Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 09 Oct | Los Angeles FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | New England Revolution | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #9 |
| 39 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 12 / 13 | W / D / L | 13 / 7 / 14 |
| 52 | Scored | 63 |
| 67 | Conceded | 78 |
| -15 | GD | -15 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 26% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). Orlando City SC are 9th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
5/5
16-30
10/10
31-45
5/8
46-60
10/10
61-75
7/5
76+
13/15
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 16 G | 4 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 14 G | 6 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Toronto FC host Orlando City SC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Orlando City SC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 8' Assisted by Jose Cifuentes with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonathan Osorio makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 13' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 13 minutes.
- 18' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their trying to find a way past Orlando City SC's compact .
- 23' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 28' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and Orlando City SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 32' Adrian Marin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 32.
- 34' GOAL! Djordje Mihailovic scores on 34.
- 39' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 44' Orlando City SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 46' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Adrian Marin exits the field as Tyrese Spicer enters on 46.
- 47' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Derrick Etienne.
- 48' Djordje Mihailovic adds to his 2 season tally! Toronto FC lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 49' Theo Corbeanu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 49.
- 54' David Brekalo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
- 56' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 56.
- 61' The Canada Deandre Kerr breaks the deadlock on 61 minutes. 4-1!
- 62' Jules-Anthony Vilsaint has so much to prove this time. He replaces Deandre Kerr on 62 minute.
- 63' The whistle greets Ivan Angulo as he departs to be replaced by Cesar Araujo.
- 68' Cesar Araujo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 302 appearances.
- 70' The whistle greets Derrick Etienne as he departs to be replaced by Malik Henry.
- 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sigurd Rosted suffering a number of foals already.
- 78' Dagur THorhallsson is replacing Kyle Smith for the Orlando City SC side.
- 83' Orlando City SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Antoine Griezmann scoring 2 goals.
- 84' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Theo Corbeanu departs to be replaced by Markus Cimermancic.
- 87' A tactical swap from Orlando City SC — Colin Guske on, Eduard Atuesta off on 87 minutes.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Malik Henry on 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — Toronto FC 4-2 Orlando City SC. Honours even.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↓ Malik Henry 70'
- 21
- 10
- 1
- 17
- 22
- 8
- 7
- 29
- 6
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↓ Raoul Petretta 62'
Bench
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↑ 62'
- 90
-
99
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint ↑ 62'
-
71
Markus Cimermancic ↑ 84'
-
76
Lazar Stefanovic ↑ 84'
- 25
- 77
-
78
Malik Henry ↑ 70'
Coach
Robin Fraser
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Adrian Gomez ↓ Tyrese Spicer 46'
- 15
- 10
-
20
Eduard Atuesta ↓ Colin Guske 87'
- 1
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Dagur THorhallsson 78'
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Cesar Araujo 63'
- 30
- 4
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ Luis Muriel 63'
- 13
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 63'
- 68
-
5
Cesar Araujo ↑ 63'
- 12
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 78'
-
14
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 46'
-
25
Colin Guske ↑ 87'
- 11
- 96
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan McGuire | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Martin Ojeda | 3 |
| Ercan Kara | 2 |
| Jay Chapman | 2 |
| Antoine Griezmann | 2 |
| Nani | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.44
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Orlando City SC
51%
Toronto FC or Orlando City SC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 18% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

