Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Ruebyn Ricardo (England)
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
28 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 0–3 L
24 Feb Preston North End FC H 1–1 D
21 Feb Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
14 Feb Derby County FC A 0–2 L
08 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Swansea City AFC A 0–2 L
28 Feb Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
25 Feb Oxford United FC H 2–1 W
21 Feb Leicester City FC H 2–2 D
15 Feb Fulham FC H 1–2 L
11 Feb Charlton Athletic FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Stoke City FC
#1 Position #7
17 Points 13
8 Played 8
5 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
13 Scored 13
6 Conceded 12
+7 GD +1
2.13 PPG 1.63
63% Win % 50%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
Adam Idah 3 G 1 A
Ji-sung Eom 2 G 2 A
Joseph Opoku 2 G
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Swansea City AFC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.83 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Swansea City AFC to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC61% Draw24% Stoke City FC15%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
85%
Draw or Stoke City FC
39%
Swansea City AFC or Stoke City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC43% Draw46% Stoke City FC11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.7%
4 – 0
3.6%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 20% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 25% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
50% ✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.