San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at PayPal Park.
- San Jose Earthquakes 27 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–4 | L |
| 31 May | New York City FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 26 May | Austin FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Orlando City SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | Portland Timbers | A | 2–4 | L |
| 12 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 4–2 | W |
| 29 May | Nashville SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 May | Toronto FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 18 May | St. Louis City | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| San Jose Earthquakes | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #9 |
| 45 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 13 / 6 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 49 | Scored | 55 |
| 39 | Conceded | 64 |
| +10 | GD | -9 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 48% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season
San Jose Earthquakes this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
San Jose Earthquakes are 18th (45 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
12/7
16-30
5/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
6/7
61-75
5/2
76+
8/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
San Jose Earthquakes
| Preston Judd | 15 G | 3 A |
| Timo Werner | 6 G | 4 A |
| Ousseni Bouda | 6 G | 1 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' San Jose Earthquakes have kicked off against FC Cincinnati. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' San Jose Earthquakes is showing some good football. However, San Jose Earthquakes are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Kipp Keller is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for San Jose Earthquakes tonight.
- 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. San Jose Earthquakes must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luca Orellano suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' San Jose Earthquakes currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 40' San Jose Earthquakes are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
- 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 50' San Jose Earthquakes seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 53' A goal from the Czech Republic international Pavel Bucha! He fires home on 53 to make it 0-1!
- 57' Hernan Lopez Munoz does the damage! The net is bulging and San Jose Earthquakes surge ahead!
- 62' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 64' The whistle greets Sergio Santos as he departs to be replaced by Yuya Kubo.
- 66' Kevin Kelsy picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 71' Over 71 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 72' San Jose Earthquakes is taking the lead after the goal scored by Cristian Espinoza on 72.
- 75' The whistle greets Amahl Pellegrino as he departs to be replaced by Jack Skahan.
- 76' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Nick Hagglund exits the field as Gerardo Valenzuela enters on 76.
- 78' The Japan Yuya Kubo breaks the deadlock on 78 minutes. 2-2!
- 80' The Japan Yuya Kubo breaks the deadlock on 80 minutes. 2-3!
- 84' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Luca Orellano exits the field as Bret Halsey enters on 84.
- 87' Assisted by Luciano Acosta with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yuya Kubo makes no mistake. 2-4!
- 90' San Jose Earthquakes receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- San Jose Earthquakes will have plenty to reflect on. FC Cincinnati were simply the better side today.
Lineups
San Jose Earthquakes Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
14
Jackson Yueill ↓ Preston Judd 84'
- 11
- 94
- 10
- 23
- 15
- 25
-
30
Niko Tsakiris ↓ Alfredo Morales 84'
-
9
Amahl Pellegrino ↓ Jack Skahan 75'
- 24
Bench
-
6
Alfredo Morales ↑ 84'
- 22
- 55
- 3
-
16
Jack Skahan ↑ 75'
- 77
- 28
- 98
-
19
Preston Judd ↑ 84'
Coach
Luchi Gonzalez
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Kipp Keller 64'
- 4
- 10
- 20
- 5
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Bret Halsey 84'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Yuya Kubo 64'
- 32
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Yamil Asad 76'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 64'
- 2
-
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 76'
- 1
-
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 84'
-
14
Kipp Keller ↑ 64'
- 26
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 76'
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Kubo | 4 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Daniel Munie | 1 |
| Evander | 1 |
| Tom Barlow | 1 |
| Ayoub Jabbari | 1 |
| Bryan Ramirez | 1 |
| Nick Lima | 1 |
Head to Head
San Jose Earthquakes Form
2024-06-16
San Jose Earthquakes
2–4
FC Cincinnati
L
2024-05-31
New York City FC
5–1
San Jose Earthquakes
L
2024-05-26
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1
Austin FC
D
2024-05-19
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Orlando City SC
L
2024-05-16
Portland Timbers
4–2
San Jose Earthquakes
L
2024-05-12
Colorado Rapids SC
2–3
San Jose Earthquakes
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.32
San Jose Earthquakes xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.51
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw
57%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
65%
San Jose Earthquakes or FC Cincinnati
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 3
5.4%
1 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4.8%
3 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 4
3%
4 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — San Jose Earthquakes
| Handicap | San Jose Earthquakes covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 11% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 15% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 17% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 13% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

