Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Derby County FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Luton Town FC

Fri 18 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 32,159 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 10' Millenic Alli

Sondre Langas 29' Y

Y 38' Carlton Morris

Y 68' Millenic Alli

Kayden Jackson 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee James Linington
Assistant 1 Graham Kane
Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 8 games · Avg 2.6 goals Luton Town FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-26 Luton Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-10-19 Derby County FC 2–2 Luton Town FC 2021-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Apr	Luton Town FC	H	0–1	L
12 Apr	Portsmouth FC	A	2–2	D
08 Apr	Burnley FC	H	0–0	D
05 Apr	Swansea City AFC	A	0–1	L
02 Apr	Preston North End FC	H	2–0	W
15 Mar	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	3–2	W

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Apr	Derby County FC	A	1–0	W
12 Apr	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	0–1	L
08 Apr	Stoke City FC	A	1–1	D
05 Apr	Leeds United FC	H	1–1	D
29 Mar	Hull City AFC	A	1–0	W
15 Mar	Middlesbrough FC	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

1/5

16-30

3/6

31-45

2/7

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/4

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	3 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Derby County FC have kicked off against Luton Town FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Luton Town FC's compact 3-5-2.
10' A stunning finish from Millenic Alli — that came from absolutely nowhere!
15' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Luton Town FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
16' Kayden Jackson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 16 minute.
21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
29' Sondre Langas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
34' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
38' Carlton Morris has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 38.
43' Jordan Clark has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
48' Luton Town FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
58' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kal Naismith is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
63' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Luton Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
68' Poor challenge from Millenic Alli. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
72' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Teden Mengi comes on to replace Lamine Dabo.
73' The crowd applauds Isaiah Jones as he leaves the pitch. Reece Burke steps in for Luton Town FC.
78' Thelo Aasgaard is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
81' Marvelous Nakamba gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Jordan Clark and will look to change the dynamic.
86' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 394 games and scored 486 goals.
90' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 90.
90' The whistle greets Harrison Armstrong as he departs to be replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen.
0-1 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

25
Matt Clarke
3
Craig Forsyth
18
Marcus Harness
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↓ Kayden Jackson 16'
2
Kane Wilson
31
Josh Vickers
10
Jerry Yates
32
Ebou Adams
12
Nathaniel Phillips
6
Sondre Langas ↓ Kenzo Goudmijn 81'
28
Harrison Armstrong ↓ Thomas Barkhuizen 90'

Bench

Coach John Eustace

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

20
Liam Walsh
13
Marvelous Nakamba ↑ 81'
23
Tim Krul
16
Reece Burke ↑ 73'
14
Tahith Chong ↑ 90'
15
Teden Mengi ↑ 72'
44
Lasse Nordas ↑ 81'
46
Taylan Harris
37
Zack Nelson

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tom Lawrence	2
Graeme Shinnie	1
Matthew Pearson	1
Jason Knight	1
Jayden Bogle	1
Fred Onyedinma	1
Chris Martin	1
Elijah Adebayo	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-04-12 Portsmouth FC 2–2 Derby County FC D 2025-04-08 Derby County FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-04-05 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Preston North End FC W 2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC W

Luton Town FC Form

2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-04-12 Luton Town FC 0–1 Blackburn Rovers FC L 2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2025-04-05 Luton Town FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2025-03-29 Hull City AFC 0–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-15 Luton Town FC 0–0 Middlesbrough FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.98 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1 Luton Town FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Luton Town FC or Draw 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC33% Draw33% Luton Town FC34%

Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 1.98

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	84%	16%
± 1.5	59%	41%
± 2.5	32%	68%
± 3.5	14%	86%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Luton Town FC

67%

Derby County FC or Luton Town FC

67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC22% Draw55% Luton Town FC23%

Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

16.3%

1 – 1

14.5%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

12.2%

1 – 2

6.6%

0 – 2

6.6%

2 – 1

6.4%

2 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

3.4%

1 – 3

2.2%

0 – 3

2.2%

3 – 1

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Luton Town FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	9%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	20%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	20%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.