FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2026

FC Cincinnati

0 – 1

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sun 8 Mar 2026 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS .

FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Alexis Da Silva (USA)

8 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 18.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	27	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	St. Louis City	27	47
18	FC Dallas	27	47
19	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Seattle Sounders FC	27	38
23	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	27	21

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Minnesota United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W
18 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–0	W
04 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	1–0	W
28 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	1–1	D

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
01 Mar	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–3	L
22 Feb	FC Dallas	A	2–3	L
18 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	4–2	W
09 Oct	Los Angeles FC	A	0–2	L
05 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Toronto FC
#9	Position	#13
33	Points	29
26	Played	27
8 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	6 / 11 / 10
55	Scored	39
64	Conceded	51
-9	GD	-12
1.27	PPG	1.07
31%	Win %	22%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/5

31-45

5/6

46-60

4/7

61-75

7/6

76+

9/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Toronto FC

Daniel Salloi	7 G	5 A
Josh Sargent	7 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at as FC Cincinnati face off against Toronto FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
It finishes all square. FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luciano Acosta	5
Nick DeLeon	2
Emmanuel Ledesma	2
Kevin Denkey	2
Ian Murphy	2
Marky Delgado	2
Jonathan Osorio	2
Patrick Mullins	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC L 2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2026-02-21 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Atlanta United FC W 2025-10-18 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SC D

Toronto FC Form

2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC W 2026-03-01 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2026-02-22 FC Dallas 3–2 Toronto FC L 2025-10-18 Toronto FC 4–2 Orlando City SC W 2025-10-09 Los Angeles FC 2–0 Toronto FC L 2025-10-05 Chicago Fire FC 2–2 Toronto FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

2.23 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati51% Draw23% Toronto FC26%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.68

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

74%

Draw or Toronto FC

49%

FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati40% Draw39% Toronto FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

2 – 1

8.8%

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

6.3%

1 – 2

5.8%

1 – 0

5.2%

3 – 2

4.7%

3 – 0

4.6%

0 – 0

3.8%

4 – 1

3.6%

0 – 1

Actual

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	16%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	20%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	13%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.