Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 21 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 games · Avg 9.0 goals Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–7 L
18 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W
04 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W
01 Oct PSV H 1–1 D
27 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
21 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 7–2 W
17 Oct RC Strasbourg Alsace H 3–3 D
05 Oct Lille OSC A 1–1 D
01 Oct FC Barcelona A 2–1 W
27 Sep AJ Auxerre H 2–0 W
22 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Paris Saint-Germain FC
#16 Position #11
12 Points 14
8 Played 8
3 / 3 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 2
13 Scored 21
14 Conceded 11
-1 GD +10
1.50 PPG 1.75
38% Win % 50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 16th (12 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.63 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.67 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 88% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen20% Draw19% Paris Saint-Germain FC61%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 5.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 88%
12%
± 3.5 75%
25%
± 4.5 58%
42%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
39%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
80%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Paris Saint-Germain FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen15% Draw28% Paris Saint-Germain FC57%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–7 not predicted
2 – 7
Actual
1 – 3
6.7%
1 – 4
6.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 3
5.4%
2 – 4
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 5
4.4%
0 – 3
4.3%
0 – 4
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
1 – 1
3.7%
2 – 5
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 8% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 27% 73%
+1 27% 17% 56%
+1.5 44% 56%
+2 44% 18% 38%
+2.5 62% 38%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
3%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.