Saturday , 14 November 2026

Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 26 Feb 2022 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Derby County FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Stoke City FC A 2–1 W
19 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–0 W
12 Feb Birmingham City FC A 0–3 L
08 Feb Barnsley FC H 2–1 W
05 Feb Cambridge United FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
23 Feb Millwall FC H 1–2 L
19 Feb Peterborough United FC H 1–0 W
12 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 1–4 L
08 Feb Hull City AFC H 3–1 W
02 Feb Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Luton Town FC have kicked off against Derby County FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Nathan Jones will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Lockyer made 292 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. Luton Town FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 35' Reece Burke is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
  • 40' Eiran Cashin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 45' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 51' Luton Town FC make a change. Henri Lansbury trudges off to be replaced by Danny Hylton on 51 minutes.
  • 52' Controversy at the stadium! Reece Burke argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 57' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nathan Jones might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 59' Harry Cornick makes way for Cameron Jerome at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 64' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 66' Derby County FC ring the changes. Max Bird has done his job and it is now time for Festy Ebosele to step up.
  • 68' Danny Hylton has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
  • 72' The referee has no hesitation. Cameron Jerome is booked for Luton Town FC — Yellow card on 72.
  • 74' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Craig Forsyth departs to be replaced by Luke Plange.
  • 77' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. Colin Kazim-Richards will be fuming at that decision.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Elijah Adebayo as he leaves the pitch. Fred Onyedinma steps in for Luton Town FC.
  • 83' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 88' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Nathan Byrne has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • Full Time. Luton Town FC beats Derby County FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56% + Luton Town FC to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC55% Draw26% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
45%
Luton Town FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC36% Draw48% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.