Sunday , 15 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Tue 19 Oct 2021 · 18:45 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–2 D
16 Oct Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
02 Oct Swansea City AFC H 0–0 D
29 Sep Reading FC H 1–0 W
25 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
18 Sep Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Derby County FC A 2–2 D
16 Oct Millwall FC A 2–0 W
02 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC H 0–0 D
29 Sep Coventry City FC H 5–0 W
25 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 1–2 L
18 Sep Swansea City AFC H 3–3 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Pride Park. Derby County FC are looking to make home advantage count against Luton Town FC.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nathan Jones might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 14' Poor challenge from Kal Naismith. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 19' Luton Town FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' The Wales Tom Lawrence breaks the deadlock on 20 minutes. 1-0!
  • 25' Graeme Shinnie needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lee Buchanan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 31' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Kal Naismith departs to be replaced by Fred Onyedinma.
  • 36' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 49' What a moment for Fred Onyedinma! That strike on 49 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 54' Luton Town FC have won 493 goals from 397 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 59' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 60' Jason Knight has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 60 minutes.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Henri Lansbury. He replaces Glen Rea on 65 minute.
  • 70' Simon Sluga has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 74' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Ravel Morrison is replaced by Colin Kazim-Richards.
  • 79' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Luton Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 82' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Kamil Jozwiak is replaced by Dylan Williams on 82 minute.
  • 84' Brilliant from the forward! Elijah Adebayo makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 84.
  • 88' Festy Ebosele is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jason Knight at the 88 minute mark.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Tom Lawrence.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.41 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Luton Town FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC41% Draw28% Luton Town FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Luton Town FC
59%
Derby County FC or Luton Town FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC29% Draw47% Luton Town FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.