San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at PayPal Park.
- San Jose Earthquakes 34 games · 52 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–4 | L |
| 31 May | New York City FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 26 May | Austin FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Orlando City SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | Portland Timbers | A | 2–4 | L |
| 12 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 4–2 | W |
| 29 May | Nashville SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 May | Toronto FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 18 May | St. Louis City | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| San Jose Earthquakes | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #8 |
| 52 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 10 / 10 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 57 | Scored | 67 |
| 51 | Conceded | 75 |
| +6 | GD | -8 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 41% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season
San Jose Earthquakes this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
San Jose Earthquakes are 19th (52 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
14/7
16-30
6/7
31-45
6/7
46-60
7/8
61-75
6/3
76+
10/16
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
San Jose Earthquakes
| Preston Judd | 17 G | 3 A |
| Ousseni Bouda | 7 G | 1 A |
| Timo Werner | 6 G | 4 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at PayPal Park as San Jose Earthquakes face off against FC Cincinnati in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' San Jose Earthquakes currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. San Jose Earthquakes must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' It looks surprising San Jose Earthquakes does not make any changes. Carlos Akapo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' USA international Niko Tsakiris has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 7 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. San Jose Earthquakes in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. San Jose Earthquakes and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 53' Against the run of play, Pavel Bucha has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 57' Hernan Lopez Munoz has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 57 minutes.
- 62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 261 games and scored 378 goals.
- 64' The whistle greets Sergio Santos as he departs to be replaced by Yuya Kubo.
- 66' Kevin Kelsy is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
- 71' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luchi Gonzalez might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 72' Brilliant from the ! Cristian Espinoza makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 72.
- 75' The San Jose Earthquakes manager makes a substitution. Amahl Pellegrino departs to be replaced by Jack Skahan.
- 76' Nick Hagglund makes way for Gerardo Valenzuela at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 78' GOAL! Yuya Kubo scores on 78. Assisted by Luciano Acosta
- 80' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yuya Kubo on 80.
- 84' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Bret Halsey comes on to replace Luca Orellano.
- 87' GOAL! Yuya Kubo scores on 87. Assisted by Luciano Acosta
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Hernan Lopez Munoz.
- The final score is 2-4.
Lineups
San Jose Earthquakes Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
14
Jackson Yueill ↓ Preston Judd 84'
- 11
- 94
- 10
- 23
- 15
- 25
-
30
Niko Tsakiris ↓ Alfredo Morales 84'
-
9
Amahl Pellegrino ↓ Jack Skahan 75'
- 24
Bench
-
6
Alfredo Morales ↑ 84'
- 22
- 55
- 3
-
16
Jack Skahan ↑ 75'
- 77
- 28
- 98
-
19
Preston Judd ↑ 84'
Coach
Luchi Gonzalez
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Kipp Keller 64'
- 4
- 10
- 20
- 5
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Bret Halsey 84'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Yuya Kubo 64'
- 32
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Yamil Asad 76'
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 64'
- 2
-
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 76'
- 1
-
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 84'
-
14
Kipp Keller ↑ 64'
- 26
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 76'
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Kubo | 4 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Hernan Lopez Munoz | 1 |
| Luciano Acosta | 1 |
| Pavel Bucha | 1 |
| Alvaro Barreal | 1 |
| Timo Werner | 1 |
| Daniel Munie | 1 |
Head to Head
San Jose Earthquakes Form
2024-06-16
San Jose Earthquakes
2–4
FC Cincinnati
L
2024-05-31
New York City FC
5–1
San Jose Earthquakes
L
2024-05-26
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1
Austin FC
D
2024-05-19
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Orlando City SC
L
2024-05-16
Portland Timbers
4–2
San Jose Earthquakes
L
2024-05-12
Colorado Rapids SC
2–3
San Jose Earthquakes
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04
San Jose Earthquakes xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.47
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw
54%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
68%
San Jose Earthquakes or FC Cincinnati
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
5.6%
1 – 3
5.5%
2 – 3
5.5%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 3
3.7%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 4
3.4%
Asian Handicap — San Jose Earthquakes
| Handicap | San Jose Earthquakes covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 15% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 18% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.