Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 27 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 09 Oct | Los Angeles FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | New England Revolution | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #7 |
| 29 | Points | 34 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 6 / 11 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 4 / 13 |
| 39 | Scored | 48 |
| 51 | Conceded | 64 |
| -12 | GD | -16 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.26 |
| 22% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
19%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Orlando City SC are 7th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/3
16-30
8/8
31-45
1/7
46-60
8/6
61-75
7/4
76+
9/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 13 G | 1 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 8 G | 4 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Toronto FC and Orlando City SC get this one started.
- 5' Deandre Kerr has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 8' Jonathan Osorio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 8 minutes.
- 13' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 18' Orlando City SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 23' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. Orlando City SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 28' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 32' Orlando City SC player sees a card in front of him.
- 34' The deadlock is broken! Djordje Mihailovic gets on the scoresheet on 34 minutes.
- 39' Orlando City SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' A tactical swap from Orlando City SC — Tyrese Spicer on, Adrian Marin off on 46 minutes.
- 47' Derrick Etienne picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 48' Djordje Mihailovic is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 49' The referee calls foul for Theo Corbeanu. He receives a card.
- 54' David Brekalo does the damage! The net is bulging and Orlando City SC surge ahead!
- 56' A moment of madness from Richie Laryea on 56 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 61' Brilliant from the ! Deandre Kerr makes it 4-1 with a superb finish on 61.
- 62' The crowd applauds Deandre Kerr as he leaves the pitch. Jules-Anthony Vilsaint steps in for Toronto FC.
- 63' Another change for Orlando City SC made on 63 minute. Ivan Angulo leaves to be changed by Cesar Araujo.
- 68' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 70' The whistle greets Derrick Etienne as he departs to be replaced by Malik Henry.
- 75' It’s high time Óscar Pareja made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 78' Orlando City SC ring the changes. Kyle Smith has done his job and it is now time for Dagur THorhallsson to step up.
- 83' The travelling Orlando City SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 84' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Theo Corbeanu departs to be replaced by Markus Cimermancic.
- 87' The crowd applauds Eduard Atuesta as he leaves the pitch. Colin Guske steps in for Orlando City SC.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Malik Henry. He receives a card.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Toronto FC take all three points.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↓ Malik Henry 70'
- 21
- 10
- 1
- 17
- 22
- 8
- 7
- 29
- 6
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↓ Raoul Petretta 62'
Bench
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↑ 62'
- 90
-
99
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint ↑ 62'
-
71
Markus Cimermancic ↑ 84'
-
76
Lazar Stefanovic ↑ 84'
- 25
- 77
-
78
Malik Henry ↑ 70'
Coach
Robin Fraser
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Adrian Gomez ↓ Tyrese Spicer 46'
- 15
- 10
-
20
Eduard Atuesta ↓ Colin Guske 87'
- 1
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Dagur THorhallsson 78'
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Cesar Araujo 63'
- 30
- 4
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ Luis Muriel 63'
- 13
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 63'
- 68
-
5
Cesar Araujo ↑ 63'
- 12
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 78'
-
14
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 46'
-
25
Colin Guske ↑ 87'
- 11
- 96
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan McGuire | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Ercan Kara | 2 |
| Jay Chapman | 2 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
| Cesar Araujo | 2 |
| Dagur THorhallsson | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.42
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Orlando City SC
51%
Toronto FC or Orlando City SC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.9%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.5%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 18% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

