Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
3 1
Full Time
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Groningen vs AFC AjaxEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
7 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar AFC Ajax H 3–1 W
01 Mar FC Volendam A 2–3 L
22 Feb FC Twente '65 A 1–2 L
14 Feb FC Utrecht H 1–2 L
08 Feb PSV H 1–2 L
31 Jan Sparta Rotterdam A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar FC Groningen A 1–3 L
01 Mar PEC Zwolle A 0–0 D
21 Feb NEC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W
08 Feb AZ A 1–1 D
01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Groningen AFC Ajax
#4 Position #2
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Groningen are 4th (0 pts). AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between FC Groningen and AFC Ajax.
  • With this win, FC Groningen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FC Groningen Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.88 FC Groningen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + FC Groningen or Draw 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Groningen35% Draw35% AFC Ajax30%
Actual: FC Groningen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

FC Groningen or Draw
70%
Draw or AFC Ajax
65%
FC Groningen or AFC Ajax
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Groningen21% Draw59% AFC Ajax20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.9%
1 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
2.5%
3 – 0
1.9%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Groningen

Handicap FC Groningen covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 21% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 20% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
44%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.