Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Luton Town FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Fri 20 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,667 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 58' Kayden Jackson
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu 89' 1–1
Carlton Morris 90+2' 2–1
Mads Juel Andersen 37' Y
Y 41' Nathaniel Phillips
Y 67' Callum Elder
Y 89' Curtis Nelson

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

5
1
2
Luton Town FC 8 games · Avg 2.6 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-26 Luton Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-10-19 Derby County FC 2–2 Luton Town FC 2021-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Luton Town FC 2020-09-19 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Derby County FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–2 L
10 Dec Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
07 Dec Swansea City AFC H 1–1 D
30 Nov Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
27 Nov Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
13 Dec Portsmouth FC H 4–0 W
10 Dec Burnley FC A 0–0 D
07 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
01 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
27 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Kenilworth Road that hosts another battle between Luton Town FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Callum Elder, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Victor Moses has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Thomas Kaminski made 231 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 37' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Mads Juel Andersen gets a card.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nathaniel Phillips on 41.
  • 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mads Juel Andersen suffering a number of foals already.
  • 51' It’s high time Rob Edwards made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 58' GOAL! Kayden Jackson scores on 58. Assisted by Kane Wilson
  • 62' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Sonny Bradley is replaced by Craig Forsyth.
  • 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Callum Elder on 67.
  • 68' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Victor Moses by Zack Nelson on 68 minute.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu. He replaces Tom Krauss on 69 minute.
  • 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for James Collins. He replaces Kayden Jackson on 78 minute.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Jerry Yates is replaced by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 79 minute.
  • 84' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Kenzo Goudmijn departs to be replaced by Marcus Harness.
  • 86' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joe Taylor is hanging Jordan Clark on the field on 86 minute.
  • 89' GOAL! Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu scores on 89. Assisted by Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu
  • 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Curtis Nelson on 89.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rob Edwards

Derby County FC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tom Lawrence 2
Donervon Daniels 1
Kayden Jackson 1
Pelly Ruddock 1
Carlton Morris 1
Jack Marriott 1
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu 1
Jordan Clark 1

Head to Head

2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-26 Luton Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-10-19 Derby County FC 2–2 Luton Town FC 2021-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Luton Town FC 2020-09-19 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC

Luton Town FC Form

2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2024-12-14 Blackburn Rovers FC 2–0 Luton Town FC L 2024-12-10 Luton Town FC 2–1 Stoke City FC W 2024-12-07 Luton Town FC 1–1 Swansea City AFC D 2024-11-30 Norwich City FC 4–2 Luton Town FC L 2024-11-27 Leeds United FC 3–0 Luton Town FC L

Derby County FC Form

2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2024-12-13 Derby County FC 4–0 Portsmouth FC W 2024-12-10 Burnley FC 0–0 Derby County FC D 2024-12-07 Leeds United FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2024-12-01 Derby County FC 1–2 Sheffield Wednesday FC L 2024-11-27 Derby County FC 1–2 Swansea City AFC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC49% Draw27% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Luton Town FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC32% Draw49% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.