Saturday , 14 November 2026

Hull City AFC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC The MKM Stadium 23,005 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 46' Alfie Jones og

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
  • Assistant 2 Derek Eaton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
15 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
12 Mar Oxford United FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
04 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
15 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D
11 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Hull City AFC have kicked off against Luton Town FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Lamine Dabo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Hull City AFC have won 439 goals from 388 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' Hull City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Carlton Morris suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' Charlie Hughes is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hull City AFC so far.
  • 46' A stunning finish from Alfie Jones — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 46' Tahith Chong is replacing Reece Burke for the Luton Town FC side.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Hull City AFC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 61' Kal Naismith has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 392 appearances.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Kyle Joseph is replaced by Matt Crooks on 63 minute.
  • 66' The whistle greets Liam Walsh as he departs to be replaced by Lamine Dabo.
  • 67' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Elijah Adebayo departs to be replaced by Millenic Alli.
  • 72' Elijah Adebayo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 77' Hull City AFC make a change. Gustavo Puerta trudges off to be replaced by Nordin Amrabat on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 84' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kal Naismith is hanging Alfie Doughty on the field on 84 minute.
  • 85' Carlton Morris makes way for Lasse Nordas at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 90' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kyle Joseph is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Luton Town FC.
  • Hull City AFC will have plenty to reflect on. Luton Town FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.11 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Luton Town FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC34% Draw31% Luton Town FC35%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
65%
Draw or Luton Town FC
66%
Hull City AFC or Luton Town FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC24% Draw53% Luton Town FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.7%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.