 Aug FK Ural H 0–2 L
30 Jul FK Rubin Kazan A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep FK Orenburg A 0–3 L
27 Aug FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L
19 Aug FK Rostov H 4–0 W
13 Aug PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–3 L
06 Aug RFK Akhmat Grozny H 1–2 L
30 Jul FK Krasnodar A 0–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Ruslan Kul 3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Orenburg launch into their encounter with PFK Sochi.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' It looks surprising PFK Sochi does not make any changes. Amir Batyrev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 16' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Maksim Sidorov by Kirill Pechenin on 16 minute.
  • 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Brian Mansilla made 343 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' PFK Sochi seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 33' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ivan Miladinovic on 33 minutes.
  • 35' Georgi Melkadze has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 35.
  • 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 41' Controversy at the stadium! Artur Yusupov argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 43' Artur Yusupov makes way for Amir Batyrev at the 43 minute mark. A tactical switch from PFK Sochi.
  • 46' Another change for PFK Sochi made on 46 minute. Timofey Margasov leaves to be changed by Luka Dordevic.
  • 47' Poor challenge from Luka Dordevic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 47' Kirill Zaika gets the nod from PFK Sochi. He replaces Georgi Melkadze and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' Brian Mansilla doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 58' Vladimir Obukhov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
  • 63' FK Orenburg currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 65' It is a substitution in PFK Sochi team. Artem Makarchuk is replaced by Ivan Ignatjev on 65 minute.
  • 70' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Orenburg in their trying to find a way past PFK Sochi's compact .
  • 72' Stepan Oganesyan gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Brian Mansilla and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Yuriy Kovalev is withdrawn and Kirill Kaplenko gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Miguel Silveira makes way for Nikita Burmistrov at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from PFK Sochi.
  • 78' Poor challenge from Amir Batyrev. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 81' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Justin Cuero is hanging Vladimir Obukhov on the field on 81 minute.
  • 82' Kirill Kaplenko picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 87' Lucas Vera has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 88' FK Orenburg make a change. Jimmy Marin trudges off to be replaced by Feyttullah Gurluk on 88 minutes.
  • PFK Sochi will have plenty to reflect on. FK Orenburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: FK Orenburg to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg56% Draw24% PFK Sochi20%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
80%
Draw or PFK Sochi
44%
FK Orenburg or PFK Sochi
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg39% Draw44% PFK Sochi17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3%
0 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.