FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 28 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 29 games · 66 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 29 | 66 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 29 | 52 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 29 | 49 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 29 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 29 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 45 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 29 | 38 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 36 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 29 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 29 | 33 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 28 | 33 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 29 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 29 | 30 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 29 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 29 | 52 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 29 | 51 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 29 | 50 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 47 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 46 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 30 | 45 |
| 22 | Seattle Sounders FC | 29 | 41 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 39 |
| 24 | Colorado Rapids SC | 29 | 38 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 29 | 33 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 33 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 33 |
| 28 | Minnesota United FC | 29 | 31 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 29 | 31 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Atlanta United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Sep | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Sporting Kansas City | H | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | Austin FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Sep | Toronto FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #1 |
| 36 | Points | 66 |
| 28 | Played | 29 |
| 9 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 20 / 6 / 3 |
| 60 | Scored | 63 |
| 68 | Conceded | 22 |
| -8 | GD | +41 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 2.28 |
| 32% | Win % | 69% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
48%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (36 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (66 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
5/3
16-30
5/10
31-45
9/10
46-60
6/12
61-75
5/5
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
6/6
76+
14/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 9 G | 3 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 17 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 15 G | 8 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Charles Sapong | 4 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Sam Surridge | 4 |
| Randall Leal | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Walker Zimmerman | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
1.44
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.86
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 4.3
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
45%
Draw or Nashville SC
76%
FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC
79%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 3
7.4%
1 – 1
6.4%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
5.2%
1 – 4
5.2%
2 – 1
4%
2 – 4
3.8%
0 – 4
3.7%
0 – 1
3.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +1 | 35% | 19% | 46% |
| +1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +2 | 54% | 18% | 28% |
| +2.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
7%
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
24%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

