FC Arouca vs Rio Ave FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

FC Arouca

3 – 3

Full Time

Rio Ave FC

Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Arouca vs Rio Ave FC — Primeira Liga .

FC Arouca 33 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Rio Ave FC 33 games · 36 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	33	85
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	32	80
3	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	33	77
4	Sporting Clube de Braga	32	56
5	FC Famalicão	34	56
6	Gil Vicente FC	33	47
7	Moreirense FC	33	43
8	FC Arouca	33	42
9	GD Estoril Praia	34	39
10	Vitória SC	33	39
11	FC Alverca	33	36
12	Rio Ave FC	33	36
13	CD Santa Clara	33	33
14	CD Nacional	33	31
15	CF Estrela da Amadora	33	30
16	Casa Pia AC	32	30
17	CD Tondela	32	27
18	AVS	33	20

Head-to-Head

FC Arouca 8 games · Avg 2.5 goals Rio Ave FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-23 FC Arouca 3–3 Rio Ave FC 2025-02-10 FC Arouca 1–1 Rio Ave FC 2024-09-01 Rio Ave FC 1–0 FC Arouca 2024-04-19 Rio Ave FC 1–1 FC Arouca 2023-12-10 FC Arouca 2–2 Rio Ave FC

Recent Form

FC Arouca

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	Rio Ave FC	H	3–3	D
17 Aug	Sporting Clube de Portugal	A	0–6	L
09 Aug	AVS	H	3–1	W
17 May	Boavista FC	H	4–1	W
10 May	Gil Vicente FC	A	1–1	D
04 May	Casa Pia AC	H	0–0	D

Rio Ave FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	FC Arouca	A	3–3	D
17 Aug	CD Nacional	H	1–1	D
16 May	Gil Vicente FC	H	1–1	D
10 May	CD Nacional	A	3–3	D
05 May	CF Estrela da Amadora	H	2–0	W
27 Apr	Vitória SC	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

FC Arouca		Rio Ave FC
#8	Position	#12
42	Points	36
33	Played	33
12 / 6 / 15	W / D / L	8 / 12 / 13
46	Scored	35
62	Conceded	55
-16	GD	-20
1.27	PPG	1.09
36%	Win %	24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts). Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Arouca and Rio Ave FC is underway.
The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

Rio Ave FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cristo Gonzalez	1
Joca	1
Rafa Mujica	1
Clayton	1
Tiago Fonseca Morais	1
Jose Fontan	1
Abdul-Aziz Yakubu	1
Paulo Vitor	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.2 FC Arouca xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.65 Rio Ave FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Arouca48% Draw23% Rio Ave FC29%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw

71%

Draw or Rio Ave FC

52%

FC Arouca or Rio Ave FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Arouca38% Draw38% Rio Ave FC24%

Actual: FC Arouca win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

8.6%

2 – 1

8.2%

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

2 – 0

5.2%

3 – 2

4.9%

1 – 0

4.2%

3 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

3.7%

1 – 3

3.4%

0 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap	FC Arouca covers	Push	Rio Ave FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	15%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	19%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	14%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.