Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
FC Groningen
3 – 1
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AZ 7 19
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 7 17
3 PSV 7 16
4 FC Twente '65 7 16
5 AFC Ajax 7 14
6 Fortuna Sittard 7 13
7 SBV Excelsior 7 11
8 FC Groningen 7 11
9 Go Ahead Eagles 7 10
10 SC Heerenveen 7 9
11 NEC 7 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 5
13 Telstar 1963 7 5
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 7 5
15 FC Utrecht 7 5
16 PEC Zwolle 7 4
17 ADO Den Haag 7 2
18 Willem II Tilburg 7 2

Head-to-Head

3
1
10
FC Groningen 14 games · Avg 3.4 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-07 FC Groningen 3–1 AFC Ajax 2025-12-02 AFC Ajax 2–0 FC Groningen 2025-05-14 FC Groningen 2–2 AFC Ajax 2024-10-06 AFC Ajax 3–1 FC Groningen 2023-05-16 FC Groningen 2–3 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

FC Groningen
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar AFC Ajax H 3–1 W
01 Mar FC Volendam A 2–3 L
22 Feb FC Twente '65 A 1–2 L
14 Feb FC Utrecht H 1–2 L
08 Feb PSV H 1–2 L
31 Jan Sparta Rotterdam A 0–2 L
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar FC Groningen A 1–3 L
01 Mar PEC Zwolle A 0–0 D
21 Feb NEC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W
08 Feb AZ A 1–1 D
01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Groningen AFC Ajax
#8 Position #5
11 Points 14
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 1
15 Scored 21
13 Conceded 9
+2 GD +12
1.57 PPG 2.00
43% Win % 57%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Groningen this season
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

FC Groningen are 8th (11 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Groningen
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Groningen
Thom van Bergen 4 G 2 A
Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson 4 G
David van der Werff 2 G 3 A
Tygo Land 2 G 1 A
AFC Ajax
Julian Brandt 4 G
Toluwalas Arokodare 3 G 1 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A
Jorthy Mokio 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. FC Groningen host AFC Ajax — let the battle begin!
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

FC Groningen Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Dusan Tadic 4
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 4
Steven Bergwijn 3
Antony 2
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 2
Wout Weghorst 2
Davy Klaassen 2
Steven Berghuis 2

Head to Head

2026-03-07 FC Groningen 3–1 AFC Ajax 2025-12-02 AFC Ajax 2–0 FC Groningen 2025-05-14 FC Groningen 2–2 AFC Ajax 2024-10-06 AFC Ajax 3–1 FC Groningen 2023-05-16 FC Groningen 2–3 AFC Ajax

FC Groningen Form

2026-03-07 FC Groningen 3–1 AFC Ajax W 2026-03-01 FC Volendam 3–2 FC Groningen L 2026-02-22 FC Twente '65 2–1 FC Groningen L 2026-02-14 FC Groningen 1–2 FC Utrecht L 2026-02-08 FC Groningen 1–2 PSV L 2026-01-31 Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 FC Groningen L

AFC Ajax Form

2026-03-07 FC Groningen 3–1 AFC Ajax L 2026-03-01 PEC Zwolle 0–0 AFC Ajax D 2026-02-21 AFC Ajax 1–1 NEC D 2026-02-14 AFC Ajax 4–1 Fortuna Sittard W 2026-02-08 AZ 1–1 AFC Ajax D 2026-02-01 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 FC Groningen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: FC Groningen or AFC Ajax 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Groningen33% Draw24% AFC Ajax43%
Actual: FC Groningen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

FC Groningen or Draw
56%
Draw or AFC Ajax
67%
FC Groningen or AFC Ajax
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Groningen25% Draw38% AFC Ajax37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 3
5.9%
2 – 3
5%
0 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Groningen

Handicap FC Groningen covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 19% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.