Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at iPro Stadium.
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 15 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Leigh Doughty
- Referee Shaun Hudson
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Referee Mark Pottage
3 games this season
🟨 6.3/game
⚽ 24.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Dec | Stoke City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Dec | Brentford FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Dec | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Nov | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec | Derby County FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Dec | Cardiff City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | AFC Bournemouth | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Dec | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Dec | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #6 |
| 10 | Points | 26 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 2 / 4 / 9 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 5 |
| 14 | Scored | 22 |
| 30 | Conceded | 18 |
| -16 | GD | +4 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.73 |
| 13% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 4 G | 1 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 3 G | 2 A |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 3 G | |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Swansea City AFC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 4' Colin Kazim-Richards does the damage! The net is bulging and Derby County FC surge ahead!
- 9' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 14' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 24' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 29' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 34' Swansea City AFC is showing some good football. However, Swansea City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 37' Goal! Kamil Jozwiak scores his 4 goal in 28 matches.
- 42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
- 46' The Swansea City AFC manager makes a substitution. Jake Bidwell departs to be replaced by Ryan Manning.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' It looks surprising Swansea City AFC does not make any changes. Jamal Lowe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 61' Jamal Lowe makes way for Jordan Garrick at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Swansea City AFC.
- 66' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Liam Rosenior will be considering his options from the bench.
- 67' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Andre Ayew.
- 72' Swansea City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 73' Another change for Derby County FC made on 73 minute. Martyn Waghorn leaves to be changed by Duane Holmes.
- 78' Ryan Manning has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 357 appearances.
- 81' Time for substitution for Swansea City AFC. Korey Smith is replaced by Liam Cullen.
- 86' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 90' Louie Sibley is replacing Kamil Jozwiak for the Derby County FC side.
- Swansea City AFC will have plenty to reflect on. Derby County FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 2
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↓ Duane Holmes 73'
- 1
- 5
- 12
- 4
- 13
-
7
Kamil Jozwiak ↓ Louie Sibley 90'
- 26
- 38
Bench
- 21
- 3
- 8
- 22
-
25
Duane Holmes ↑ 73'
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 90'
- 49
- 99
-
39
Jack Stretton ↑ 90'
Coach
Liam Rosenior
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Jamal Lowe ↓ Jordan Garrick 61'
-
7
Korey Smith ↓ Liam Cullen 81'
- 10
-
6
Jay Fulton ↓ Kasey Palmer 46'
- 8
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↓ Yan Dhanda 46'
- 23
-
24
Jake Bidwell ↓ Ryan Manning 46'
- 2
- 1
- 5
Bench
- 15
-
21
Yan Dhanda ↑ 46'
- 13
-
20
Liam Cullen ↑ 81'
- 14
-
45
Kasey Palmer ↑ 46'
-
3
Ryan Manning ↑ 46'
- 44
-
41
Jordan Garrick ↑ 61'
Coach
Steve Cooper
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Ronald | 2 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
| Kamil Jozwiak | 1 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2020-12-16
Derby County FC
2–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2020-12-12
Cardiff City FC
0–2
Swansea City AFC
W
2020-12-08
Swansea City AFC
0–0
AFC Bournemouth
D
2020-12-05
Swansea City AFC
2–0
Luton Town FC
W
2020-12-02
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2020-11-29
Nottingham Forest FC
0–1
Swansea City AFC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.1
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
62%
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

