Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs West Bromwich Albion FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,843 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' John Swift
Zian Flemming 23' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs West Bromwich Albion FCChampionship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Mark Russell

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
08 Mar Luton Town FC H 4–0 W
04 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
01 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Burnley FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W
01 Mar Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
22 Feb Oxford United FC H 2–0 W
15 Feb Millwall FC A 1–1 D
12 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Burnley FC is hosting West Bromwich Albion FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The travelling West Bromwich Albion FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' John Swift puts West Bromwich Albion FC on the lead.
  • 23' GOAL! Zian Flemming scores on 23.
  • 28' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 33' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 38' The referee calls foul for Isaac Price. He receives a card.
  • 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 48' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 48.
  • 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 63' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lyle Foster is hanging Zian Flemming on the field on 63 minute.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mason Holgate made 319 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 73' West Bromwich Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. William Lankshear is hanging Adam Armstrong on the field on 73 minute.
  • 74' Another change for West Bromwich Albion FC made on 74 minute. Grady Diangana leaves to be changed by Mikey Johnston.
  • 75' Josh Laurent is replacing Hannibal Mejbri for the Burnley FC side.
  • 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mikey Johnston suffering a number of foals already.
  • 85' West Bromwich Albion FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 87' The whistle greets Lyle Foster as he departs to be replaced by Ashley Barnes.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for CJ Egan-Riley on 90.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 West Bromwich Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC48% Draw29% West Bromwich Albion FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
77%
Draw or West Bromwich Albion FC
52%
Burnley FC or West Bromwich Albion FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC33% Draw50% West Bromwich Albion FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 0
12.4%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push West Bromwich Albion FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
42%
West Bromwich Albion FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.