FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2023-24

FK Orenburg

3 – 1

Full Time

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik HT 45' · FT 45'

Renato Gojkovic 14' Y

Maksim Sidorov 49' Y

Y 72' Wilson Isidor

Brian Mansilla 73' Y

Justin Cuero 81' Y

Y 90' Rodrigao

Ivan Basic 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 games · 68 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2022-09-11 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 8–0 FK Orenburg 2020-07-15 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 4–1 FK Orenburg 2019-07-28 FK Orenburg 0–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	3–1	W
24 Sep	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	1–3	L
17 Sep	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	2–0	W
03 Sep	PFK Sochi	H	3–0	W
25 Aug	PFC CSKA Moskva	H	1–1	D
20 Aug	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	0–4	L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	FK Orenburg	A	1–3	L
24 Sep	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–2	L
17 Sep	FK Rubin Kazan	A	3–0	W
03 Sep	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	1–1	D
26 Aug	FK Ural	H	4–0	W
20 Aug	FK Spartak Moskva	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
#12	Position	#1
29	Points	68
30	Played	30
7 / 8 / 15	W / D / L	20 / 8 / 2
29	Scored	53
44	Conceded	19
-15	GD	+34
0.97	PPG	2.27
23%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

50% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

2/4

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

–/2

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FK Orenburg to score. At the same time, FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
2' Goal! Gustavo Mantuan scores his 19 goal in 370 matches.
7' Assisted by Brian Mansilla with the perfectly-timed delivery and Dmitry Vorobyev makes no mistake. 1-1!
9' Aleksey Sutormin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mario Fernandes on 9 minute.
14' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 14.
19' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
24' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg winning 50% of all matches.
25' Matias Perez adds to his 0 season tally! FK Orenburg lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
30' The travelling FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
35' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg have won 534 goals from 394 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
36' The Argentina Brian Mansilla breaks the deadlock on 36 minutes. 3-1!
41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
46' The whistle greets Danil Krugovoy as he departs to be replaced by Rodrigao.
49' The referee has no hesitation. Maksim Sidorov is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 49.
54' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Orenburg in their trying to find a way past FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg's compact .
59' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg is showing some good football. However, FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
64' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
65' The whistle greets Yuriy Kovalev as he departs to be replaced by Stepan Oganesyan.
70' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ivan Sergeev is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Orenburg.
72' Wilson Isidor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 72.
73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Brian Mansilla on 73 minutes.
78' The whistle greets Claudinho as he departs to be replaced by Aleksandr Erokhin.
81' Justin Cuero catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
81' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 81 minute. Dmitry Vorobyev leaves to be changed by Justin Cuero.
86' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Brian Mansilla has done his job and it is now time for Jimmy Marin to step up.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Rodrigao.
The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach David Deogracia

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergey Semak

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sardar Azmoun	5
Gustavo Mantuan	4
Wendel	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	3
Artem Dzyuba	2
Malcom	2
Aleksandr Erokhin	2
Ivan Sergeev	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2023-09-24 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–1 FK Orenburg L 2023-09-17 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 0–2 FK Orenburg W 2023-09-03 FK Orenburg 3–0 PFK Sochi W 2023-08-25 FK Orenburg 1–1 PFC CSKA Moskva D 2023-08-20 RFK Akhmat Grozny 4–0 FK Orenburg L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2023-09-24 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–2 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2023-09-17 FK Rubin Kazan 0–3 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2023-09-03 PFC CSKA Moskva 1–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D 2023-08-26 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 4–0 FK Ural W 2023-08-20 FK Spartak Moskva 1–3 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.15 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.07 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg28% Draw24% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg48%

Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.22

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

52%

Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

72%

FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg17% Draw41% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg42%

Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–1 not predicted

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

10.4%

1 – 2

9.5%

0 – 2

8.5%

0 – 1

7.7%

1 – 3

6.5%

0 – 3

5.7%

0 – 0

5.5%

2 – 2

5.4%

2 – 1

5.3%

1 – 0

3.9%

2 – 3

3.8%

1 – 4

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	12%	80%
-0.5	20%	—	80%
+0.5	43%	—	57%
+1	43%	22%	35%
+1.5	65%	—	35%
+2	65%	17%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.