PFC CSKA Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PFC CSKA Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at VEB Arena.
- PFC CSKA Moskva 30 games · 51 pts (2026/27)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | FK Rostov | A | 3–3 | D |
| 16 Sep | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | FK Orenburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | FK Rostov | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | FK Ural | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| PFC CSKA Moskva | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 51 | Points | 46 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 15 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 11 / 13 / 6 |
| 44 | Scored | 38 |
| 33 | Conceded | 21 |
| +11 | GD | +17 |
| 1.70 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 50% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
PFC CSKA Moskva are 5th (51 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. PFC CSKA Moskva kicks off things out of here…
- 5' FK Baltika Kaliningrad looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. PFC CSKA Moskva and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 12' PFC CSKA Moskva make a change. Ilya Agapov trudges off to be replaced by Kirill Nababkin on 12 minutes.
- 17' Kirill Malyarov has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 364 appearances.
- 18' What a strike from Victor Davila! The score is 1-0.
- 23' FK Baltika Kaliningrad fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 28' PFC CSKA Moskva currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' The referee has no hesitation. Ivan Ostojic is booked for FK Baltika Kaliningrad — card on 30.
- 35' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 40' FK Baltika Kaliningrad have won 40 goals from 60 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 50' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both PFC CSKA Moskva and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 55' PFC CSKA Moskva started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
- 59' It is a substitution in FK Baltika Kaliningrad team. Angelo Henriquez is replaced by Maksim Kuzmin on 59 minute.
- 63' Kirill Malyarov gets the nod from FK Baltika Kaliningrad. He replaces Guillermo Soto and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' The referee calls foul for Nathan Gassama. He receives a card.
- 70' Abbosbek Fayzullaev has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
- 75' FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tamerlan Musaev is hanging Gedeon Guzina on the field on 75 minute.
- 80' It’s high time Vladimir Fedotov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 81' The PFC CSKA Moskva bench stirs into life. Victor Davila is withdrawn and Konstantin Kuchaev gets his opportunity.
- 86' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His PFC CSKA Moskva side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 89' Anton Zabolotnyi is replacing Ivan Oblyakov for the PFC CSKA Moskva side.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
PFC CSKA Moskva Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 35
- 9
- 10
- 5
-
77
Ilya Agapov ↓ Kirill Nababkin 12'
- –
- 6
- 4
- 21
- –
Bench
-
91
Anton Zabolotnyi ↑ 89'
-
20
Konstantin Kuchaev ↑ 81'
-
14
Kirill Nababkin ↑ 12'
- 49
- 72
- 88
- 53
- 68
- 57
Coach
Vladimir Fedotov
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 7
-
9
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Tamerlan Musaev 75'
- 21
- –
- 18
- 1
- 26
-
20
Artur Galoyan ↓ Yan Kazaev 63'
- 5
- –
Bench
- 23
- –
-
10
Yan Kazaev ↑ 63'
-
3
Kirill Malyarov ↑ 63'
- 59
-
22
Tamerlan Musaev ↑ 75'
-
6
Maksim Kuzmin ↑ 59'
- 67
- 66
-
8
Aslan Dudiev ↑ 75'
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Fernandes | 1 |
| Victor Davila | 1 |
| Kirill Glebov | 1 |
| Kristijan Bistrovic | 1 |
| Kirill Kaplenko | 1 |
PFC CSKA Moskva Form
2023-09-30
PFC CSKA Moskva
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
W
2023-09-24
FK Rostov
3–3
PFC CSKA Moskva
D
2023-09-16
PFC CSKA Moskva
2–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
D
2023-09-03
PFC CSKA Moskva
1–1
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
D
2023-08-25
FK Orenburg
1–1
PFC CSKA Moskva
D
2023-08-19
FK Dinamo Moskva
2–1
PFC CSKA Moskva
L
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2023-09-30
PFC CSKA Moskva
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-09-23
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-09-16
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Rostov
D
2023-09-03
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-27
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-19
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Ural
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17
PFC CSKA Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PFC CSKA Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.97
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
PFC CSKA Moskva or Draw
77%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
53%
PFC CSKA Moskva or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PFC CSKA Moskva win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.4%
Asian Handicap — PFC CSKA Moskva
| Handicap | PFC CSKA Moskva covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 16% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
PFC CSKA Moskva keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.