Derby County FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 8 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bobby Madley (England)
- Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
- Assistant 2 Matthew Jones
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | Luton Town FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Burnley FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #24 |
| 5 | Points | 4 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 1 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 0 / 4 / 4 |
| 7 | Scored | 9 |
| 14 | Conceded | 17 |
| -7 | GD | -8 |
| 0.63 | PPG | 0.50 |
| 13% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Burnley FC are 24th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Pride Park Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Burnley FC.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Burnley FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Scott Parker will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Matt Clarke has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 33' It’s gonna be a card for Sondre Langas.
- 38' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 43' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 43 minutes.
- 48' Burnley FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Zeki Amdouni scoring 1 goals.
- 53' Burnley FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 58' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
- 63' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 68' Burnley FC ring the changes. Josh Laurent has done his job and it is now time for Lyle Foster to step up.
- 70' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on, Marcus Harness off on 70 minutes.
- 74' The crowd applauds Lyle Foster as he leaves the pitch. Hannibal Mejbri steps in for Burnley FC.
- 78' The whistle greets Sondre Langas as he departs to be replaced by Kayden Jackson.
- 83' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-1-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 84' Ashley Barnes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcus Edwards on 84 minute.
- 87' Kenzo Goudmijn gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Liam Thompson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' That is a card for Derby County FC. Ebou Adams will be fuming at that decision.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 25
- 3
- 18
- 2
- 10
- 32
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↓ Kenzo Goudmijn 87'
- 1
-
6
Sondre Langas ↓ Kayden Jackson 78'
- 28
Bench
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↑ 87'
- 29
- 33
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 70'
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↑ 78'
- 31
- 21
- 7
- 48
Coach
John Eustace
Burnley FC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 8
-
22
Marcus Edwards ↓ Ashley Barnes 84'
- 14
- 24
- 19
- 11
- 1
- 5
- 23
- 6
-
29
Josh Laurent ↓ Lyle Foster 68'
Bench
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↑ 84'
- 15
- 4
- 32
-
17
Lyle Foster ↑ 68'
- 28
- 7
- 30
- 2
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mohammed Fuseini | 1 |
| Zeki Amdouni | 1 |
Derby County FC Form
2025-04-08
Derby County FC
0–0
Burnley FC
D
2025-04-05
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-04-02
Derby County FC
2–0
Preston North End FC
W
2025-03-15
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2025-03-11
Derby County FC
2–0
Coventry City FC
W
2025-03-08
Derby County FC
2–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Derby County FC or Draw 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Burnley FC
62%
Derby County FC or Burnley FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
14%
0 – 1
12%
2 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.4%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 22% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

