FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FC Koln, 2015

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1. Bundesliga 2015/16 · 2015

FC Erzgebirge Aue

1 – 0

Full Time

1. FC Koln

Sun 18 Oct 2015 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FC Koln — Bundesliga .

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
1. FC Koln 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 1.80

Draw 3.75

1. FC Koln 4.33

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals 1. FC Koln

Last 5 meetings

2015-10-18 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 1. FC Koln

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	1. FC Koln	H	1–0	W
03 Oct	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	A	2–2	D
26 Sep	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–3	L
23 Sep	1. FC Nurnberg	A	3–1	W
20 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–1	L
12 Sep	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	1–2	L

1. FC Koln

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	0–1	L
03 Oct	FC Hansa Rostock	H	2–0	W
25 Sep	Karlsruher SC	A	1–1	D
22 Sep	TuS Dassendorf	H	0–1	L
19 Sep	Wroxham FC	A	1–0	W
12 Sep	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

1.09 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 1. FC Koln xG

I would bet for: FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue44% Draw31% 1. FC Koln25%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes38% 0% No62%

Avg goals/match: 1.9

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	57%	43%
± 2.5	30%	70%
± 3.5	13%	87%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

75%

Draw or 1. FC Koln

56%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FC Koln

69%

Half-Time Result

FC Erzgebirge Aue27% Draw56% 1. FC Koln17%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

17.4%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 1

10.7%

2 – 0

8.5%

2 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

5.2%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 0

2 – 2

3 – 1

2.6%

1 – 3

1.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	1. FC Koln covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	23%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	17%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

45% ✗

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.