Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
Wed 29 Oct 2025 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenDFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
16 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–4 L
25 Oct SG Dynamo Dresden A 2–1 W
18 Oct Arminia Bielefeld H 4–3 W
03 Oct Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–1 W
27 Sep 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 2–0 W
20 Sep Hertha BSC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct SC Paderborn 07 A 4–2 W
26 Oct SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
21 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–7 L
18 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W
04 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W
01 Oct PSV H 1–1 D

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.69 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0730% Draw24% Bayer 04 Leverkusen46%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
54%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
70%
SC Paderborn 07 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0725% Draw38% Bayer 04 Leverkusen37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 3
5%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 19% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
12%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.