Thursday , 1 October 2026

EC Bahia vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 – 0
Full Time
Sun 27 Jul 2025 · 21:30 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 14' Hudson
Y 73' Matheus Babi
R 77' Hudson

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs EC Juventude — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul EC Juventude H 3–0 W
19 Jul Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
13 Jul CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
12 Jun RB Bragantino A 3–0 W
31 May Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
25 May Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul EC Bahia A 0–3 L
24 Jul Sao Paulo FC H 0–1 L
20 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 0–4 L
14 Jul SC Recife H 2–0 W
01 Jun Gremio FBPA H 0–2 L
26 May RB Bragantino A 0–1 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: EC Bahia gets underway.
  • 5' Jadson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past EC Juventude's compact .
  • 14' Hudson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 19' Luciano Juba has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 11 cards already picked up this season.
  • 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 27' What composure from Jean Lucas! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 32' Lucas Fernandes is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Juventude so far.
  • 37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and EC Juventude are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 42' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 47' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Juventude needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 52' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 57' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 58' Against the run of play, Jean Lucas has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 63' EC Juventude manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matheus Babi is hanging Gabriel Taliari on the field on 63 minute.
  • 64' Enio gets the nod from EC Juventude. He replaces Gabriel Veron and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Caio Alexandre as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Acevedo steps in for EC Bahia.
  • 69' EC Bahia ring the changes. Willian Jose has done his job and it is now time for Luciano Rodriguez to step up.
  • 71' The whistle greets Lucas Fernandes as he departs to be replaced by Enmerson Batalla.
  • 73' Poor challenge from Matheus Babi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 77' Hudson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
  • 82' Kayky has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ademir Santos on 82 minute.
  • 84' Rodrigo Nestor is replacing Erick for the EC Bahia side.
  • 89' Rodrigo Nestor was booked on 89.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for EC Juventude.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia63% Draw23% EC Juventude14%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
86%
Draw or EC Juventude
37%
EC Bahia or EC Juventude
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia43% Draw46% EC Juventude11%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.2%
2 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
11.1%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 25% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
50% ✓
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.