Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A .
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jun | Goiás EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Jun | CA River Plate | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jun | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 May | SC Internacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 May | Goiás EC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 38 | Points | 33 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 10 / 8 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 5 |
| 34 | Scored | 29 |
| 28 | Conceded | 25 |
| +6 | GD | +4 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 43% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Fluminense FC and EC Bahia get this one started.
- 5' Jhon Arias is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' Uruguay international Nicolas Acevedo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 28' What composure from Vinicius Mingotti! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 33' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 34' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Nino.
- 37' The referee calls foul for Nino. He receives a Red card.
- 38' EC Bahia ring the changes. Danilo Fernandes has done his job and it is now time for Mateus Claus to step up.
- 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Arthur Sales, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 45' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Samuel Xavier.
- 49' GOAL! Lele scores on 49.
- 51' Gabriel Pirani puts Fluminense FC on the lead.
- 56' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Cicinho suffering a number of foals already.
- 62' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Kayky is replaced by Arthur Sales on 62 minute.
- 64' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Marcelo is replaced by Felipe on 64 minute.
- 69' Thaciano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Braz made 328 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 79' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 81' EC Bahia make a change. Cicinho trudges off to be replaced by Andre on 81 minutes.
- 86' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 90' Fluminense FC make a change. Lele trudges off to be replaced by German Cano on 90 minutes.
- EC Bahia will have plenty to reflect on. Fluminense FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 44
- 1
- 2
- 12
- 11
- 33
- 20
- 45
- 21
- 8
-
99
Lele ↓ German Cano 90'
Bench
- 29
- 23
- 10
-
14
German Cano ↑ 90'
- 9
- 22
- –
- 37
- 32
- 41
-
13
Felipe ↑ 64'
- 18
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Danilo Fernandes ↓ Mateus Claus 38'
- –
- 21
- –
-
–
Kayky ↓ Arthur Sales 62'
-
–
Rezende ↓ Danielzinho 81'
- –
Bench
- –
-
–
Mateus Claus ↑ 38'
-
–
Danielzinho ↑ 81'
- –
-
–
Arthur Sales ↑ 62'
- 17
-
–
Andre ↑ 81'
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Lele | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.48
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Bahia
49%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
12%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

