Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 26 Feb 2022 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Derby County FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Stoke City FC A 2–1 W
19 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–0 W
12 Feb Birmingham City FC A 0–3 L
08 Feb Barnsley FC H 2–1 W
05 Feb Cambridge United FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
23 Feb Millwall FC H 1–2 L
19 Feb Peterborough United FC H 1–0 W
12 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 1–4 L
08 Feb Hull City AFC H 3–1 W
02 Feb Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Luton Town FC host Derby County FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' England international Nathan Byrne has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Gabriel Osho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 17 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jason Knight, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Luton Town FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' The 34-year-old Ryan Allsop has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 45' Reece Burke is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 50' Over 50 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 51' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 51 minute. Henri Lansbury leaves to be changed by Danny Hylton.
  • 52' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Reece Burke.
  • 57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 59' A tactical swap from Luton Town FCCameron Jerome on, Harry Cornick off on 59 minutes.
  • 64' Elijah Adebayo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 66' Festy Ebosele gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Max Bird and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Luton Town FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Danny Hylton on 68.
  • 72' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Cameron Jerome on 72 minutes.
  • 74' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Craig Forsyth is replaced by Luke Plange on 74 minute.
  • 77' The referee calls foul for Colin Kazim-Richards. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 78' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Elijah Adebayo exits the field as Fred Onyedinma enters on 78.
  • 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 88' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Malcolm Ebiowei argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • Luton Town FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56% + Luton Town FC to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC55% Draw26% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
45%
Luton Town FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC36% Draw48% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.