FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Timo Gerach
- Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
- Assistant 2 Patrick Kessel
15 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 5.7 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern München 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L 25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L 17 Apr 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D 11 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–5 L 05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D 22 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–2 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 03 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W 25 Apr FC Bayern München H 3–4 L 19 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–1 D 12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L 04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W 22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W Season Stats
FC St. Pauli 1910 1. FSV Mainz 05 #18 Position #10 26 Points 40 34 Played 34 6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14 29 Scored 44 60 Conceded 53 -31 GD -9 0.76 PPG 1.18 18% Win % 29% Key Stats
25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this seasonFC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 19100-15–/316-301/–31-45–/346-601/461-751/176+2/4■ Scored ■ Conceded1. FSV Mainz 050-154/116-301/131-453/146-601/261-75–/176+2/5■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 is underway.
- 5' Kacper Potulski has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 6' Goal! Phillip Tietz scores his 23 goal in 169 matches.
- 11' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Arkadiusz Pyrka suffering a number of foals already.
- 21' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 21 minutes.
- 26' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 36' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' Goal! Philipp Mwene scores his 9 goal in 436 matches.
- 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 436 games and scored 398 goals.
- 50' 1. FSV Mainz 05 looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Philipp Mwene scoring 1 goals.
- 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 60' It’s high time Urs Fischer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 68' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Daniel Batz gets a card.
- 73' FC St. Pauli 1910 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 78' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with 1. FSV Mainz 05 winning 50% of all matches.
- 83' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 83.
- 87' GOAL! Abdoulie Ceesay scores on 87. Assisted by Martijn Kaars
- 89' The referee shows FC St. Pauli 1910 player a card on 89.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Connor Metcalfe on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC St. Pauli 1910.
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Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 21
- 10
- 8
- 22
- 16
- 27
- 11
- 15
Bench
- 18
- 25
- 20
- 24
- 1
- 4
- 23
- 19
- 9
Coach Alexander Blessin1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 23
- 2
- 10
- 4
- 21
- 33
- 30
- 20
- 8
- 6
- 48
Bench
- 19
- 31
- 27
- 16
- 15
- 11
- 24
- 44
- 22
Coach Urs Fischer -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Jonathan Burkardt 2 Abdoulie Ceesay 1 Philipp Mwene 1 Phillip Tietz 1 Armindo Sieb 1 Paul Nebel 1 Jae-sung Lee 1 Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-04-25 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-04-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 1. FC Koln D 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-05 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2026-03-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 SC Freiburg L1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-19 Borussia Monchengladbach 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-04-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg L 2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy1 / 40.81 FC St. Pauli 1910 xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.68 1. FSV Mainz 05 xGI would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.49Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 90% 10% ± 1.5 71% 29% ± 2.5 45% 55% ± 3.5 24% 76% ± 4.5 11% 89% Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw 47%Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05 80%FC St. Pauli 1910 or 1. FSV Mainz 05 73%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 120 – 1 13.1%1 – 1 12.1%0 – 2 11.4%0 – 0 10.3%1 – 2 Actual0 – 3 6.3%1 – 0 5.7%1 – 3 5.2%2 – 1 4.4%2 – 2 3.8%0 – 4 2.7%2 – 0 2.6%Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers -2.5 1% — 99% -2 1% 4% 95% -1.5 5% — 95% -1 5% 11% 83% -0.5 17% — 83% +0.5 43% — 57% +1 43% 25% 32% +1.5 68% — 32% +2 68% 18% 14% +2.5 86% — 14% Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet 19% ✓1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet 45% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.