Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A .
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jun | Goiás EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Jun | CA River Plate | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jun | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 May | SC Internacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 May | Goiás EC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 48 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 9 / 6 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 44 | Scored | 43 |
| 36 | Conceded | 35 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 46% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fluminense FC is hosting EC Bahia for another epic battle.
- 5' Brazil international Mateus Claus has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' Lele is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 15' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Danielzinho has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' A quiet spell here at . EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 28' Magnificent from Vinicius Mingotti! That is 4 goals in 380 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 33' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 34' Nino was booked on 34.
- 37' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a Red card on 37.
- 38' Mateus Claus gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Danilo Fernandes and will look to change the dynamic.
- 43' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' Samuel Xavier picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 49' Against the run of play, Lele has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 51' Goal! Gabriel Pirani scores his 21 goal in 290 matches.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lima suffering a number of foals already.
- 61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fluminense FC and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 62' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Kayky is replaced by Arthur Sales on 62 minute.
- 64' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Marcelo is replaced by Felipe on 64 minute.
- 69' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 74' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 79' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 81' Andre is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cicinho at the 81 minute mark.
- 86' Fluminense FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's shape.
- 90' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! German Cano comes on to replace Lele.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Fluminense FC players.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 44
- 1
- 2
- 12
- 11
- 33
- 20
- 45
- 21
- 8
-
99
Lele ↓ German Cano 90'
Bench
- 29
- 23
- 10
-
14
German Cano ↑ 90'
- 9
- 22
- –
- 37
- 32
- 41
-
13
Felipe ↑ 64'
- 18
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Danilo Fernandes ↓ Mateus Claus 38'
- –
- 21
- –
-
–
Kayky ↓ Arthur Sales 62'
-
–
Rezende ↓ Danielzinho 81'
- –
Bench
- –
-
–
Mateus Claus ↑ 38'
-
–
Danielzinho ↑ 81'
- –
-
–
Arthur Sales ↑ 62'
- 17
-
–
Andre ↑ 81'
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Nonato | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Bahia
49%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.