FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2023-24

FK Orenburg

3 – 1

Full Time

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik HT 45' · FT 45'

Renato Gojkovic 14' Y

Maksim Sidorov 49' Y

Y 72' Wilson Isidor

Brian Mansilla 73' Y

Justin Cuero 81' Y

Y 90' Rodrigao

Ivan Basic 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 14 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	14	31
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	14	31
3	FK Spartak Moskva	14	29
4	FK Krasnodar	14	26
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	14	26
6	FK Rostov	14	19
7	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	14	18
8	FK Rubin Kazan	14	18
9	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	14	17
10	FK Orenburg	14	17
11	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	14	16
12	RFK Akhmat Grozny	14	14
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	14	12
14	FK Rodina Moskva	14	12
15	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	14	11
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	14	6

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2022-09-11 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 8–0 FK Orenburg 2020-07-15 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 4–1 FK Orenburg 2019-07-28 FK Orenburg 0–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	3–1	W
24 Sep	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	1–3	L
17 Sep	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	2–0	W
03 Sep	PFK Sochi	H	3–0	W
25 Aug	PFC CSKA Moskva	H	1–1	D
20 Aug	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	0–4	L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	FK Orenburg	A	1–3	L
24 Sep	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–2	L
17 Sep	FK Rubin Kazan	A	3–0	W
03 Sep	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	1–1	D
26 Aug	FK Ural	H	4–0	W
20 Aug	FK Spartak Moskva	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
#10	Position	#1
17	Points	31
14	Played	14
3 / 8 / 3	W / D / L	10 / 1 / 3
14	Scored	32
14	Conceded	15
+0	GD	+17
1.21	PPG	2.21
21%	Win %	71%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

33% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season

FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

3/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/2

31-45

2/1

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg

Jordhy Thompson	3 G	3 A
Gedeon Guzina	3 G	1 A
Ruslan Kul	3 G	1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov	1 G	1 A

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Maksim Glushenkov	10 G	5 A
Aleksandr Sobolev	10 G	2 A
Jhon Jhon	2 G	1 A
Felipe Augusto	2 G
Gustavo Mantuan	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: fk orenburg gets underway.
2' Gustavo Mantuan doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
7' Dmitry Vorobyev doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
9' The whistle greets Mario Fernandes as he departs to be replaced by Aleksey Sutormin.
14' A moment of madness from Renato Gojkovic on 14 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
19' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
24' fk orenburg have won 217 goals from 351 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
25' The deadlock is broken! Matias Perez gets on the scoresheet on 25 minutes.
30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aleksandr Erokhin suffering a number of foals already.
36' The Argentina Brian Mansilla breaks the deadlock on 36 minutes. 0-4!
41' Ivan Sergeev has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
46' Rodrigao is replacing Danil Krugovoy for the FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg side.
49' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Maksim Sidorov on 49 minutes.
54' fk zenit sankt-petersburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
59' fk zenit sankt-petersburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
64' Renato Gojkovic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
65' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Yuriy Kovalev is replaced by Stepan Oganesyan on 65 minute.
70' It is a cagey affair so far. fk orenburg in their trying to find a way past fk zenit sankt-petersburg's compact .
72' A moment of madness from Wilson Isidor on 72 minutes earns him a card. FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg will be frustrated.
73' The referee has no hesitation. Brian Mansilla is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 73.
78' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg ring the changes. Claudinho has done his job and it is now time for Aleksandr Erokhin to step up.
81' Controversy at the stadium! Justin Cuero argues furiously but the card stands.
81' FK Orenburg make a change. Dmitry Vorobyev trudges off to be replaced by Justin Cuero on 81 minutes.
86' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Brian Mansilla by Jimmy Marin on 86 minute.
90' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg player sees a card in front of him.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from fk orenburg to claim maximum points.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach David Deogracia

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergey Semak

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sardar Azmoun	5
Gustavo Mantuan	4
Aleksandr Erokhin	3
Wendel	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	2
Ivan Sergeev	2
Artem Dzyuba	2
Malcom	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2023-09-24 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–1 FK Orenburg L 2023-09-17 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 0–2 FK Orenburg W 2023-09-03 FK Orenburg 3–0 PFK Sochi W 2023-08-25 FK Orenburg 1–1 PFC CSKA Moskva D 2023-08-20 RFK Akhmat Grozny 4–0 FK Orenburg L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2023-09-24 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–2 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2023-09-17 FK Rubin Kazan 0–3 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2023-09-03 PFC CSKA Moskva 1–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D 2023-08-26 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 4–0 FK Ural W 2023-08-20 FK Spartak Moskva 1–3 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.33 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.9 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

I would bet for: FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 75% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg32% Draw25% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg43%

Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.23

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

57%

Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

68%

FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg21% Draw42% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg37%

Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–1 not predicted

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

10.9%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 2

7.1%

0 – 1

6.9%

2 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

1 – 3

5.8%

0 – 0

5.6%

1 – 0

4.5%

0 – 3

4.4%

2 – 3

3.9%

2 – 0

3.5%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	14%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	50%	—	50%
+1	50%	21%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	15%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.