Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Swansea City AFC

2 – 0

Full Time

Stoke City FC

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC — Championship .

Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ruebyn Ricardo (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Swansea City AFC 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals Stoke City FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 Swansea City AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC 2025-12-13 Stoke City FC 2–1 Swansea City AFC 2025-02-15 Stoke City FC 3–1 Swansea City AFC 2024-10-05 Swansea City AFC 0–0 Stoke City FC 2024-04-10 Swansea City AFC 3–0 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Swansea City AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Stoke City FC	H	2–0	W
28 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	A	0–3	L
24 Feb	Preston North End FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Bristol City FC	H	1–0	W
14 Feb	Derby County FC	A	0–2	L
08 Feb	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	4–0	W

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Swansea City AFC	A	0–2	L
28 Feb	Coventry City FC	A	1–2	L
25 Feb	Oxford United FC	H	2–1	W
21 Feb	Leicester City FC	H	2–2	D
15 Feb	Fulham FC	H	1–2	L
11 Feb	Charlton Athletic FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC		Stoke City FC
#11	Position	#17
64	Points	55
46	Played	46
18 / 10 / 18	W / D / L	15 / 10 / 21
57	Scored	51
59	Conceded	56
-2	GD	-5
1.39	PPG	1.20
39%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Swansea City AFC and Stoke City FC has kicked off!
Full Time. Swansea City AFC beats Stoke City FC

Lineups

Swansea City AFC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lewis Baker	3
Sam Clucas	3
Joshua Laurent	3
James McClean	2
Andre Ayew	2
Nick Powell	2
Joel Piroe	2
Wouter Burger	1

Head to Head

Swansea City AFC Form

2026-03-07 Swansea City AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC W 2026-02-28 Ipswich Town FC 3–0 Swansea City AFC L 2026-02-24 Swansea City AFC 1–1 Preston North End FC D 2026-02-21 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Bristol City FC W 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC L 2026-02-08 Swansea City AFC 4–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W

Stoke City FC Form

2026-03-07 Swansea City AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC L 2026-02-28 Coventry City FC 2–1 Stoke City FC L 2026-02-25 Stoke City FC 2–1 Oxford United FC W 2026-02-21 Stoke City FC 2–2 Leicester City FC D 2026-02-15 Stoke City FC 1–2 Fulham FC L 2026-02-11 Charlton Athletic FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.53 Swansea City AFC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.82 Stoke City FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Swansea City AFC53% Draw27% Stoke City FC20%

Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.35

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw

80%

Draw or Stoke City FC

47%

Swansea City AFC or Stoke City FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Swansea City AFC36% Draw49% Stoke City FC15%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

13.5%

1 – 1

12.8%

0 – 0

11.6%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

8.9%

0 – 1

6.7%

3 – 0

5.4%

1 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.6%

2 – 2

3.7%

0 – 2

3.1%

4 – 0

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap	Swansea City AFC covers	Push	Stoke City FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	25%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	13%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet

44% ✗

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.