FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 17 games · 23 pts (2026/26)
- San Jose Earthquakes 17 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 17 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 17 | 25 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 23 |
| 8 | D.C. United SC | 17 | 22 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 22 |
| 10 | Orlando City SC | 17 | 20 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew SC | 17 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 17 | 16 |
| 13 | Montreal Impact FC | 17 | 15 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 17 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 16 | 33 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 33 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 33 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 17 | 26 |
| 20 | Real Salt Lake | 16 | 26 |
| 21 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 26 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 17 | 25 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 16 | 24 |
| 24 | Minnesota United FC | 17 | 23 |
| 25 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 21 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 21 |
| 27 | San Diego FC | 17 | 20 |
| 28 | Colorado Rapids SC | 17 | 19 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 17 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 23 May | Orlando City SC | H | 6–2 | W |
| 17 May | San Diego FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 13 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Jul | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jul | Orlando City SC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 24 May | Portland Timbers | A | 3–1 | W |
| 17 May | FC Dallas | H | 2–3 | L |
| 14 May | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | San Jose Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #18 |
| 23 | Points | 33 |
| 17 | Played | 17 |
| 6 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 10 / 3 / 4 |
| 41 | Scored | 35 |
| 42 | Conceded | 20 |
| -1 | GD | +15 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.94 |
| 35% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
28%
Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season
San Jose Earthquakes this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (23 pts). San Jose Earthquakes are 18th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/6
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
7/5
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/1
76+
7/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
San Jose Earthquakes
| Preston Judd | 11 G | 2 A |
| Ousseni Bouda | 5 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes is underway.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' Kyle Smith is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Timo Werner, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 26' Daniel Munie puts San Jose Earthquakes on the lead.
- 31' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bruce Arena might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 34' A goal from the Ecuador international Bryan Ramirez! He fires home on 34 to make it 1-1!
- 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ian Harkes made 281 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 100% of all matches.
- 46' Ian Harkes gets the nod from San Jose Earthquakes. He replaces Nick Fernandez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 57' A goal from the Germany international Timo Werner! He fires home on 57 to make it 1-2!
- 60' Vitor Costa makes way for Jamar Ricketts at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from San Jose Earthquakes.
- 65' Jamar Ricketts is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 70' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Tom Barlow comes on to replace Kenji Mboma.
- 73' A tactical swap from San Jose Earthquakes — Jack Skahan on, Ousseni Bouda off on 73 minutes.
- 78' Preston Judd has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 19 appearances with only 9 goals this season.
- 80' Brilliant from the ! Tom Barlow makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 80.
- 82' What a moment for Evander! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
- 82' San Jose Earthquakes manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dave Romney is hanging Ronaldo Vieira on the field on 82 minute.
- 87' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
- 88' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Ender Echenique by Alvas Powell on 88 minute.
- 89' Miles Robinson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Ayoub Jabbari is replacing Kevin Denkey for the FC Cincinnati side.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 12
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Tah Anunga 88'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 90'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Teenage Hadebe 70'
- 18
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Tom Barlow 70'
-
66
Ender Echenique ↓ Alvas Powell 88'
- 11
- 29
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 88'
- 4
-
16
Tom Barlow ↑ 70'
-
15
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 70'
-
27
Tah Anunga ↑ 88'
- 14
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 90'
- 88
Coach
Pat Noonan
San Jose Earthquakes Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 11
-
14
Ronaldo Vieira ↓ Dave Romney 82'
-
87
Vitor Costa ↓ Jamar Ricketts 60'
- 28
-
7
Ousseni Bouda ↓ Jack Skahan 73'
- 19
- 5
- 34
- 18
-
20
Nick Fernandez ↓ Ian Harkes 46'
Bench
-
6
Ian Harkes ↑ 46'
- 79
- 3
-
16
Jack Skahan ↑ 73'
-
4
Dave Romney ↑ 82'
- 99
-
2
Jamar Ricketts ↑ 60'
- 31
-
17
Jack Jasinski ↑ 82'
Coach
Bruce Arena
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Kubo | 4 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Timo Werner | 1 |
| Daniel Munie | 1 |
| Evander | 1 |
| Tom Barlow | 1 |
| Ayoub Jabbari | 1 |
| Bryan Ramirez | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
San Jose Earthquakes Form
2026-08-01
FC Cincinnati
4–2
San Jose Earthquakes
L
2026-07-26
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
2026-07-23
San Jose Earthquakes
0–4
Orlando City SC
L
2026-05-24
Portland Timbers
1–3
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2026-05-17
San Jose Earthquakes
2–3
FC Dallas
L
2026-05-14
Seattle Sounders FC
3–2
San Jose Earthquakes
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.77
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.44
San Jose Earthquakes xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 88% + Both teams to score 84%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 3.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 4.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
70%
Draw or San Jose Earthquakes
49%
FC Cincinnati or San Jose Earthquakes
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 3
4.5%
1 – 1
4.3%
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.6%
4 – 1
3.2%
4 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | San Jose Earthquakes covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 13% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 17% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 15% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 10% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

