Swansea City AFC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Watford FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joshua Smith
- Assistant 1 Matthew Jones
- Assistant 2 Mark Russell
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Oxford United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Oct | Stoke City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 6–2 | W |
| 26 Oct | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Leeds United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Luton Town FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #16 |
| 64 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 18 / 10 / 18 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 57 | Scored | 53 |
| 59 | Conceded | 65 |
| -2 | GD | -12 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 39% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Swansea.com Stadium!
- 5' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luke Williams might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' Ryan Andrews has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 358 appearances.
- 20' The 31-year-old Daniel Bachmann has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tom Ince is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Swansea City AFC.
- 26' That is a card for Watford FC. Festy Ebosele will be fuming at that decision.
- 31' Goncalo Franco is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Swansea City AFC so far.
- 35' Brilliant from the ! Myles Peart-Harris makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 35.
- 40' Matt Grimes was booked on 40.
- 44' Controversy at the stadium! Goncalo Franco argues furiously but the card stands.
- 45' Francisco Sierralta picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' Kwadwo Baah has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yasser Larouci on 46 minute.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' England international Josh Key has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 61' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 62' The crowd applauds Pierre Dwomoh as he leaves the pitch. Imran Louza steps in for Watford FC.
- 67' Florian Bianchini has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zan Vipotnik on 67 minute.
- 72' Giorgi Chakvetadze has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 74' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Tom Ince exits the field as Mamadou Doumbia enters on 74.
- 76' Cyrus Christie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kyle Naughton at the 76 minute mark.
- 79' A moment of madness from Myles Peart-Harris on 79 minutes earns him a card. Swansea City AFC will be frustrated.
- 83' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Vakoun Issouf Bayo is replaced by Daniel Jebbison on 83 minute.
- 88' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- Watford FC will have plenty to reflect on. Swansea City AFC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↓ Cyrus Christie 76'
- 20
- 22
- 2
- 6
- 5
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Joe Allen 76'
- 25
- 9
- 35
Bench
-
7
Joe Allen ↑ 76'
- 33
-
23
Cyrus Christie ↑ 76'
- 3
- 21
- 32
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 67'
- 47
- 37
Coach
Luke Williams
Watford FC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Ryan Andrews 62'
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Mamadou Doumbia 74'
- 3
- 1
- 39
- 8
- 19
- 6
-
14
Pierre Dwomoh ↓ Imran Louza 62'
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Kwadwo Baah 46'
- 36
Bench
- 23
-
10
Imran Louza ↑ 62'
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 46'
-
18
Daniel Jebbison ↑ 83'
- 22
- 4
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 62'
- 15
-
20
Mamadou Doumbia ↑ 74'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Lowe | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Joel Latibeaudiere | 1 |
| Ken Sema | 1 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 1 |
| Tom Cleverley | 1 |
| Myles Peart-Harris | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2024-11-05
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Watford FC
W
2024-11-02
Oxford United FC
1–2
Swansea City AFC
W
2024-10-26
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2024-10-22
Sheffield Wednesday FC
0–0
Swansea City AFC
D
2024-10-19
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2024-10-05
Swansea City AFC
0–0
Stoke City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
76%
Draw or Watford FC
52%
Swansea City AFC or Watford FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

