FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Krasnodar | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Rubin Kazan | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Orenburg | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | FK Rostov | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Rodina Moskva | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | PFK Sochi | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | FK Orenburg | A | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Aug | FK Ural | H | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #5 |
| 9 | Points | 18 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 1 / 6 / 2 | W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 19 |
| 10 | Conceded | 9 |
| -3 | GD | +10 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 11% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
25%
Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season
FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 5th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Orenburg
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
| Aleksandr Sobolev | 7 G | 2 A |
| Maksim Glushenkov | 6 G | 2 A |
| Jhon Jhon | 1 G | 1 A |
| Gustavo Mantuan | 1 G | |
| Felipe Augusto | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Stadion Gazovik that hosts another battle between FK Orenburg and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg.
- 2' Magnificent from Gustavo Mantuan! That is 19 goals in 377 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 7' What a moment for Dmitry Vorobyev! That strike on 7 puts his side firmly in control.
- 9' The FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg manager makes a substitution. Mario Fernandes departs to be replaced by Aleksey Sutormin.
- 14' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 14.
- 19' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 24' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' Magnificent from Matias Perez! That is 12 goals in 168 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 36' Brian Mansilla doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 41' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 46' A tactical swap from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — Rodrigao on, Danil Krugovoy off on 46 minutes.
- 49' The referee calls foul for Maksim Sidorov. He receives a card.
- 54' Brazil international Wendel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 59' Supporters expect more eagerness from Claudinho, as he is very good at scoring at Stadion Gazovik with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 65' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Yuriy Kovalev has done his job and it is now time for Stepan Oganesyan to step up.
- 70' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 72' Wilson Isidor was booked on 72.
- 73' Brian Mansilla picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Aleksandr Erokhin. He replaces Claudinho on 78 minute.
- 81' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 81' FK Orenburg make a change. Dmitry Vorobyev trudges off to be replaced by Justin Cuero on 81 minutes.
- 86' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Brian Mansilla is replaced by Jimmy Marin on 86 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Rodrigao.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 55
- 15
- 99
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Justin Cuero 81'
- 22
- 6
- 8
- 23
-
9
Brian Mansilla ↓ Jimmy Marin 86'
- 17
- 81
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 86'
- 2
- 90
- 21
- 13
- 38
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 65'
- 4
- –
- 3
- 25
-
–
Justin Cuero ↑ 81'
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 8
- 6
- 5
- 1
- 28
-
11
Claudinho ↓ Aleksandr Erokhin 78'
- 25
- 33
- 31
-
4
Danil Krugovoy ↓ Rodrigao 46'
Bench
- –
-
21
Aleksandr Erokhin ↑ 78'
- 16
-
55
Rodrigao ↑ 46'
-
19
Aleksey Sutormin ↑ 9'
- 95
- 77
- 37
- 2
- 18
Coach
Sergey Semak
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sardar Azmoun | 5 |
| Gustavo Mantuan | 4 |
| Wendel | 3 |
| Aleksandr Erokhin | 3 |
| Ivan Sergeev | 2 |
| Artem Dzyuba | 2 |
| Malcom | 2 |
| Aleksandr Erokhin | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form
2023-09-30
FK Orenburg
3–1
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
2023-09-24
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
1–2
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2023-09-17
FK Rubin Kazan
0–3
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
W
2023-09-03
PFC CSKA Moskva
1–1
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
D
2023-08-26
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
4–0
FK Ural
W
2023-08-20
FK Spartak Moskva
1–3
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
55%
Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
70%
FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–1 not predicted3 – 1Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 0
6.1%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 13% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

