Thursday , 2 July 2026

Chicago Fire FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Soldier Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Toronto FC H 2–2 D
30 Sep Internacional CF Miami A 5–3 W
28 Sep Columbus Crew SC H 2–0 W
21 Sep Minnesota United FC A 3–0 W
14 Sep New York City FC H 1–3 L
07 Sep New England Revolution H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Chicago Fire FC A 2–2 D
27 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 1–1 D
20 Sep Columbus Crew SC A 1–1 D
13 Sep New England Revolution A 1–1 D
30 Aug Montreal Impact FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Atlanta United FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Chicago Fire FC Toronto FC
#3 Position #11
26 Points 14
14 Played 14
8 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 6
27 Scored 22
16 Conceded 29
+11 GD -7
1.86 PPG 1.00
57% Win % 21%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Chicago Fire FC have kicked off against Toronto FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Chicago Fire FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's shape.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Chicago Fire FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 21' Controversy at the stadium! Philip Zinckernagel argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 26' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gregg Berhalter will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 28' Jack Elliott has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 28 minutes.
  • 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. Chicago Fire FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 38' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 43' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Jonathan Bamba gets the nod from Chicago Fire FC. He replaces Brian Gutierrez and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' Toronto FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 61' Jonathan Dean is replacing Sam Rogers for the Chicago Fire FC side.
  • 64' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Derrick Etienne departs to be replaced by Lazar Stefanovic.
  • 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Jose Cifuentes exits the field as Maxime Dominguez enters on 70.
  • 71' The deadlock is broken! Jack Elliott gets on the scoresheet on 71 minutes.
  • 74' Controversy at the stadium! Richie Laryea argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 79' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 81' The Chicago Fire FC bench stirs into life. Hugo Cuypers is withdrawn and Tom Barlow gets his opportunity.
  • 83' Deandre Kerr makes way for Theo Corbeanu at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
  • 88' Over 88 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 89' What a moment for Jack Elliott! That strike on 89 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Djordje Mihailovic on 90 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.3 Chicago Fire FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chicago Fire FC59% Draw22% Toronto FC19%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Chicago Fire FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Toronto FC
41%
Chicago Fire FC or Toronto FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chicago Fire FC45% Draw39% Toronto FC16%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
4 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC

Handicap Chicago Fire FC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 18% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 21% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.