Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 26 Feb 2022 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Derby County FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Stoke City FC A 2–1 W
19 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–0 W
12 Feb Birmingham City FC A 0–3 L
08 Feb Barnsley FC H 2–1 W
05 Feb Cambridge United FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
23 Feb Millwall FC H 1–2 L
19 Feb Peterborough United FC H 1–0 W
12 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 1–4 L
08 Feb Hull City AFC H 3–1 W
02 Feb Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Luton Town FC and Derby County FC is underway.
  • 5' Amari'i Bell is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Luton Town FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' Nathan Byrne has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 380 appearances.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Luton Town FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 51' The supporters are chanting for Danny Hylton. He replaces Henri Lansbury on 51 minute.
  • 52' Luton Town FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 52.
  • 57' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 59' Cameron Jerome gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Harry Cornick and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' Festy Ebosele has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 66' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Max Bird is replaced by Festy Ebosele on 66 minute.
  • 68' A stunning finish from Danny Hylton — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 72' Controversy at the stadium! Cameron Jerome argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 74' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Craig Forsyth departs to be replaced by Luke Plange.
  • 77' Colin Kazim-Richards is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
  • 78' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Elijah Adebayo by Fred Onyedinma on 78 minute.
  • 83' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 88' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Malcolm Ebiowei gets a Yellow card.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56% + Luton Town FC to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC55% Draw26% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
45%
Luton Town FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC36% Draw48% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.