FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Montreal Impact FC 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Charlotte FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | St. Louis City | H | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Montreal Impact FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #14 |
| 26 | Points | 16 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 4 / 4 / 10 |
| 45 | Scored | 24 |
| 44 | Conceded | 35 |
| +1 | GD | -11 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 0.89 |
| 39% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
32%
Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season
Montreal Impact FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Montreal Impact FC are 14th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Montreal Impact FC
| Prince-Osei Owusu | 9 G | 5 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to TQL Stadium that hosts another battle between FC Cincinnati and Montreal Impact FC.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Montreal Impact FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Montreal Impact FC's shape.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ivan Jaime Pajuelo, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 29' That is a card for Montreal Impact FC. Victor Loturi will be fuming at that decision.
- 33' The USA Nick Hagglund breaks the deadlock on 33 minutes. 1-0!
- 38' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 42' It’s a booking for Montreal Impact FC player. Dante Sealy gets a card.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Nick Hagglund argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Dominik Marczuk exits the field as Yuya Kubo enters on 46.
- 51' Montreal Impact FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Evander makes it 2-0.
- 58' Montreal Impact FC make a change. Fabian Herbers trudges off to be replaced by Ivan Jaime Pajuelo on 58 minutes.
- 61' It’s gonna be a card for Samuel Gidi.
- 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 100% of all matches.
- 71' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pavel Bucha made 166 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 73' The whistle greets Prince-Osei Owusu as he departs to be replaced by Giacomo Vrioni.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Brian Anunga. He replaces Nick Hagglund on 77 minute.
- 78' Time for substitution for Montreal Impact FC. Ivan Jaime Pajuelo is replaced by Kwadwo Opoku.
- 81' The crowd applauds Hennadiy Synchuk as he leaves the pitch. Bryce Duke steps in for Montreal Impact FC.
- 84' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Kei Kamara is replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela on 84 minute.
- 88' What a strike from Brenner! The score is 3-0.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 8
- 2
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Brian Anunga 77'
-
85
Kei Kamara ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 84'
- 12
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Samuel Gidi 46'
- 16
- 18
-
15
Dominik Marczuk ↓ Yuya Kubo 46'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 46'
- 13
- 1
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 77'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 84'
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↑ 46'
- 66
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↑ 46'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Montreal Impact FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 21
- 8
-
25
Dante Sealy ↓ Olger Escobar 58'
- 5
- 19
-
2
Jalen Neal ↓ Fernando Alvarez 46'
- 13
- 22
-
18
Hennadiy Synchuk ↓ Bryce Duke 81'
- 31
Bench
-
17
Giacomo Vrioni ↑ 73'
-
11
Ivan Jaime Pajuelo ↑ 58'
-
10
Bryce Duke ↑ 81'
- 40
- 7
-
4
Fernando Alvarez ↑ 46'
- 39
- 35
-
29
Olger Escobar ↑ 58'
Coach
Marco Donadel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 3 |
| Luca Orellano | 3 |
| Djordje Mihailovic | 3 |
| Evander | 3 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Kwadwo Opoku | 2 |
| Romell Quioto | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Montreal Impact FC Form
2025-10-18
FC Cincinnati
3–0
Montreal Impact FC
L
2025-10-04
Montreal Impact FC
1–1
Nashville SC
D
2025-09-27
Charlotte FC
1–4
Montreal Impact FC
W
2025-09-20
Montreal Impact FC
0–2
New York Red Bulls
L
2025-09-13
Montreal Impact FC
0–2
St. Louis City
L
2025-08-30
Toronto FC
1–1
Montreal Impact FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.8
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Montreal Impact FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
82%
Draw or Montreal Impact FC
37%
FC Cincinnati or Montreal Impact FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
5.4%
4 – 1
5%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 2
3.8%
1 – 0
3.5%
4 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Montreal Impact FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 18% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 19% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 10% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

