Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor 20,523 HT 45' · FT 45'
Zian Flemming 16' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Bristol City FCChampionship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
15 Mar Swansea City AFC A 2–0 W
11 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
08 Mar Luton Town FC H 4–0 W
04 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
01 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Burnley FC A 0–1 L
14 Mar Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
11 Mar Sheffield United FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Hull City AFC H 1–1 D
04 Mar Millwall FC A 2–0 W
21 Feb Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Burnley FC is hosting Bristol City FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maxime Esteve, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' George Earthy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 16' Burnley FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Zian Flemming on 16.
  • 21' Bristol City FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 26' Bristol City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 26.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' Burnley FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 51' It’s high time Liam Manning made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' The travelling Bristol City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 60' Another change for Bristol City FC made on 60 minute. Haydon Roberts leaves to be changed by Ross McCrorie.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Lyle Foster. He replaces Zian Flemming on 65 minute.
  • 70' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for James Trafford suffering a number of foals already.
  • 72' Bristol City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yu Hirakawa is hanging Mark Sykes on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Bristol City FC. Scott Twine is replaced by Sam Bell.
  • 82' Another change for Burnley FC made on 82 minute. Josh Brownhill leaves to be changed by Hannibal Mejbri.
  • 87' Bristol City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' Luca Koleosho is replacing Marcus Edwards for the Burnley FC side.
  • Full Time. Burnley FC beats Bristol City FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC52% Draw28% Bristol City FC20%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Bristol City FC
48%
Burnley FC or Bristol City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC33% Draw52% Bristol City FC15%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Bristol City FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 25% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.