FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FC Koln, 2015

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1. Bundesliga 2015/16 · 2015

FC Erzgebirge Aue

1 – 0

Full Time

1. FC Koln

Sun 18 Oct 2015 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FC Koln — Bundesliga .

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
1. FC Koln 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 1.80

Draw 3.75

1. FC Koln 4.33

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals 1. FC Koln

Last 5 meetings

2015-10-18 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 1. FC Koln

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	1. FC Koln	H	1–0	W
03 Oct	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	A	2–2	D
26 Sep	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–3	L
23 Sep	1. FC Nurnberg	A	3–1	W
20 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–1	L
12 Sep	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	1–2	L

1. FC Koln

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	0–1	L
03 Oct	FC Hansa Rostock	H	2–0	W
25 Sep	Karlsruher SC	A	1–1	D
22 Sep	TuS Dassendorf	H	0–1	L
19 Sep	Wroxham FC	A	1–0	W
12 Sep	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between FC Erzgebirge Aue and 1. FC Köln.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Erzgebirge Aue players.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

1.09 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 1. FC Koln xG

I would bet for: FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue44% Draw31% 1. FC Koln25%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes38% 0% No62%

Avg goals/match: 1.9

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	57%	43%
± 2.5	30%	70%
± 3.5	13%	87%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

75%

Draw or 1. FC Koln

56%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FC Koln

69%

Half-Time Result

FC Erzgebirge Aue27% Draw56% 1. FC Koln17%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

17.4%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 1

10.7%

2 – 0

8.5%

2 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

5.2%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 0

2 – 2

3 – 1

2.6%

1 – 3

1.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	1. FC Koln covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	23%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	17%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

45% ✗

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.