Preston North End FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Preston North End FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Deepdale.
- Preston North End FC 46 games · 60 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Webb
- Assistant 1 Jonathan Hunt
- Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Nov | Sunderland AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Nov | Bristol City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Oct | Norwich City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Nov | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | Stoke City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Hull City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Oct | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Preston North End FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #8 |
| 60 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 15 / 16 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 55 | Scored | 67 |
| 62 | Conceded | 59 |
| -7 | GD | +8 |
| 1.30 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 33% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
8%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
8%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Preston North End FC are 14th (60 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Preston North End FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Preston North End FC in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 3-1-4-2.
- 15' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. James Collins has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Andrew Hughes, as he is very good at scoring at Deepdale with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 23' The England Sam Greenwood breaks the deadlock on 23 minutes. 1-0!
- 28' Jerry Yates is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
- 29' Jerry Yates does the damage! The net is bulging and Derby County FC surge ahead!
- 34' Nathaniel Phillips has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 46 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Preston North End FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
- 46' Fresh legs for Preston North End FC! Milutin Osmajic comes on to replace Ryan Ledson.
- 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 56' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Liam Thompson.
- 60' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Dajaune Brown by Kane Wilson on 60 minute.
- 62' Preston North End FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 62.
- 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 69' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Liam Thompson is replaced by Marcus Harness.
- 74' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 75' Mads Frokjaer-Jensen gets the nod from Preston North End FC. He replaces Emil Riis Jakobsen and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' The Preston North End FC manager makes a substitution. Sam Greenwood departs to be replaced by Will Keane.
- 84' Kaine Kesler has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 11 cards already picked up this season.
- 85' James Collins gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Jerry Yates and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' Alistair McCann was booked on 87.
- 87' Ben Whiteman makes way for Duane Holmes at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Preston North End FC.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Marcus Harness.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Preston North End FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 5
- 44
- 16
-
18
Ryan Ledson ↓ Milutin Osmajic 46'
- 14
-
4
Ben Whiteman ↓ Duane Holmes 87'
- 8
- 1
- 9
-
20
Sam Greenwood ↓ Will Keane 79'
- 29
Bench
-
25
Duane Holmes ↑ 87'
-
7
Will Keane ↑ 79'
- 13
-
28
Milutin Osmajic ↑ 46'
- 40
- 22
-
10
Mads Frokjaer-Jensen ↑ 75'
- 33
- 23
Coach
Paul Heckingbottom
Derby County FC Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 8
- 3
- 19
- 35
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ James Collins 85'
- 32
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↓ Marcus Harness 69'
- 6
- 1
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↓ Kane Wilson 60'
Bench
- 17
-
18
Marcus Harness ↑ 69'
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 69'
- 27
-
2
Kane Wilson ↑ 60'
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 85'
- 5
- 7
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jerry Yates | 2 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 1 |
| Wayne Rooney | 1 |
| Alan Browne | 1 |
| Ryan Ledson | 1 |
| Ben Whiteman | 1 |
| Ched Evans | 1 |
| Ravel Morrison | 1 |
Head to Head
Preston North End FC Form
2024-11-23
Preston North End FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2024-11-09
Portsmouth FC
3–1
Preston North End FC
L
2024-11-06
Preston North End FC
0–0
Sunderland AFC
D
2024-11-02
Preston North End FC
1–3
Bristol City FC
L
2024-10-26
Plymouth Argyle FC
3–3
Preston North End FC
D
2024-10-22
Preston North End FC
2–2
Norwich City FC
D
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
Preston North End FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Preston North End FC or Derby County FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Preston North End FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Derby County FC
63%
Preston North End FC or Derby County FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Preston North End FC
| Handicap | Preston North End FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Preston North End FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.