FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 27 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 3–6 | L |
| 24 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–5 | L |
| 20 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 16 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 6–3 | W |
| 23 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Oct | New York City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #1 |
| 33 | Points | 60 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 18 / 6 / 3 |
| 55 | Scored | 55 |
| 64 | Conceded | 21 |
| -9 | GD | +34 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 2.22 |
| 31% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
48%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 16 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 13 G | 6 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Cincinnati to score. At the same time, Nashville SC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The travelling Nashville SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 6' The Brenner da Silva breaks the deadlock on 6 minutes. 1-0!
- 11' Nashville SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 11.
- 16' With 0 assists to his name this season, Caleb Stanko is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 17' Brenner da Silva with the second goal in the match!
- 21' The referee has no hesitation. Daniel Lovitz is booked for Nashville SC — Yellow card on 21.
- 26' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 28' What a moment for Walker Zimmerman! That strike on 28 puts his side firmly in control.
- 32' The USA Brandon Vazquez breaks the deadlock on 32 minutes. 3-1!
- 35' Geoff Cameron is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
- 40' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
- 46' Another substitution for Nashville SC to replace Luke Haakenson by Ake Arnaud Loba on 46 minute.
- 47' The deadlock is broken! Randall Leal gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 52' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Nashville SC winning 100% of all matches.
- 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 62' Nashville SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 65' A tactical swap from Nashville SC — Taylor Washington on, Daniel Lovitz off on 65 minutes.
- 70' Luciano Acosta was booked on 70.
- 71' The deadlock is broken! Charles Sapong gets on the scoresheet on 71 minutes.
- 76' A goal from the Costa Rica international Randall Leal! He fires home on 76 to make it 3-4!
- 80' Ake Arnaud Loba has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 80 minutes.
- 81' The crowd applauds Caleb Stanko as he leaves the pitch. Kamohelo Mokotjo steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 84' Alvaro Barreal is replacing Brenner da Silva for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 89' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 90' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Zico Bailey exits the field as Isaac Atanga enters on 90.
- With this win, Nashville SC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 12
- 25
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Kamohelo Mokotjo 81'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Calvin Harris 81'
- 6
- 2
- 11
- 19
-
16
Zico Bailey ↓ Isaac Atanga 90'
- 9
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 81'
- 64
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 84'
-
23
Isaac Atanga ↑ 90'
- 22
- 13
-
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 81'
- 29
- 21
Coach
Tyrone Marshall
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 20
- 1
- 25
-
8
Randall Leal ↓ Alex Muyl 84'
- 2
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Matt LaGrassa 90'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Jack Maher 84'
- 12
- 17
- 26
Bench
-
19
Alex Muyl ↑ 84'
- 99
- 35
- 15
- 7
-
23
Taylor Washington ↑ 65'
-
5
Jack Maher ↑ 84'
-
22
Matt LaGrassa ↑ 90'
-
72
Ake Arnaud Loba ↑ 46'
Coach
Gary Smith
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Charles Sapong | 4 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Sam Surridge | 4 |
| Randall Leal | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Walker Zimmerman | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.07
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
38%
Draw or Nashville SC
81%
FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–6 not predicted3 – 6Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 3
7.5%
1 – 4
5.7%
1 – 1
5.7%
0 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 4
4.2%
2 – 4
4%
1 – 5
3.6%
2 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 8% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| +0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +1 | 31% | 19% | 51% |
| +1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +2 | 49% | 19% | 32% |
| +2.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

