Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 26 Feb 2022 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Derby County FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Stoke City FC A 2–1 W
19 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–0 W
12 Feb Birmingham City FC A 0–3 L
08 Feb Barnsley FC H 2–1 W
05 Feb Cambridge United FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
23 Feb Millwall FC H 1–2 L
19 Feb Peterborough United FC H 1–0 W
12 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 1–4 L
08 Feb Hull City AFC H 3–1 W
02 Feb Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Kenilworth Road will turn into a battlefield for Luton Town FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Craig Forsyth made 390 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Luton Town FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Allan Campbell has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' Harry Cornick has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 51' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Henri Lansbury departs to be replaced by Danny Hylton.
  • 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Reece Burke on 52.
  • 57' Luton Town FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 59' Cameron Jerome is replacing Harry Cornick for the Luton Town FC side.
  • 64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 66' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Festy Ebosele on, Max Bird off on 66 minutes.
  • 68' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Danny Hylton makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 72' Cameron Jerome picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 74' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Craig Forsyth departs to be replaced by Luke Plange.
  • 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Colin Kazim-Richards.
  • 78' Elijah Adebayo makes way for Fred Onyedinma at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. Luton Town FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 88' Jason Knight has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 90' Malcolm Ebiowei picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • The points are shared — Luton Town FC 1-0 Derby County FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56% + Luton Town FC to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC55% Draw26% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
45%
Luton Town FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC36% Draw48% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.