Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Tue 19 Oct 2021 · 18:45 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–2 D
16 Oct Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
02 Oct Swansea City AFC H 0–0 D
29 Sep Reading FC H 1–0 W
25 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
18 Sep Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Derby County FC A 2–2 D
16 Oct Millwall FC A 2–0 W
02 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC H 0–0 D
29 Sep Coventry City FC H 5–0 W
25 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 1–2 L
18 Sep Swansea City AFC H 3–3 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Luton Town FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 14' The referee shows Luton Town FC player a Yellow card on 14.
  • 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' What a moment for Tom Lawrence! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 25' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Luton Town FC backline.
  • 30' The 28-year-old James Bree has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 31' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Kal Naismith is replaced by Fred Onyedinma on 31 minute.
  • 36' Lee Buchanan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Luton Town FC's shape.
  • 49' Brilliant from the ! Fred Onyedinma makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 49.
  • 54' Luton Town FC have won 475 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 60' Sensational shot from Jason Knight. Derby County FC is back in the lead.
  • 65' The crowd applauds Glen Rea as he leaves the pitch. Henri Lansbury steps in for Luton Town FC.
  • 70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 74' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Ravel Morrison is replaced by Colin Kazim-Richards.
  • 79' Pelly Ruddock has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 82' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Kamil Jozwiak exits the field as Dylan Williams enters on 82.
  • 84' A goal from the England international Elijah Adebayo! He fires home on 84 to make it 2-2!
  • 88' Jason Knight makes way for Festy Ebosele at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 90' Tom Lawrence has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.41 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Luton Town FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC41% Draw28% Luton Town FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Luton Town FC
59%
Derby County FC or Luton Town FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC29% Draw47% Luton Town FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.