San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at PayPal Park.
- San Jose Earthquakes 15 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–4 | L |
| 31 May | New York City FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 26 May | Austin FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Orlando City SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | Portland Timbers | A | 2–4 | L |
| 12 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 4–2 | W |
| 29 May | Nashville SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 May | Toronto FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 18 May | St. Louis City | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| San Jose Earthquakes | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #7 |
| 32 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 10 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 34 | Scored | 36 |
| 15 | Conceded | 37 |
| +19 | GD | -1 |
| 2.13 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season
San Jose Earthquakes this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
San Jose Earthquakes are 17th (32 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
7/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/–
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to PayPal Park that hosts another battle between San Jose Earthquakes and FC Cincinnati.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kipp Keller, as he is very good at scoring at PayPal Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' Luciano Acosta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. San Jose Earthquakes needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hernan Lopez Munoz suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tanner Beason made 279 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. DeAndre Yedlin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
- 53' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Pavel Bucha on 53.
- 57' What a strike from Hernan Lopez Munoz! The score is 1-1.
- 62' Nick Hagglund needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 64' Yuya Kubo is replacing Sergio Santos for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 66' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Kevin Kelsy gets a card.
- 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 245 games and scored 352 goals.
- 72' San Jose Earthquakes is taking the lead after the goal scored by Cristian Espinoza on 72.
- 75' The whistle greets Amahl Pellegrino as he departs to be replaced by Jack Skahan.
- 76' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Nick Hagglund is replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela.
- 78' What a strike from Yuya Kubo! The score is 2-2.
- 80' Goal! Yuya Kubo scores his 18 goal in 295 matches.
- 84' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Luca Orellano departs to be replaced by Bret Halsey.
- 87' What a strike from Yuya Kubo! The score is 2-4.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Hernan Lopez Munoz.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-4.
Lineups
San Jose Earthquakes Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
14
Jackson Yueill ↓ Preston Judd 84'
- 11
- 94
- 10
- 23
- 15
- 25
-
30
Niko Tsakiris ↓ Alfredo Morales 84'
-
9
Amahl Pellegrino ↓ Jack Skahan 75'
- 24
Bench
-
6
Alfredo Morales ↑ 84'
- 22
- 55
- 3
-
16
Jack Skahan ↑ 75'
- 77
- 28
- 98
-
19
Preston Judd ↑ 84'
Coach
Luchi Gonzalez
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Kipp Keller 64'
- 4
- 10
- 20
- 5
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Bret Halsey 84'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Yuya Kubo 64'
- 32
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Yamil Asad 76'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 64'
- 2
-
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 76'
- 1
-
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 84'
-
14
Kipp Keller ↑ 64'
- 26
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 76'
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Kubo | 4 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Nick Lima | 1 |
| Luciano Acosta | 1 |
| Alvaro Barreal | 1 |
| Cristian Espinoza | 1 |
| Hernan Lopez Munoz | 1 |
| Pavel Bucha | 1 |
Head to Head
San Jose Earthquakes Form
2024-06-16
San Jose Earthquakes
2–4
FC Cincinnati
L
2024-05-31
New York City FC
5–1
San Jose Earthquakes
L
2024-05-26
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1
Austin FC
D
2024-05-19
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Orlando City SC
L
2024-05-16
Portland Timbers
4–2
San Jose Earthquakes
L
2024-05-12
Colorado Rapids SC
2–3
San Jose Earthquakes
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.67
San Jose Earthquakes xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 83%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 3.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 4.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
Double Chance
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
58%
San Jose Earthquakes or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
1 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
4 – 1
3.3%
4 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — San Jose Earthquakes
| Handicap | San Jose Earthquakes covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 13% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 17% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 15% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 10% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

