Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 3–1 W
24 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod A 1–3 L
17 Sep FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 2–0 W
03 Sep PFK Sochi H 3–0 W
25 Aug PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–1 D
20 Aug RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep FK Orenburg A 1–3 L
24 Sep FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 1–2 L
17 Sep FK Rubin Kazan A 3–0 W
03 Sep PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–1 D
26 Aug FK Ural H 4–0 W
20 Aug FK Spartak Moskva A 3–1 W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
#12 Position #1
29 Points 68
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 20 / 8 / 2
29 Scored 53
44 Conceded 19
-15 GD +34
0.97 PPG 2.27
23% Win % 67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg gets underway.
  • 2' Goal! Gustavo Mantuan scores his 19 goal in 373 matches.
  • 7' Goal! Dmitry Vorobyev scores his 20 goal in 149 matches.
  • 9' A tactical swap from FK Zenit Sankt-PetersburgAleksey Sutormin on, Mario Fernandes off on 9 minutes.
  • 14' Renato Gojkovic picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 19' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maksim Sidorov suffering a number of foals already.
  • 24' Wilmar Barrios needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Magnificent from Matias Perez! That is 12 goals in 163 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 30' It looks surprising FK Orenburg does not make any changes. Yuriy Kovalev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 36' Brian Mansilla is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' Rodrigao gets the nod from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg. He replaces Danil Krugovoy and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 49' That looks like a foul for a card for Maksim Sidorov.
  • 54' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 59' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 64' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
  • 65' Stepan Oganesyan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuriy Kovalev on 65 minute.
  • 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 72' Wilson Isidor catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 72.
  • 73' The referee has no hesitation. Brian Mansilla is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 73.
  • 78' Claudinho makes way for Aleksandr Erokhin at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Justin Cuero. He receives a card.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Justin Cuero. He replaces Dmitry Vorobyev on 81 minute.
  • 86' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Brian Mansilla by Jimmy Marin on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rodrigao.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg28% Draw24% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg48%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
52%
Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
72%
FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg17% Draw41% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg42%
Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–1 not predicted
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 3
5.7%
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 1
5.3%
1 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 22% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
14%
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.