Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A .
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jun | Goiás EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Jun | CA River Plate | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jun | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 May | SC Internacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 May | Goiás EC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #6 |
| 57 | Points | 53 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 16 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 55 | Scored | 50 |
| 42 | Conceded | 45 |
| +13 | GD | +5 |
| 1.68 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 47% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Fluminense FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Martinelli, a Brazil midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 28' Assisted by Kayky with the perfectly-timed delivery and Vinicius Mingotti makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 33' Gabriel Pirani is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 34' Nino catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 34.
- 37' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a Red card on 37.
- 38' Another change for EC Bahia made on 38 minute. Danilo Fernandes leaves to be changed by Mateus Claus.
- 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' Fluminense FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 49' What composure from Lele! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 51' Gabriel Pirani makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Fluminense FC are in front.
- 56' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
- 62' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Kayky by Arthur Sales on 62 minute.
- 64' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Felipe comes on to replace Marcelo.
- 69' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 2 meetings.
- 74' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 79' David Braz has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 81' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Cicinho exits the field as Andre enters on 81.
- 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 90' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! German Cano comes on to replace Lele.
- With this win, Fluminense FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 44
- 1
- 2
- 12
- 11
- 33
- 20
- 45
- 21
- 8
-
99
Lele ↓ German Cano 90'
Bench
- 29
- 23
- 10
-
14
German Cano ↑ 90'
- 9
- 22
- –
- 37
- 32
- 41
-
13
Felipe ↑ 64'
- 18
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Danilo Fernandes ↓ Mateus Claus 38'
- –
- 21
- –
-
–
Kayky ↓ Arthur Sales 62'
-
–
Rezende ↓ Danielzinho 81'
- –
Bench
- –
-
–
Mateus Claus ↑ 38'
-
–
Danielzinho ↑ 81'
- –
-
–
Arthur Sales ↑ 62'
- 17
-
–
Andre ↑ 81'
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.65
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
79%
Draw or EC Bahia
47%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

