Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
FC Groningen
3 – 1
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
12 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 13.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 PSV 12 26
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 12 25
3 AFC Ajax 12 25
4 FC Twente '65 12 24
5 AZ 12 23
6 SC Heerenveen 12 21
7 Fortuna Sittard 12 20
8 Go Ahead Eagles 12 17
9 FC Groningen 12 15
10 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 12 15
11 NEC 12 14
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12 12
13 PEC Zwolle 12 12
14 FC Utrecht 12 12
15 SBV Excelsior 12 11
16 Telstar 1963 12 10
17 ADO Den Haag 12 9
18 Willem II Tilburg 12 3

Head-to-Head

3
1
11
FC Groningen 15 games · Avg 3.6 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-07 FC Groningen 3–1 AFC Ajax 2025-12-02 AFC Ajax 2–0 FC Groningen 2025-05-14 FC Groningen 2–2 AFC Ajax 2024-10-06 AFC Ajax 3–1 FC Groningen 2023-05-16 FC Groningen 2–3 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

FC Groningen
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar AFC Ajax H 3–1 W
01 Mar FC Volendam A 2–3 L
22 Feb FC Twente '65 A 1–2 L
14 Feb FC Utrecht H 1–2 L
08 Feb PSV H 1–2 L
31 Jan Sparta Rotterdam A 0–2 L
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar FC Groningen A 1–3 L
01 Mar PEC Zwolle A 0–0 D
21 Feb NEC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W
08 Feb AZ A 1–1 D
01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Groningen AFC Ajax
#9 Position #3
15 Points 25
12 Played 12
4 / 3 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 1
29 Scored 32
28 Conceded 15
+1 GD +17
1.25 PPG 2.08
33% Win % 58%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
FC Groningen this season
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

FC Groningen are 9th (15 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Groningen
0-15
7/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Groningen
Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson 9 G 1 A
Thom van Bergen 8 G 3 A
David van der Werff 2 G 3 A
Tygo Land 2 G 1 A
AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Groningen and AFC Ajax.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

FC Groningen Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 4
Dusan Tadic 4
Steven Bergwijn 3
Antony 2
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 2
Wout Weghorst 2
Davy Klaassen 2
Steven Berghuis 2

Head to Head

2026-03-07 FC Groningen 3–1 AFC Ajax 2025-12-02 AFC Ajax 2–0 FC Groningen 2025-05-14 FC Groningen 2–2 AFC Ajax 2024-10-06 AFC Ajax 3–1 FC Groningen 2023-05-16 FC Groningen 2–3 AFC Ajax

FC Groningen Form

2026-03-07 FC Groningen 3–1 AFC Ajax W 2026-03-01 FC Volendam 3–2 FC Groningen L 2026-02-22 FC Twente '65 2–1 FC Groningen L 2026-02-14 FC Groningen 1–2 FC Utrecht L 2026-02-08 FC Groningen 1–2 PSV L 2026-01-31 Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 FC Groningen L

AFC Ajax Form

2026-03-07 FC Groningen 3–1 AFC Ajax L 2026-03-01 PEC Zwolle 0–0 AFC Ajax D 2026-02-21 AFC Ajax 1–1 NEC D 2026-02-14 AFC Ajax 4–1 Fortuna Sittard W 2026-02-08 AZ 1–1 AFC Ajax D 2026-02-01 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.77 FC Groningen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.36 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: FC Groningen or AFC Ajax 77% + Over 2.5 goals 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Groningen32% Draw23% AFC Ajax45%
Actual: FC Groningen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

FC Groningen or Draw
55%
Draw or AFC Ajax
68%
FC Groningen or AFC Ajax
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Groningen24% Draw37% AFC Ajax39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 4
3.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
0 – 1
3.4%
3 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — FC Groningen

Handicap FC Groningen covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 14% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 19% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.