Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
1 – 2
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sun 3 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Phillip Tietz
0–2 40' Philipp Mwene
Abdoulie Ceesay 87' 1–2
Y 68' Daniel Batz
Karol Mets 89' Y
Connor Metcalfe 90' Y
Abdoulie Ceesay 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Kessel

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
3 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26
4 FC Schalke 04 0 0
5 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
6 SV 07 Elversberg 0 0
7 FC Bayern München 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0
9 RB Leipzig 0 0
10 VfB Stuttgart 0 0
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0
13 SC Freiburg 0 0
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
15 FC Augsburg 0 0
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 0
17 1. FC Union Berlin 0 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
19 Hamburger SV 0 0
20 1. FC Köln 0 0
21 SV Werder Bremen 0 0

Head-to-Head

1
3
FC St. Pauli 1910 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-05 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

FC St. Pauli 1910
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
17 Apr 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
11 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–5 L
05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D
22 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
25 Apr FC Bayern München H 3–4 L
19 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 1. FSV Mainz 05
#3 Position #16
26 Points 0
34 Played 0
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
29 Scored 0
60 Conceded 0
-31 GD +0
0.76 PPG –
18% Win % –

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC St. Pauli 1910 get us underway at Millerntor-Stadion.
  • 5' Lars Ritzka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 6' A goal from the Germany international Phillip Tietz! He fires home on 6 to make it 0-1!
  • 11' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jackson Irvine made 380 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 16' FC St. Pauli 1910 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 21' FC St. Pauli 1910 is showing some good football. However, FC St. Pauli 1910 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 31' It’s high time Urs Fischer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' A stunning finish from Philipp Mwene — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 50' Joel Fujita has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Eric Smith is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 65' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alexander Blessin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 68' Daniel Batz was booked on 68.
  • 73' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 78' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 83' FC St. Pauli 1910 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 87' Abdoulie Ceesay adds to his 0 season tally! FC St. Pauli 1910 lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 89' It’s gonna be a card for Karol Mets.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Connor Metcalfe on 90 minutes.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. 1. FSV Mainz 05 take all three points.

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexander Blessin

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Urs Fischer

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jonathan Burkardt 2
Philipp Mwene 1
Phillip Tietz 1
Armindo Sieb 1
Paul Nebel 1
Jae-sung Lee 1
Abdoulie Ceesay 1

Head to Head

2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-05 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-04-25 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-04-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 1. FC Köln D 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-05 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2026-03-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 SC Freiburg L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-19 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-04-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg L 2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.33 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191016% Draw35% 1. FSV Mainz 0549%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 71%
29%
± 1.5 39%
61%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
51%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
84%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or 1. FSV Mainz 05
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 19106% Draw64% 1. FSV Mainz 0530%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.8%
0 – 1
25%
0 – 2
12.4%
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
1.7%
2 – 1
1.4%
2 – 0
1.2%
0 – 4
1.1%
2 – 2
0.9%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 0% — 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% — 98%
-1 2% 9% 90%
-0.5 10% — 90%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 30% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 14% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
72% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.