FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- San Jose Earthquakes 15 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 15 | 15 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 15 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Los Angeles FC | 16 | 27 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 14 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 16 | 20 |
| 25 | St. Louis City | 15 | 19 |
| 26 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 27 | Portland Timbers | 15 | 17 |
| 28 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Orlando City SC | H | 6–2 | W |
| 17 May | San Diego FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 13 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 May | Charlotte FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | Portland Timbers | A | 3–1 | W |
| 17 May | FC Dallas | H | 2–3 | L |
| 14 May | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 May | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | St. Louis City | A | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | San Jose Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #17 |
| 20 | Points | 32 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 2 / 3 |
| 36 | Scored | 34 |
| 37 | Conceded | 15 |
| -1 | GD | +19 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 2.13 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
33%
Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season
San Jose Earthquakes this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). San Jose Earthquakes are 17th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
7/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/–
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 9 G | 3 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 9 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
San Jose Earthquakes
| Preston Judd | 11 G | 2 A |
| Ousseni Bouda | 5 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Kubo | 4 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Cristian Espinoza | 1 |
| Hernan Lopez Munoz | 1 |
| Pavel Bucha | 1 |
| Nick Lima | 1 |
| Luciano Acosta | 1 |
| Alvaro Barreal | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
San Jose Earthquakes Form
2026-05-24
Portland Timbers
1–3
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2026-05-17
San Jose Earthquakes
2–3
FC Dallas
L
2026-05-14
Seattle Sounders FC
3–2
San Jose Earthquakes
L
2026-05-10
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
D
2026-05-02
Toronto FC
1–1
San Jose Earthquakes
D
2026-04-26
St. Louis City
2–3
San Jose Earthquakes
W
Predictions
2.28
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.35
San Jose Earthquakes xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 4.63
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
65%
Draw or San Jose Earthquakes
56%
FC Cincinnati or San Jose Earthquakes
79%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
1 – 1
6%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3.1%
4 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | San Jose Earthquakes covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 11% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 17% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
11%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.