FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 games · 68 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | PFK Sochi | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | FK Orenburg | A | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Aug | FK Ural | H | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #1 |
| 29 | Points | 68 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 20 / 8 / 2 |
| 29 | Scored | 53 |
| 44 | Conceded | 19 |
| -15 | GD | +34 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 2.27 |
| 23% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg gets underway.
- 2' Goal! Gustavo Mantuan scores his 19 goal in 373 matches.
- 7' Goal! Dmitry Vorobyev scores his 20 goal in 149 matches.
- 9' A tactical swap from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — Aleksey Sutormin on, Mario Fernandes off on 9 minutes.
- 14' Renato Gojkovic picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 19' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maksim Sidorov suffering a number of foals already.
- 24' Wilmar Barrios needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' Magnificent from Matias Perez! That is 12 goals in 163 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 30' It looks surprising FK Orenburg does not make any changes. Yuriy Kovalev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 36' Brian Mansilla is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 46' Rodrigao gets the nod from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg. He replaces Danil Krugovoy and will look to change the dynamic.
- 49' That looks like a foul for a card for Maksim Sidorov.
- 54' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 59' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 64' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
- 65' Stepan Oganesyan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuriy Kovalev on 65 minute.
- 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 72' Wilson Isidor catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 72.
- 73' The referee has no hesitation. Brian Mansilla is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 73.
- 78' Claudinho makes way for Aleksandr Erokhin at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg.
- 81' The referee calls foul for Justin Cuero. He receives a card.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Justin Cuero. He replaces Dmitry Vorobyev on 81 minute.
- 86' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Brian Mansilla by Jimmy Marin on 86 minute.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rodrigao.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 55
- 15
- 99
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Justin Cuero 81'
- 22
- 6
- 8
- 23
-
9
Brian Mansilla ↓ Jimmy Marin 86'
- 17
- 81
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 86'
- 2
- 90
- 21
- 13
- 38
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 65'
- 4
- –
- 3
- 25
-
–
Justin Cuero ↑ 81'
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 8
- 6
- 5
- 1
- 28
-
11
Claudinho ↓ Aleksandr Erokhin 78'
- 25
- 33
- 31
-
4
Danil Krugovoy ↓ Rodrigao 46'
Bench
- –
-
21
Aleksandr Erokhin ↑ 78'
- 16
-
55
Rodrigao ↑ 46'
-
19
Aleksey Sutormin ↑ 9'
- 95
- 77
- 37
- 2
- 18
Coach
Sergey Semak
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sardar Azmoun | 5 |
| Gustavo Mantuan | 4 |
| Wendel | 3 |
| Aleksandr Erokhin | 3 |
| Artem Dzyuba | 2 |
| Malcom | 2 |
| Aleksandr Erokhin | 2 |
| Ivan Sergeev | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form
2023-09-30
FK Orenburg
3–1
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
2023-09-24
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
1–2
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2023-09-17
FK Rubin Kazan
0–3
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
W
2023-09-03
PFC CSKA Moskva
1–1
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
D
2023-08-26
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
4–0
FK Ural
W
2023-08-20
FK Spartak Moskva
1–3
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
52%
Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
72%
FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–1 not predicted3 – 1Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 3
5.7%
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 1
5.3%
1 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 4
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 22% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

