Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Orenburg vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
3 0
Full Time
Sun 3 Sep 2023 · 10:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs PFK SochiRFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep PFK Sochi H 3–0 W
25 Aug PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–1 D
20 Aug RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–4 L
12 Aug FK Krasnodar H 0–2 L
05 Aug FK Ural H 0–2 L
30 Jul FK Rubin Kazan A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep FK Orenburg A 0–3 L
27 Aug FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L
19 Aug FK Rostov H 4–0 W
13 Aug PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–3 L
06 Aug RFK Akhmat Grozny H 1–2 L
30 Jul FK Krasnodar A 0–2 L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg PFK Sochi
#12 Position #16
29 Points 22
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 20
29 Scored 29
44 Conceded 60
-15 GD -31
0.97 PPG 0.73
23% Win % 20%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.04 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: FK Orenburg to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg59% Draw23% PFK Sochi18%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
82%
Draw or PFK Sochi
41%
FK Orenburg or PFK Sochi
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg43% Draw42% PFK Sochi15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
36%
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.