Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium 15,119 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+1' Casper De Norre

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee John Busby
  • Assistant 1 Mark Russell
  • Assistant 2 Lee Venamore

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Millwall FC H 0–1 L
22 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–0 D
19 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
05 Oct Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
02 Oct Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
29 Sep Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
23 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
19 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
01 Oct Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
28 Sep Preston North End FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Millwall FC
#11 Position #3
64 Points 83
46 Played 46
18 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 24 / 11 / 11
57 Scored 64
59 Conceded 49
-2 GD +15
1.39 PPG 1.80
39% Win % 52%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Swansea.com Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Swansea City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Swansea City AFC and Millwall FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' Swansea City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 39' Ryan Wintle was booked on 39.
  • 42' The referee calls foul for Romain Esse. He receives a card.
  • 47' The home supporters are growing impatient. Swansea City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 52' Dan McNamara, a Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 57' Swansea City AFC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Millwall FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Liam Cullen.
  • 65' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Swansea City AFC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 66' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Liam Cullen is withdrawn and Joe Allen gets his opportunity.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 72' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mihailo Ivanovic is hanging Macaulay Langstaff on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' Swansea City AFC is showing some good football. However, Swansea City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Goncalo Franco as he leaves the pitch. Oliver Cooper steps in for Swansea City AFC.
  • 83' Benjamin Cabango has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 140 appearances.
  • 88' George Honeyman is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Swansea City AFC so far.
  • 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Leonard on 89.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Millwall FC player. Mihailo Ivanovic gets a card.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Romain Esse as he leaves the pitch. Joe Bryan steps in for Millwall FC.
  • 0-1 the final result. Swansea City AFC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.9 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC29% Draw32% Millwall FC39%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
61%
Draw or Millwall FC
71%
Swansea City AFC or Millwall FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC20% Draw55% Millwall FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.2%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.7%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 22% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
35%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.