FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Montreal Impact FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Charlotte FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | St. Louis City | H | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Montreal Impact FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #12 |
| 20 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 14 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 8 |
| 36 | Scored | 22 |
| 37 | Conceded | 31 |
| -1 | GD | -9 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
36%
Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season
Montreal Impact FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Montreal Impact FC are 12th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at TQL Stadium as FC Cincinnati face off against Montreal Impact FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jalen Neal suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' The 28-year-old Pavel Bucha has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Prince-Osei Owusu made 250 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 29' Victor Loturi was booked on 29.
- 33' A stunning finish from Nick Hagglund — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 38' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 38.
- 42' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dante Sealy on 42 minutes.
- 45' Poor challenge from Nick Hagglund. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Yuya Kubo on, Dominik Marczuk off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Zimbabwe international Teenage Hadebe has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 56' Evander has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
- 58' Montreal Impact FC ring the changes. Fabian Herbers has done his job and it is now time for Ivan Jaime Pajuelo to step up.
- 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Samuel Gidi.
- 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thomas Guilier, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 71' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 73' A change in the Montreal Impact FC ranks — Prince-Osei Owusu exits the field as Giacomo Vrioni enters on 73.
- 77' Brian Anunga is replacing Nick Hagglund for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 78' Time for substitution for Montreal Impact FC. Ivan Jaime Pajuelo is replaced by Kwadwo Opoku.
- 81' Montreal Impact FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bryce Duke is hanging Hennadiy Synchuk on the field on 81 minute.
- 84' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Kei Kamara is withdrawn and Gerardo Valenzuela gets his opportunity.
- 88' Goal! Brenner scores his 18 goal in 371 matches.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Cincinnati to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 8
- 2
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Brian Anunga 77'
-
85
Kei Kamara ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 84'
- 12
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Samuel Gidi 46'
- 16
- 18
-
15
Dominik Marczuk ↓ Yuya Kubo 46'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 46'
- 13
- 1
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 77'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 84'
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↑ 46'
- 66
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↑ 46'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Montreal Impact FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 21
- 8
-
25
Dante Sealy ↓ Olger Escobar 58'
- 5
- 19
-
2
Jalen Neal ↓ Fernando Alvarez 46'
- 13
- 22
-
18
Hennadiy Synchuk ↓ Bryce Duke 81'
- 31
Bench
-
17
Giacomo Vrioni ↑ 73'
-
11
Ivan Jaime Pajuelo ↑ 58'
-
10
Bryce Duke ↑ 81'
- 40
- 7
-
4
Fernando Alvarez ↑ 46'
- 39
- 35
-
29
Olger Escobar ↑ 58'
Coach
Marco Donadel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 3 |
| Luca Orellano | 3 |
| Djordje Mihailovic | 3 |
| Evander | 3 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Kwadwo Opoku | 2 |
| Romell Quioto | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Montreal Impact FC Form
2025-10-18
FC Cincinnati
3–0
Montreal Impact FC
L
2025-10-04
Montreal Impact FC
1–1
Nashville SC
D
2025-09-27
Charlotte FC
1–4
Montreal Impact FC
W
2025-09-20
Montreal Impact FC
0–2
New York Red Bulls
L
2025-09-13
Montreal Impact FC
0–2
St. Louis City
L
2025-08-30
Toronto FC
1–1
Montreal Impact FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.92
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
Montreal Impact FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.6
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
81%
Draw or Montreal Impact FC
38%
FC Cincinnati or Montreal Impact FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.6%
4 – 1
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 2
4.1%
2 – 3
3.3%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Montreal Impact FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 17% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 19% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

